FC Andorra vs Eibar Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
FC Andorra
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Eibar
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.2/10Eibar Snatch Victory with Ten Men as Andorra’s Dominance Goes Unrewarded
Despite a staggering 79% possession and relentless attacking intent, FC Andorra fell to a 0-1 home defeat against Eibar at the Estadi de la FAF. Eibar, who played the final stages with ten men, capitalized on their only shot on target, scoring early in the second half and then defending resolutely to frustrate the hosts. Andorra peppered the Eibar goal with 27 shots, but only managed five on target, as Jon Mikel Magunagoitia stood firm between the posts for the visitors. Eibar, meanwhile, made the most of their limited opportunities, grabbing the lead in the 47th minute and holding on despite a red card that left them a man down. The result leaves Andorra ruing missed chances and Eibar celebrating a smash-and-grab away win.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
47' — Goal
Javier Martón scores with Eibar’s only shot on target, putting the visitors ahead against the run of play.
67' — Red Card
Eibar reduced to ten men, intensifying Andorra’s attacking pressure.
81' — Yellow Card
Andorra’s frustration boils over as they pick up a booking in the closing stages.
FC Andorra
FC Andorra dominated the ball and dictated the tempo throughout the match, boasting 79% possession and racking up 27 shots. However, their attacking efforts were repeatedly thwarted by Eibar’s disciplined defense and the heroics of the visiting goalkeeper. Despite controlling the midfield and creating numerous openings, Andorra’s forwards were unable to convert their chances, lacking the clinical edge needed to break the deadlock. A solitary yellow card reflected their frustration, but Andorra maintained composure and pressed until the final whistle. Ultimately, their inability to turn dominance into goals proved costly, leaving them empty-handed despite a commanding display.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Eibar
Eibar executed a textbook away performance, soaking up immense pressure and striking decisively on the counter. With just 21% possession and four shots (one on target), they made their solitary effort count, scoring in the 47th minute to stun the home crowd. The visitors were forced to dig deep after going down to ten men, but their defensive organization and work rate saw them through a tense finale. A red card threatened to derail their efforts, but Eibar’s backline, marshaled by Unai Elgezabal and Anaitz Arbilla, held firm. The resilience and opportunism shown by Eibar earned them an invaluable three points on the road.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Andorra set up in a 4-3-3, prioritizing possession and width to stretch Eibar’s compact 4-2-3-1. Their midfield trio dictated play, recycling possession and probing for openings, but the final ball and finishing let them down. Despite numerous shots, clear-cut chances were at a premium against Eibar’s deep block. Eibar’s approach was pragmatic: they defended in numbers, stayed compact, and looked to hit on the break. After scoring, they dropped even deeper, especially following the red card. Substitutions (not detailed in the data) likely focused on shoring up the defense and maintaining shape, as Eibar absorbed wave after wave of Andorra attacks.
Turning Point
Javier Martón’s goal in the 47th minute—Eibar’s only shot on target—forced Andorra to chase the game and allowed Eibar to retreat into a defensive shell.
Man of the Match
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia
His crucial saves and commanding presence in goal were vital as Eibar withstood relentless Andorra pressure to secure victory.
FC Andorra vs Eibar: Match Preview
FC Andorra enter their second league fixture buoyed by a 5-1 opening win over AD Ceuta FC, but the underlying numbers suggest a more restrained attacking profile: across their last five matches, they have averaged just 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded, with three clean sheets but also three games where they failed to score. Eibar, meanwhile, sit 20th after a 1-3 home defeat to Tenerife, and have not won in three competitive outings despite some lively pre-season results.
Tactically, this match is likely to be defined by discipline and defensive shape. Andorra’s home record is strong but not prolific, and their last five matches average just 2.2 shots on target per game. Eibar’s attack is similarly muted in competitive fixtures, with a 1.2 goals conceded and 2.0 scored average over the last five, but their friendlies included a 5-0 win that skews the sample. Both teams have shown a tendency to start slowly, with the model projecting a 0-0 first half and only a 34% chance of a goal before the 30th minute. Corners and cards are both projected below league average, with just 6.5 corners and 3.2 cards expected.
Given the statistical shape—low shot volumes, a history of low-scoring head-to-heads, and neither attack yet showing sustained league form—the model makes the draw and under 2.5 goals the likeliest outcomes. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with both sides likely to prioritise structure over risk, especially early in the season.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Andorra vs Eibar that most previews miss.
- 1Four of the last six FC Andorra vs Eibar matches have finished under 2.5 goals, with two ending 1-0 or 0-2.
- 2FC Andorra have averaged just 2.2 shots on target per game across their last five fixtures, suggesting limited attacking efficiency.
- 3Eibar’s last five matches show a dramatic first-half/second-half split: nine goals scored in first halves, just one in second halves.
Who do you think wins: FC Andorra vs Eibar?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Andorra vs Eibar(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
The 1-1 scoreline is the statistical mode given both sides’ recent scoring and concession rates, and the underlying draw probability (0.36) is the single highest in the 1X2 market.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Model probability for under 2.5 goals is 0.59, reflecting both teams’ moderate attacking output in the last five and a history of low-scoring H2Hs (four of last six meetings under 2.5).
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction
This fixture projects as a tightly contested match with limited attacking output on both sides, shaped by early-season caution and a head-to-head history that leans low-scoring. FC Andorra arrive off a resounding 5-1 win but their last five matches average just 1.2 goals scored, while Eibar, despite a 5-0 friendly win, managed only one goal in their opening league defeat. The model expects neither side to sustain high output, with a draw the most probable outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Four of the last six head-to-heads have finished under 2.5 goals, including two 1-0 or 0-2 scorelines.
Defence
- →FC Andorra’s last five competitive matches average just 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
Match Context
- →Eibar have failed to win in their last three competitive fixtures, with a 1-3 home defeat to Tenerife in the league opener.
🚩 FC Andorra vs Eibar Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for FC Andorra and 5.5 for Eibar, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How FC Andorra and Eibar Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Andorra vs Eibar Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Eibarlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
FC Andorra’s recent form is mixed, with a strong league start (5-1 win) but only one win in their last three friendlies and three matches without scoring. Eibar have not won in their last three competitive matches, including a 1-3 home loss to Tenerife, though their pre-season included a 5-0 win that flatters their attacking numbers. Both sides enter this fixture with more to prove than their headline results suggest.
FC Andorra vs Eibar — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: FC Andorra vs Eibar
Eibar have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning three of the last six, including both recent visits to Andorra (0-1, 0-2). Draws are also common, with two in the last six meetings, and low scores dominate this fixture’s history.
FC Andorra vs Eibar Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
FC Andorra wins
2
Draws
3
Eibar wins
Things to Watch: FC Andorra vs Eibar
- ⚠️Both teams have only played one league match this season, so season-long rates are not yet robust.
- ⚠️Pre-season friendlies are a poor proxy for competitive form and may distort recent averages.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of writing, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Andorra 1–1 EibarThe model’s final call is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the highest draw probability (0.36) and the most common recent head-to-head scorelines. The single strongest data point is the consistent underperformance of both attacks in competitive matches, with only one of their last six H2Hs producing more than two goals. The main risk is that early-season volatility or an uncharacteristic defensive lapse opens the game up beyond the expected low-scoring pattern.
FC Andorra vs Eibar: Common Questions
Who will win FC Andorra vs Eibar?
The model gives FC Andorra a 37% chance to win, Eibar a 27% chance, and the draw is most likely at 36%. The most probable outcome is a low-scoring stalemate, with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in FC Andorra vs Eibar?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 59% probability, based on both teams’ recent averages and four of the last six head-to-heads finishing with two goals or fewer.
Is both teams to score (BTTS) likely in FC Andorra vs Eibar?
The model puts both teams to score at 47% and 'no' at 53%, reflecting a slight lean towards at least one team failing to find the net, consistent with recent H2H trends.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Andorra vs Eibar: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.