FC Andorra vs Eibar Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
FC Andorra
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Eibar
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Eibar
Match Result
7.2/10Eibar Edge FC Andorra with Smash-and-Grab Away Win
Eibar snatched a crucial 1-0 victory over FC Andorra at the Estadi de la FAF, despite being dominated for long stretches by the home side. The Basques made the most of their limited opportunities, with Jon Bautista’s 38th-minute strike proving decisive in a match where Andorra enjoyed a commanding 73% possession but failed to convert their dominance into goals. Andorra pressed relentlessly, racking up 14 shots and forcing five corners, but were repeatedly frustrated by a disciplined Eibar rearguard and the safe hands of Jon Mikel Magunagoitia. Eibar, meanwhile, absorbed the pressure and struck clinically on the counter, then defended their slender lead with grit and organization, picking up four yellow cards in the process. Despite late pressure and attacking substitutions from Andorra, the visitors held on for a hard-fought three points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
38' — Goal
Jon Bautista finishes off a swift Eibar counterattack to put the visitors ahead.
44' — Yellow Card
Sergio Álvarez booked for a tactical foul, halting an Andorra break.
56' — Yellow Card
Marc Domenech receives a yellow for dissent as Andorra’s frustration grows.
68' — Yellow Card
Anaitz Arbilla goes into the book for time-wasting as Eibar defend their lead.
81' — Yellow Card
Imanol García de Albéniz cautioned for a late challenge in midfield.
FC Andorra
FC Andorra controlled the tempo from the outset, dictating play with 73% possession and a fluid 4-3-3 formation. Their midfield trio, led by Marc Domenech and Daniel Villahermosa, recycled the ball efficiently and kept Eibar pinned back for extended spells. However, despite 14 shots, only three found the target, highlighting their lack of cutting edge in the final third. Defensively, Andorra were rarely troubled outside of the decisive first-half goal, but their inability to break down Eibar’s deep block ultimately cost them. Frustration crept in as the match wore on, reflected in four yellow cards, and their late push for an equalizer lacked the precision needed to unlock the visitors.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Eibar
Eibar executed a textbook away performance, soaking up pressure and striking decisively on the break. Despite seeing just 27% of the ball and registering only five shots (two on target), the visitors were ruthless when it mattered, with Jon Bautista converting their best chance in the 38th minute. Their 4-2-3-1 shape morphed into a compact defensive block for much of the match, with midfielders Sergio Álvarez and Lander Olaetxea working tirelessly to shield the back four. Eibar’s defensive discipline was matched by a willingness to disrupt Andorra’s rhythm, as evidenced by their four yellow cards. Goalkeeper Jon Mikel Magunagoitia was a calming presence, making key interventions to preserve the clean sheet.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Andorra’s 4-3-3 sought to stretch Eibar and create overloads in wide areas, but the visitors’ compact 4-2-3-1 shape rarely allowed space between the lines. Eibar’s double pivot of Álvarez and Olaetxea sat deep, with the full-backs rarely venturing forward, prioritizing solidity over adventure. Andorra circulated the ball well, but Eibar’s disciplined banks of four forced them into speculative efforts from range. Set pieces offered Andorra some hope, as they earned five corners, but Eibar’s aerial presence, led by Jair Amador and Peru Nolaskoain, dealt with the threat efficiently. As Andorra pushed for an equalizer, they introduced more attacking substitutions, but Eibar responded with tactical fouls and time management to see out the result.
Turning Point
Jon Bautista’s 38th-minute goal against the run of play gave Eibar a lead to defend and changed the match’s dynamic.
Man of the Match
Jon Bautista
His clinical finish with Eibar’s best chance sealed the win and exemplified his efficiency in front of goal.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: FC Andorra vs Eibar?
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Where the Model Sees Value: FC Andorra vs Eibar(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have similar recent form, Eibar are weak away (1W in 14), and head-to-heads often end level or close. The draw is the most likely single outcome.
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Double Chance: Draw or Eibar
Eibar are higher in the table, have a better defensive record, and are unbeaten in the last 3 H2H. The away side is unlikely to lose, but the draw is very possible.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low goals per game averages, especially Eibar away (0.5 scored, 1.36 conceded), and 4 of the last 5 H2H have finished under 2.5 goals.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction
This is a mid-table clash between FC Andorra and Eibar, with both teams showing solid recent form but neither excelling. Andorra have improved with 3 wins in their last 4, but Eibar's away form is poor (just 1 win in 14 away games). Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities, but Eibar's stronger defense and recent H2H edge are offset by their away struggles. Expect a tight, tactical match with limited clear chances, likely to end in a draw or a narrow win either way, and few goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Andorra have won 3 of their last 4 league games.
Attack
- →H2H is balanced but recent meetings have been low scoring.
- →Both teams average under 1.3 goals scored per game.
Defence
- →Eibar have a much better defensive record (1.0 conceded per game vs Andorra's 1.37).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Eibar have only 1 away win in 14 this season.
🚩 FC Andorra vs Eibar Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for FC Andorra and 3.7 for Eibar, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How FC Andorra and Eibar Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Andorra vs Eibar Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Eibarlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
FC Andorra vs Eibar — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: FC Andorra vs Eibar
FC Andorra vs Eibar Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
FC Andorra wins
2
Draws
3
Eibar wins
Things to Watch: FC Andorra vs Eibar
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, fouls) are missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️Predicted probabilities may be less accurate due to incomplete data on lineups and odds.
- ⚠️Small sample size of H2H meetings.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Andorra vs Eibar: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.