FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
FC Andorra
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
AD Ceuta FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: FC Andorra Win
Match Result
6.5/10Ceuta Clinch Away Win as Andorra Falter in Fiery Segunda División Finale
AD Ceuta FC delivered a clinical 2-0 victory over FC Andorra at the Estadi de la FAF, capitalizing on their chances and maintaining composure in a match marked by physicality and discipline issues. Ceuta struck early in the 12th minute and doubled their lead midway through the second half, effectively stifling Andorra’s attempts to mount a comeback. Despite enjoying a slight edge in possession (52%) and registering 11 shots, Andorra struggled to create clear-cut opportunities, managing only two shots on target. The match was a stop-start affair, punctuated by a flurry of fouls (34 in total) and cards, including a red card for the hosts. Ceuta’s defensive organization and opportunism in front of goal proved decisive, while Andorra’s frustration boiled over as their numerical disadvantage and lack of attacking precision sealed their fate. Ceuta’s disciplined 4-3-3 formation kept Andorra at bay, ensuring a deserved three points on the road.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
12' — Goal
Kuki Zalazar opened the scoring for Ceuta, finishing a swift counterattack.
45' — Yellow Card
Andorra’s Efe Akman booked for a late challenge, reflecting growing frustration.
54' — Red Card
Andorra reduced to ten men after a second yellow, compounding their woes.
66' — Goal
Ceuta doubled their lead, capitalizing on Andorra’s numerical disadvantage.
75' — Yellow Card
Ceuta’s Josema booked for time-wasting as they managed the game’s closing stages.
FC Andorra
FC Andorra started brightly, controlling possession and pushing forward in their 3-4-1-2 setup, but their attacking efforts fizzled out in the final third. Despite firing 11 shots, only two tested Ceuta keeper Pedro López, highlighting a lack of cutting edge. The hosts’ frustration grew as the match wore on, culminating in four yellow cards and a red, which further hampered their ability to chase the game. Andorra’s midfield trio struggled to break down Ceuta’s compact lines, and their set pieces failed to threaten. The lack of composure in key moments, both defensively and offensively, ultimately cost them any chance of a result.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC executed their game plan with precision, absorbing Andorra’s early pressure and striking decisively when opportunities arose. Their 4-3-3 formation provided defensive solidity, and they were clinical with their limited chances, scoring with their only shot on target in each half. Ceuta’s physicality disrupted Andorra’s rhythm, and their disciplined back line ensured the hosts rarely threatened. Despite conceding slightly more possession, Ceuta’s midfield trio broke up play effectively, and their forwards capitalized on defensive errors. The visitors’ composure and tactical discipline were key to seeing out the win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Andorra lined up in a 3-4-1-2, seeking to control midfield and overload the flanks, but Ceuta’s compact 4-3-3 stymied their efforts. Ceuta’s midfield trio pressed aggressively, forcing turnovers and disrupting Andorra’s build-up play. The visitors were content to concede some possession, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting spaces left by Andorra’s advanced wingbacks. Set pieces offered little for either side, with Andorra’s two corners easily dealt with by Ceuta’s defense. The high foul count and frequent bookings reflected a physical battle, with Ceuta’s tactical discipline and Andorra’s lack of composure ultimately shaping the outcome.
Turning Point
The red card to Andorra early in the second half left them exposed and allowed Ceuta to seal the win with a second goal.
Man of the Match
Kuki Zalazar
Scored the crucial opening goal and led the line with intelligence and composure.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC?
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Where the Model Sees Value: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: FC Andorra Win
FC Andorra are in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 and a solid home record, while AD Ceuta FC have struggled away, conceding 40 in 20 away games. The home side's recent attacking output gives them a clear edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 2.5 goals in more than half of their matches this season and recent matches for both sides have seen plenty of goals, especially with Ceuta's leaky away defense.
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BTTS: Yes
Ceuta have scored in 4 of their last 5 and BTTS has landed in 4 of those, while Andorra's attack is in form but they have only 3 clean sheets in their last 5.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction
FC Andorra enter this fixture in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches and scoring freely, including a dominant 5-1 win last time out. AD Ceuta FC, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five and a heavy home defeat in their most recent outing. Andorra's home advantage and attacking momentum make them favorites, but Ceuta's tendency to be involved in high-scoring, open games suggests both teams could find the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →FC Andorra's recent form: 4 wins in last 5, 2.2 goals scored per game, 0.4 conceded.
- →Ceuta's poor away record: 4 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses, 40 conceded in 20 away games.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal percentages (Andorra 53.85%, Ceuta 57.5%).
- →Ceuta have scored in 4 of last 5; BTTS in 4 of last 5.
🚩 FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for FC Andorra and 4.1 for AD Ceuta FC, for an expected total of 8.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 22%.
How FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
AD Ceuta FClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
FC Andorra are surging into this match with four wins in their last five, including a 5-1 home thrashing of Las Palmas and a 4-0 away win at Leganes. Their defense has also tightened, with three clean sheets in this stretch. Ceuta, in contrast, have just one win in their last five, conceding four at home to Malaga most recently, and have shown defensive frailty, especially away from home.
FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC
The only prior meeting between these clubs saw Ceuta edge a 2-1 home win in January. With such a limited head-to-head history, it's difficult to draw strong conclusions, though the previous match did see both sides score.
FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
FC Andorra wins
0
Draws
1
AD Ceuta FC wins
Things to Watch: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Only one head-to-head meeting historically, limiting H2H pattern confidence.
- ⚠️Some match stat fields missing for recent games, reducing precision in set piece and discipline markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.