FC Andorra vs Valladolid Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
FC Andorra
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Valladolid
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: FC Andorra Win
Match Result
6.8/10FC Andorra Dominate Possession to Edge Valladolid in Tight Segunda División Clash
FC Andorra claimed a narrow but deserved 1-0 victory over Valladolid at the Estadi de la FAF, controlling the match with a commanding 70% possession and relentless pressure. The hosts struggled to convert their dominance into clear-cut chances, registering just one shot on target from 11 attempts, but made their breakthrough in the 62nd minute to secure all three points. Valladolid, meanwhile, failed to muster a single shot on target, stifled by Andorra’s midfield control and unable to threaten on the counter despite a more defensive 4-2-3-1 setup. The match was punctuated by a flurry of yellow cards for the visitors, who picked up four bookings in their attempts to disrupt Andorra’s rhythm. Despite a late push and a couple of substitutions, Valladolid never found a foothold, while Andorra’s tactical discipline and patience ultimately paid off in a contest where quality possession triumphed over sporadic resistance.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
62' — Goal
J. Cerda scores for FC Andorra, finishing off a patient move to break the deadlock.
68' — Yellow Card
C. Michelin (Valladolid) cautioned for a late challenge as Valladolid chase the game.
73' — Yellow Card
L. Sanseviero (Valladolid) booked for dissent amid mounting frustration.
78' — Yellow Card
S. Juric (Valladolid) shown yellow for a tactical foul stopping an Andorra counter.
85' — Yellow Card
P. Tomeo (Valladolid) receives a booking as tempers flare late on.
FC Andorra
FC Andorra delivered a controlled and patient performance, dictating play with 70% possession and building attacks methodically from the back. Their 4-3-3 formation allowed for width and midfield dominance, resulting in 8 corners and sustained pressure throughout the match. However, their lack of cutting edge in the final third was evident, as only one of their 11 shots tested the Valladolid goalkeeper. The breakthrough in the 62nd minute was just reward for their persistence, and defensively they remained largely untroubled.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Valladolid
Valladolid set up in a compact 4-2-3-1, aiming to frustrate Andorra and hit on the break, but were ultimately overrun in midfield and unable to sustain meaningful attacks. With just 4 shots and none on target, their attacking threat was minimal, and their attempts to disrupt Andorra’s rhythm resulted in four yellow cards. Despite a resilient defensive effort for much of the match, they were undone by a lapse just after the hour mark and never looked likely to recover.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
FC Andorra’s 4-3-3 formation allowed them to dominate possession and stretch Valladolid’s defensive lines, with their full-backs pushing high and midfielders rotating to maintain control. The home side’s patient build-up play resulted in numerous corners and territorial advantage, though their attacking trio struggled to find space against a compact Valladolid back four. Valladolid’s 4-2-3-1 was designed for containment, with two holding midfielders shielding the defense and the attacking midfielders dropping deep to congest central areas. However, this left them isolated in attack and unable to retain the ball, leading to repeated turnovers and fouls as they tried to break up Andorra’s rhythm. Set pieces provided Andorra with additional opportunities, but ultimately it was a moment of incisive play that made the difference.
Turning Point
J. Cerda’s goal in the 62nd minute, which rewarded Andorra’s dominance and forced Valladolid to open up.
Man of the Match
J. Cerda
Scored the match-winning goal and was a constant threat in attack, providing the cutting edge in a game of few chances.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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FC Andorra vs Valladolid Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: FC Andorra vs Valladolid?
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Where the Model Sees Value: FC Andorra vs Valladolid(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: FC Andorra Win
FC Andorra are in strong recent form (WWDWL), have a solid home record, and face a Valladolid side with one of the league's weakest away records and poor recent form. Andorra also won the reverse fixture and have a positive H2H trend.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have a season over 2.5 goal rate near 50%, and Andorra's recent games have seen high scores (last 5 avg 2.8 scored, 1.2 conceded). Valladolid's defense is leaky away from home.
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BTTS: Yes
Andorra's defense is inconsistent (20% clean sheet rate), while Valladolid have failed to score in 3 of last 5 but do create chances. The match-up and recent stats make BTTS a reasonable play.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This FC Andorra vs Valladolid Prediction
FC Andorra come into this fixture in excellent form, having won four of their last five and scoring freely. Their home form is steady, and they have already beaten Valladolid away this season. Valladolid, by contrast, are struggling, especially on the road, with just four away wins and a negative goal difference. Andorra's attack should have an edge, but their defense can be breached, so goals are likely. Expect a competitive match with Andorra favored, but Valladolid capable of scoring.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Andorra have won 2 of last 3 meetings, including away this season.
Attack
- →FC Andorra's strong recent form (WWDWL) and high-scoring matches.
Defence
- →Valladolid's poor away record: 4 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses, 28 goals conceded in 17 away games.
- →Andorra's home attack (25 goals in 17 home games) vs Valladolid's away defense (28 conceded).
Injuries & Team News
- →No notable injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a season over 2.5 goal rate near 50%.
- →Valladolid have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, but generally create chances.
🚩 FC Andorra vs Valladolid Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for FC Andorra and 3.8 for Valladolid, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How FC Andorra and Valladolid Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Andorra vs Valladolid Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Andorralast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Valladolidlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
FC Andorra vs Valladolid — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: FC Andorra vs Valladolid
FC Andorra vs Valladolid Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
3
FC Andorra wins
0
Draws
1
Valladolid wins
Things to Watch: FC Andorra vs Valladolid
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided; value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing for Andorra's recent games.
- ⚠️Valladolid's attack is inconsistent, increasing variance in BTTS/over markets.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis; late injuries or rotations possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Andorra vs Valladolid: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.