Valladolid vs FC Andorra Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Valladolid
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
FC Andorra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: FC Andorra Win
Valladolid vs FC Andorra: Match Preview
Valladolid enter their first home league fixture of the season on the back of two defeats and no goals scored, sitting 21st in the table. Their attack has yet to spark, with three consecutive competitive blanks and a current form string of 'LLWWL', while Andorra arrive buoyed by a five-goal outburst in their opener and a 7-5 aggregate across two matches, placing them 8th.
The matchup is defined by sharply contrasting scoring rates: Valladolid’s league average is 0.0 goals for and 1.5 against, while Andorra’s is 3.5 for and 2.5 against. The visitors’ shot volume (8.4 per match in the last five) and attacking intent are offset by defensive looseness, as seen in a 4-2 away loss last time out. Head-to-head, Andorra have won three of the last four, all by a single-goal margin, and their matches this season have both cleared the 2.5 goal line.
The model expects Andorra’s high-tempo style to create a more open contest than Valladolid’s recent results imply, with the away side’s attack likely to test a home defence still seeking its first clean sheet. Valladolid may improve at home, but the underlying rates and H2H record point to Andorra’s edge in a match with above-average goal probability.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Valladolid vs FC Andorra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Valladolid vs FC Andorra that most previews miss.
- 1FC Andorra’s matches have averaged six total goals per game so far (7 for, 5 against in two).
- 2Valladolid have failed to score in four of their last five competitive matches, including both league games this season.
- 3Three of the last four head-to-heads have finished under 2.5 goals, but Andorra have won all three.
Who do you think wins: Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Valladolid vs FC Andorra(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: FC Andorra Win
FC Andorra have scored seven goals in their opening two matches (3.5 per game), while Valladolid have failed to score in either league outing and sit bottom with zero points. The away side’s attack rate and recent head-to-head dominance (three wins in the last four) tip the balance.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams’ season over 2.5 goal rates are at the extremes—FC Andorra at 100%, Valladolid at 0%—but the visitors’ high-scoring profile and defensive looseness (five conceded in two) point to a higher goal environment than the hosts’ recent results suggest.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Valladolid vs FC Andorra Prediction
This fixture pits a Valladolid side yet to find the net or a point in the league against an FC Andorra team that has started the campaign with a goal-laden profile but also defensive vulnerabilities. The statistical shape is defined by Andorra’s 3.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game, contrasting sharply with Valladolid’s 0.0 for and 1.5 against. The away attack rate, plus a head-to-head record that favours the visitors, sets up a match where the underlying rates point to Andorra’s edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →FC Andorra have scored seven and conceded five in their opening two league games, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate.
Match Context
- →Valladolid have failed to score in both league matches so far (0 goals for, 3 against).
- →Head-to-head: FC Andorra have won three of the last four meetings, including both away and home fixtures last season.
🚩 Valladolid vs FC Andorra Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Valladolid and 4.2 for FC Andorra, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How Valladolid and FC Andorra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Valladolid vs FC Andorra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Valladolidlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Andorralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Valladolid have lost both league matches without scoring, extending a run of three competitive blanks and sitting on zero points. In contrast, FC Andorra have started with a 5-1 win and a 4-2 defeat, producing a league-high seven goals but also conceding five, signalling both attacking intent and defensive vulnerability.
Valladolid vs FC Andorra — Last 2 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Valladolid vs FC Andorra
FC Andorra have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning three of the last four, including both home and away last season. These matches have tended to be tight, with only one exceeding two goals, but Andorra’s edge has been consistent.
Valladolid vs FC Andorra Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
Valladolid wins
0
Draws
3
FC Andorra wins
Things to Watch: Valladolid vs FC Andorra
- ⚠️Valladolid have yet to play a home match this season, so home/away splits are not established.
- ⚠️Small sample size: only two league matches played per team, so early-season volatility is high.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Valladolid 1–2 FC AndorraThe model projects a 2-1 win for FC Andorra, driven by their 3.5 goals per game attack rate and Valladolid’s ongoing scoring drought. The strongest data point is Andorra’s offensive output and head-to-head record. The main risk is that Valladolid’s first home match triggers a defensive reset or that Andorra’s defensive frailty allows the hosts to break their duck.
Valladolid vs FC Andorra: Common Questions
Who will win Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
The model gives FC Andorra a 45% chance of victory, Valladolid 27%, and a draw 28%. Andorra’s seven goals in two games and three wins in the last four head-to-heads tip the balance their way.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
There is a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Andorra’s high-scoring profile (100% over 2.5 so far) against a Valladolid side yet to score in the league.
What is the recent head-to-head record between Valladolid and FC Andorra?
FC Andorra have won three of the last four meetings, including both fixtures last season (1-0 away, 2-1 home). Only one of those four saw both teams score.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Valladolid vs FC Andorra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.