Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Wisla Krakow
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 1.52
Recommended Bets: Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow: Match Preview
Radomiak Radom come into this fixture on the back of two wins, but their overall season remains a struggle: 14th in the table, a -12 goal difference, and 29 goals conceded in 14 matches. Wisla Krakow occupy fifth, but their away form is a glaring weakness—winless in seven on the road—despite a positive goal difference and a far stronger home record. Both sides have recent form strings that hint at inconsistency, but Radomiak's defence remains the more persistent liability.
The statistical profile of this match is shaped by high concession rates and attacking intent on both sides. Radomiak average 1.21 scored and 2.07 conceded per game, while Wisla average 1.57 for and 1.36 against, with their away matches averaging 3.14 total goals. Both teams' last five matches show similar BTTS rates (3/5), and neither keeps clean sheets consistently (one each in last five). Shot volumes are healthy (Radomiak 14.4, Wisla 16.2 per game last five), and both sides' over 2.5 goal rate sits at 64%. Discipline is middling, but corners are frequent, especially for Radomiak at home (5.6 per game last five).
The model expects a match played at a brisk tempo, with Wisla's superior shot quality and Radomiak's defensive frailty tipping the balance. While Wisla's away record is poor, their underlying metrics suggest improvement is likely, and Radomiak's home advantage is not enough to offset their defensive issues. A 2-1 away win is most probable, with the main caveat being Wisla's historical away underperformance.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow that most previews miss.
- 1Radomiak's home matches average 3.0 total goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of those games.
- 2Wisla Krakow have failed to win any of their seven away matches, but average more shots (16.2) and possession (53%) on the road than at home.
- 3Both teams have kept just one clean sheet in their last five league matches.
Who do you think wins: Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.52
Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of 14 league matches (64.3%), and Radomiak's home games average 3.0 goals while Wisla's away games average 3.14. Defensive records on both sides are suspect, with Radomiak conceding 2.07 per game and Wisla 2.0 away.
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Match Result: Wisla Krakow Win@ 1.97
Wisla Krakow are fifth with a +3 goal difference and average 1.57 goals per game, facing a Radomiak side conceding over two per match. Wisla's away record is poor (0W 3D 4L), but their shot and possession numbers (16.2 shots, 53% possession last five) suggest they're underperforming results.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-variance encounter between a Radomiak side with one of the league's leakiest defences and a Wisla Krakow team whose underlying numbers on the road are much better than their results. Both teams' matches average over 2.5 goals, and neither keeps clean sheets with regularity. The most likely outcome is a narrow Wisla away win in a match with multiple goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Radomiak have conceded 29 goals in 14 matches (2.07 per game), the second-worst defensive record in the division.
- →Wisla Krakow are winless away (0W 3D 4L), but average 1.14 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away match.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of 14 league games (64.3%).
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Radomiak Radom and 4.5 for Wisla Krakow, for an expected total of 9.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 40%.
How Radomiak Radom and Wisla Krakow Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Krakowlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radom have found some momentum with consecutive wins, but those are their only victories in the last seven matches, and their defensive record remains a major concern. Wisla Krakow's form is patchy (WLWDL), but their underlying numbers suggest they're underachieving away from home. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring, open games recently.
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow
Radomiak have won both previous meetings between these sides in the Ekstraklasa, including a 4-2 home win in 2022. However, with only two matches played, there is insufficient data for a strong head-to-head trend.
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Radomiak Radom wins
0
Draws
0
Wisla Krakow wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow
Bookmaker odds on Wisla (1.95) slightly overstate their win probability compared to the model's 50%, offering little value. The BTTS and home win markets are also overpriced relative to underlying rates. The best statistical edge is on the over 2.5 goals market, though odds are currently unavailable for value assessment.
Odds from William Hill. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow
- ⚠️Wisla's inability to convert strong shot/possession numbers into away wins introduces result volatility.
- ⚠️Radomiak's recent uptick (back-to-back wins) may signal a short-term form shift not captured in season-long rates.
- ⚠️No odds available for over/under markets at time of modelling, so value assessment is incomplete there.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Radomiak Radom 1–2 Wisla KrakowThe model projects a 2-1 win for Wisla Krakow, driven by Radomiak's league-worst defensive record (2.07 conceded per game) and Wisla's consistent attacking output. The greatest risk to this scenario is Wisla's inability to translate possession and shot dominance into away victories, as seen in their 0W-3D-4L away record.
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow: Common Questions
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow?
Wisla Krakow are favoured with a 50% win probability, compared to 24% for Radomiak and 26% for the draw. The main driver is Radomiak's poor defensive record and Wisla's attacking consistency, though Wisla's away form (0 wins in 7) tempers confidence.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow?
There is a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' high-scoring profiles: each has seen 9 of 14 matches go over this line, and their games average over 2.7 goals.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
The model assigns a 58% chance to both teams scoring, with each side keeping just one clean sheet in their last five matches and Radomiak conceding in 79% of their league games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.