ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Predictions
Ligue 1 · Tunisia
ES Zarzis
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
Olympique Béja
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Late Drama in Zarzis as Hosts Snatch Last-Gasp Win Over Olympique Béja
ES Zarzis left it late but ultimately delighted the home crowd at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium with a dramatic 90th-minute winner to edge past Olympique Béja 1-0. In a tightly contested affair where both teams struggled to break each other down, it was Zarzis who found the breakthrough at the death, sending their supporters into raptures. The match was a cagey affair for long stretches, with both sides showing defensive discipline but lacking attacking fluency. With yellow cards shared evenly and neither side able to take control, it looked destined for a stalemate until Zarzis struck in the final minute. Olympique Béja will rue their inability to hold on, while Zarzis will savor a hard-fought three points to kick off their campaign.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
90' — Goal
ES Zarzis score the decisive goal in the final minute to secure all three points.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
ES Zarzis receive two yellow cards, reflecting their combative approach.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Olympique Béja pick up two yellow cards in a tightly contested match.
ES Zarzis
ES Zarzis showed resilience and patience throughout a match that offered few clear chances. Their persistence paid off with a last-gasp goal, rewarding their efforts to keep pushing until the final whistle. Defensively solid and disciplined, they managed to keep their composure despite picking up two yellow cards. The late winner was a testament to their never-say-die attitude, and the team will take confidence from grinding out a result even when the game seemed destined for a draw.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Olympique Béja
Olympique Béja put in a solid defensive shift for most of the game, matching Zarzis in physicality and discipline. They managed to keep the hosts at bay until the final minute but ultimately let their guard down at the worst possible time. Their attack failed to threaten consistently, and they will be disappointed to leave empty-handed after coming so close to a point. The two yellow cards reflect their combative approach, but a lack of attacking impetus proved costly in the end.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity, as evidenced by the lack of goals and the even distribution of yellow cards. The match was characterized by a midfield battle and disciplined defending, with neither side able to assert dominance in attack. Zarzis’ late push paid off, suggesting a willingness to take risks in the closing stages, while Béja’s defensive focus ultimately left them vulnerable to a late lapse. Set pieces and physical duels were likely key features, but the decisive moment came from Zarzis’ persistence rather than any tactical overhaul. Both teams will look to sharpen their attacking play in future fixtures.
Turning Point
The 90th-minute goal for ES Zarzis, which broke the deadlock and sealed the win.
Man of the Match
Unknown goalscorer (ES Zarzis)
Delivered the match-winning goal in the final minute, deciding a tightly contested game.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja: Match Preview
Both ES Zarzis and Olympique Béja begin their Ligue 1 campaigns with question marks, but recent form data favours the hosts. Zarzis come into this on the back of four wins from their last five outings, including three straight clean sheets at home, while Béja have alternated wins and losses and have struggled to find attacking consistency, averaging only 0.8 goals per game in their last five.
The statistical matchup is defined by Zarzis’ defensive discipline, with just one goal conceded in their last five and four clean sheets in that span. Béja, meanwhile, have failed to score in two of their last five and have managed only one clean sheet themselves. The H2H record is one-sided in Zarzis, with the hosts winning the last three at home without conceding. Both teams’ recent matches skew heavily under 2.5 goals, and neither side has shown a propensity for high shot or corner counts.
Given the defensive trend and the historical pattern of low-scoring encounters between these teams, the model expects a cagey contest with few clear chances. Zarzis’ home edge and defensive structure tip the balance, with a narrow 1-0 win the likeliest outcome. The most plausible deviation would be a goalless draw if neither attack finds a breakthrough.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja that most previews miss.
- 1ES Zarzis have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding just once.
- 2Eight of the last ten H2H meetings have finished under 2.5 goals, with five ending 1-0 or 2-0.
- 3Olympique Béja have failed to score in three of their last five away matches against Zarzis.
Who do you think wins: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: ES Zarzis Win
ES Zarzis have won four of their last five (all competitions), kept four clean sheets in that stretch, and have a dominant recent home H2H record against Olympique Béja (three straight home wins, conceding zero).
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides average under 1.5 goals scored per game in their last five, and 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings have finished with under 2.5 goals.
BTTS: No
ES Zarzis have seen only one opponent goal in their last five, and both teams have failed to score in three of the last five H2H encounters.
More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Prediction
This fixture projects as a low-scoring contest between two sides with modest attacking output and a strong recent defensive trend from the hosts. ES Zarzis enter on the back of four wins in their last five, conceding just once, while Olympique Béja have struggled to find the net away from home and have lost on their last three visits to Zarzis. The statistical profile points to a tight match, with the hosts' defensive solidity likely to be decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Eight of the last ten H2H meetings have finished under 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →ES Zarzis have conceded just one goal in their last five matches (0.2 per game).
- →Olympique Béja average only 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last five.
How ES Zarzis and Olympique Béja Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ES Zarzislast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Olympique Béjalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
ES Zarzis arrive with momentum, having won four of their last five matches and conceding just once in that span. Olympique Béja have been less consistent, alternating wins and losses, and have managed only one clean sheet in their last five. The hosts’ defensive record stands in sharp contrast to the visitors’ recent attacking struggles.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja
The head-to-head record is heavily tilted towards ES Zarzis at home, with three consecutive wins to nil in Zarzis. Eight of the last ten meetings have ended under 2.5 goals, and only once in that stretch have both teams scored. The fixture has consistently favoured the home side defensively.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
ES Zarzis wins
0
Draws
4
Olympique Béja wins
Things to Watch: ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja
- ⚠️No current season league data is available for either side, so all rates are based on last five matches and historical H2H.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value edge calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Cup matches in recent form may not fully reflect league performance levels.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
ES Zarzis 1–0 Olympique BéjaThe model predicts a 1-0 win for ES Zarzis, anchored by their record of four clean sheets in the last five matches and a dominant home H2H trend. The single biggest risk is that neither side’s attack shows enough cutting edge to break the deadlock, resulting in a goalless draw.
ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja: Common Questions
Who will win ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
ES Zarzis are favoured with a 44% win probability, compared to 19% for Olympique Béja and 37% for the draw. This is driven by Zarzis' strong defensive form and excellent recent home record in this fixture.
Will both teams score in ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Both teams to score is rated at just 23%, with 'no' at 77%. Zarzis have conceded only once in their last five, and three of the last five H2H meetings saw at least one side fail to score.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja?
Under 2.5 goals is highly probable at 79%, reflecting both teams’ low scoring rates and a long-term H2H trend (eight of the last ten meetings under this line).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ES Zarzis vs Olympique Béja: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.