FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
FC Liefering
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
TSV St. Johann
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann
FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann: Match Preview
FC Liefering approach this friendly on the back of a three-match losing streak, but their season record remains solid with 5 wins and 20 goals from 10 matches. TSV St. Johann have shown mixed form in recent Regionalliga outings, picking up two wins and two draws in their last five, but their season sample is limited to a single high-scoring win. With no league stakes, both sides may rotate, but Liefering's home record (19 scored, 6 conceded in 9) stands out.
The statistical matchup tilts towards goals: Liefering average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, while St. Johann's limited data shows a 5-goal output in their only recorded season match. Both teams have seen BTTS in the majority of recent fixtures (Liefering 3/5, St. Johann 4/5), and over 2.5 goals has landed in all of St. Johann's tracked games. Head-to-head history supports the home side, with Liefering winning 6 of the last 10 meetings and regularly scoring multiple goals at home.
Model rates project a 2-1 home win as most likely, with a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score. Liefering's attacking rates and home advantage are decisive, but their defensive record—2.2 conceded per game in the last five—means St. Johann are likely to contribute. The distribution suggests a match that opens up after the break, with the home side's superior finishing making the difference.
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Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann that most previews miss.
- 1Liefering's home record this season is 5-3-1 with 19 goals scored and just 6 conceded in 9 matches.
- 2TSV St. Johann have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, with over 2.5 goals in all tracked season matches.
- 3Head-to-head: Liefering have scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 home games against St. Johann.
Who do you think wins: FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann?
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Where the Model Sees Value: FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
The most probable scoreline is 2-1 to FC Liefering, supported by their 2.0 goals scored per game over the season and TSV St. Johann's 1.0 goals conceded per match in their last five, with both teams showing a tendency to concede.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high season over 2.5 rates (Liefering 50%, TSV St. Johann 100% from limited data), and their recent averages point to a goal environment above the market baseline.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Liefering's last 5 and 4 of St. Johann's last 5, with both sides averaging over 1 goal scored per match in that span.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann Prediction
Statistical rates point to a moderately high-scoring friendly, with Liefering's superior home record and attacking output giving them the edge, but defensive lapses on both sides suggesting TSV St. Johann will find the net. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 home win, with both teams contributing to the scoreline and the decisive moments arriving after the break.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →FC Liefering average 2.0 goals scored per game this season with a 50% over 2.5 rate.
Defence
- →TSV St. Johann's only season record is a 5-3 win, but in the last 5 they've averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head favours Liefering, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings and a recurring home advantage.
How FC Liefering and TSV St. Johann Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
FC Lieferinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
TSV St. Johannlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
FC Liefering have hit a rough patch with three consecutive losses, but their broader season form is positive, including five wins and a strong home record. TSV St. Johann have been more stable recently, with two wins and two draws in their last five, but their overall season data is sparse, making their true level harder to gauge.
FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann
FC Liefering have controlled this fixture historically, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings and consistently outscoring TSV St. Johann at home. The most common pattern is Liefering scoring at least twice, with St. Johann rarely leaving with a win.
FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
FC Liefering wins
3
Draws
1
TSV St. Johann wins
Things to Watch: FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️TSV St. Johann's season data is extremely limited, increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️Friendly status may affect lineups and intensity, raising variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
FC Liefering 2–1 TSV St. JohannA 2-1 win for FC Liefering is the model's baseline, driven by their 2.0 goals per game season average and a strong historical home edge in this fixture. The greatest risk to this projection is the limited data on TSV St. Johann's current level and the unpredictable nature of friendlies, which could see rotated squads or lower intensity.
FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann: Common Questions
Who will win FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann?
Model probabilities give FC Liefering a 51% chance of victory, with a 30% probability of a draw and 19% for TSV St. Johann. Liefering's home scoring rate and dominant head-to-head record are the key factors.
Will both teams score in FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann?
There is a 57% probability of both teams scoring, with both sides averaging over a goal per game recently and BTTS landing in 7 of their last 10 combined matches.
How many goals are expected in FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann?
The model projects a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals, reflecting Liefering's 2.0 goals per game average and St. Johann's high-scoring recent results.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Liefering vs TSV St. Johann: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.