ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
Olympique Béja
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10ES Zarzis See Off Olympique Béja with Clinical 2-0 Home Win
ES Zarzis delivered a composed and effective performance at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, securing a 2-0 victory over Olympique Béja. The hosts struck in both halves, first breaking the deadlock in the 31st minute before doubling their advantage midway through the second period. Olympique Béja, meanwhile, struggled to find a foothold in the match and failed to register a response. The match was marked by Zarzis’ ability to capitalize on key moments, while maintaining defensive discipline throughout. Despite picking up two yellow cards, the home side controlled proceedings and never looked in serious danger, as Béja failed to make a significant impact in the final third.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
31' — Goal
ES Zarzis open the scoring to take a 1-0 lead.
64' — Goal
Zarzis double their advantage, putting the match beyond Béja.
First half' — Yellow Card
First Zarzis player booked, reflecting their combative approach.
Second half' — Yellow Card
Second Zarzis player booked as they maintain defensive intensity.
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis put in a professional display, taking their chances clinically and maintaining composure at the back. Their two goals—one in each half—were a testament to their ability to seize momentum at crucial junctures. Defensively, Zarzis remained organized, absorbing any pressure from Béja and ensuring a clean sheet. While they did pick up two yellow cards, Zarzis’ overall discipline and game management were key to seeing out the victory. The home support at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium was rewarded with a confident and deserved win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Olympique Béja
Olympique Béja struggled to impose themselves in Zarzis, failing to score and rarely threatening the home defense. Their inability to respond after conceding in the first half left them chasing the game, and the second goal in the 64th minute effectively ended their hopes of a comeback. On the positive side, Béja kept their discipline with no bookings, but their lack of attacking penetration and failure to capitalize on any opportunities ultimately cost them.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineup data available, the tactical picture is drawn from the flow of the match events. ES Zarzis appeared to set up with a balanced approach, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their ability to score in both halves suggests a team comfortable both in possession and on the counterattack. The two yellow cards indicate a willingness to disrupt Béja’s rhythm when necessary, without crossing the line into recklessness. Olympique Béja, meanwhile, struggled to adapt after falling behind. Their discipline was commendable, but their lack of attacking output points to either a conservative setup or an inability to break through Zarzis’ organized lines. Set pieces and tactical substitutions could not alter the course of the match, as Zarzis’ control remained unchallenged.
Turning Point
The opening goal in the 31st minute gave Zarzis the initiative and set the tone for the remainder of the contest.
Man of the Match
First Goalscorer (31')
His opener broke the deadlock and gave Zarzis the platform to control the game.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
28%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low scoring rates (ES Zarzis: 0.87, Olympique Béja: 0.56 goals per game), high failed-to-score counts, and both are among the lowest in Ligue 1 for over 2.5 goal games. Last 5 matches for both sides average under 2 goals per game combined.
Read more ↓
Match Result: ES Zarzis Win
ES Zarzis are stronger at home and have won 3 of the last 4 H2H at home. Olympique Béja's away record (3W 1D 8L, 5 GF in 12) is very poor.
BTTS: No
Both teams have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 combined, and both average less than 1 goal per game. Last 5: Zarzis failed to score in 4/5, Béja in 3/5.
Read more ↓
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Prediction
This fixture is likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair between two struggling sides. ES Zarzis have the edge at home, with Olympique Béja's away attack looking particularly blunt (just 5 goals in 12 away games). Both teams have struggled for goals and wins recently, but Zarzis' defensive record and H2H edge at home suggest they can grind out a narrow win, likely by a single goal margin. Expect few clear chances and a match dominated by midfield battles and set pieces.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →ES Zarzis have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- →H2H at Zarzis: ES Zarzis have won 3 of the last 4.
Attack
- →Olympique Béja average just 0.56 goals per game this season.
- →Olympique Béja's away record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses, only 5 goals scored in 12 away games.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either team.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a high percentage of matches under 2.5 goals (Zarzis 61%, Béja 64%).
How ES Zarzis and Olympique Béja Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Olympique Béjalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
ES Zarzis wins
0
Draws
4
Olympique Béja wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available: cannot compute value edges or expected value.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner data reduces confidence in set piece and corner predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams are low on confidence and motivation could be a factor late in the season.
- ⚠️Possible late team news or tactical changes not reflected in current data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.