Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa ยท Poland
Gornik Zabrze
Full Time
3 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Cracovia Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.3(+8% edge)
Match Result
7.8/10Gornik Zabrze Sweep Aside Cracovia Krakow with Commanding 3-0 Win
Gornik Zabrze delivered a statement performance at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, brushing aside Cracovia Krakow 3-0 in a match defined by clinical finishing and disciplined defending. The hosts took an early lead and never looked back, adding two late goals to seal a comprehensive victory in front of their home supporters. Despite a fairly balanced contest in terms of possession (Gornik 53%, Cracovia 47%) and shots (15 to 16), it was Gornik's efficiency in front of goal and defensive solidity that made the difference. Cracovia, meanwhile, struggled to convert their opportunities and saw their frustration boil over with two yellow cards as the game slipped away in the closing stages.
๐ AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 0
๐ฐ Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
11' โ Goal
Sondre Liseth opens the scoring for Gornik Zabrze, giving the hosts an early advantage.
78' โ Goal
Gornik double their lead with a well-worked team move, effectively sealing the result.
82' โ Goal
A third goal for Gornik Zabrze puts the result beyond doubt and caps a dominant display.
67' โ Yellow Card
Cracovia Krakow pick up their first booking as frustration mounts.
85' โ Yellow Card
A second yellow for Cracovia as tempers flare late on.
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze set the tone early, striking in the 11th minute and controlling the rhythm for much of the match. Their 4-1-4-1 formation provided both defensive stability and attacking width, allowing them to transition quickly and exploit spaces. The midfield quartet dictated play, while the lone striker proved a constant threat. Defensively, Gornik were resolute, limiting Cracovia to just three shots on target and rarely allowing clear sights of goal. Their ability to add two late goals (78', 82') showcased their fitness and tactical discipline, closing out the match in style.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow matched Gornik in terms of overall shot count and remained competitive in possession, but their 4-4-2 setup struggled to break down the hosts' disciplined defense. The front two were largely isolated, and despite earning six corners, Cracovia failed to capitalize on set-piece opportunities. Their frustration grew as the match wore on, culminating in two yellow cards and a late collapse as Gornik struck twice in quick succession. While the effort was there, a lack of cutting edge in the final third ultimately proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Gornik Zabrze's 4-1-4-1 formation provided a strong defensive base, with Patrik Hellebrand shielding the back four and allowing the midfielders to press high and support attacks. Their wide players stretched Cracovia's defense, creating overloads and opening up space for Liseth to exploit. The single pivot allowed for quick transitions, while the full-backs supported attacks without compromising defensive solidity. Cracovia's 4-4-2 aimed to provide attacking width and two targets up front, but the midfield struggled to gain control against Gornik's packed center. Their set-piece threat (six corners) was neutralized by Gornik's organization, and late tactical changes failed to shift the momentum as the hosts pulled away.
Turning Point
Gornik's second goal in the 78th minute killed off any hopes of a Cracovia comeback and opened the floodgates for the late third.
Man of the Match
Sondre Liseth
Scored the crucial opening goal and led the line with energy and intelligence throughout.
๐ฎ Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals ยท model says 0.80
Expected goals ยท model says 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
28%
Likely Scores
0-0 ยท 1-0 ยท 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above โ every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ not betting advice.
Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.3
Both teams have limited attacking output recently, with Gornik averaging 1.0 and Cracovia 0.8 goals per game in the last 5. Both sides also have a high draw rate (Gornik 6, Cracovia 9 this season), and the last H2H finished 1-1. The model probability for a draw (0.38) exceeds the implied probability (0.303), offering a positive edge.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction
This is a tight mid-table clash with Gornik Zabrze (4th) hosting Cracovia Krakow (9th). Both teams have struggled for goals recently and are defensively solid, with Gornik keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and Cracovia 2. Gornik have a strong home record (8W, 1D, 4L), but Cracovia are resilient on the road. The H2H history is balanced, with draws and low-scoring games common. Expect a cautious, low-scoring encounter with little to separate the sides.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- โBoth teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
Attack
- โBoth teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game over the last 5 matches.
Defence
- โGornik have 3 clean sheets in last 5; Cracovia have 2.
Injuries & Team News
- โNo significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- โSeason over 2.5 goal % is below 50% for both sides.
- โRecent H2H meetings are tight: last 2 league games ended 1-1 and 0-1.
- โGornik's home record is strong, but Cracovia are hard to beat away (4W, 4D, 5L).
๐ฉ Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Gornik Zabrze and 4.8 for Cracovia Krakow, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% ยท Over 10.5: 36%.
How Gornik Zabrze and Cracovia Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Gornik Zabrzelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Cracovia Krakowlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow โ Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form โ 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid โ 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack โ 15 shots/game
Concerns
- โInconsistent โ 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Gornik Zabrze wins
1
Draws
5
Cracovia Krakow wins
Things to Watch: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow
- โ ๏ธShot and possession data is incomplete for some recent matches, limiting attack/defence granularity.
- โ ๏ธCorners and cards data is sparse, reducing set piece and discipline confidence.
- โ ๏ธMarket odds are heavily skewed towards 'no' on BTTS and 'under' 2.5, limiting value.
- โ ๏ธLineups are not available at time of analysis; late changes could impact prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Resources
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Cracovia Krakow Predictions
All Cracovia Krakow fixtures & tips
Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results