Granada CF vs FC Andorra Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Granada CF
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
FC Andorra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Match Result
8.2/10Andorra Edge Granada in Five-Goal Thriller Amid Flurry of Cards
FC Andorra stunned Granada CF at Nuevo Los Cármenes with a 3-2 victory in a frenetic Segunda División clash marked by relentless attacking and a remarkable eight yellow cards for the visitors. The match swung back and forth, with Andorra seizing an early lead and surviving a late Granada fightback, ultimately holding on for three precious away points. Granada, dominant in possession (62%) and racking up 23 shots with 14 corners, found themselves repeatedly frustrated by a resilient Andorra defense and the sharp reflexes of Pau López. Despite their attacking intent, the hosts were undone by Andorra's clinical finishing and their own defensive lapses, as the visitors converted three of their six shots to maximum effect. The match was a showcase of grit, drama, and tactical shifts, with both sides refusing to relent until the final whistle.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
7' — Goal
Jordi Cano gives Andorra an early lead with a sharp finish.
33' — Goal
Andorra double their advantage, capitalizing on a defensive lapse.
48' — Goal
José Arnáiz pulls one back for Granada, igniting the home crowd.
50' — Goal
Andorra restore their two-goal cushion just two minutes later.
78' — Goal
Granada score again to set up a tense finale.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Andorra accumulate eight yellow cards as they battle to preserve their lead.
Granada CF
Granada CF dictated the tempo for much of the match, enjoying 62% possession and launching wave after wave of attacks. Their 23 shots and 14 corners reflected their offensive ambition, but a lack of cutting edge in front of goal and some defensive frailties proved costly. The midfield trio, led by Gumbau and Rubén Alcaraz, controlled play but struggled to contain Andorra's swift counters. Despite a spirited second-half comeback with goals in the 48th and 78th minutes, Granada could not overturn the deficit. Their inability to convert dominance into goals, coupled with lapses at the back, ultimately left them empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
FC Andorra
FC Andorra executed a disciplined and opportunistic game plan, absorbing pressure and striking clinically on the break. Despite seeing just 38% of the ball and conceding 14 corners, they made their chances count, scoring three goals from only six shots. The back line, marshaled by Diego Alende and Marc Bombardó, withstood Granada's onslaught, while Pau López was outstanding between the posts. Andorra's physical approach was evident in their 25 fouls and eight yellow cards, but it was their efficiency in attack and resilience under siege that ultimately secured a famous away win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up in a 4-3-3 formation, but the match quickly became a contrast in styles. Granada sought to control possession and stretch the play, using their full-backs and wingers to create overloads and force set pieces, as evidenced by their 14 corners. However, their high line left them vulnerable to Andorra's rapid transitions and direct play. Andorra, meanwhile, sat deep and compact, inviting Granada forward before springing into attack with pace and precision. Their aggressive pressing in midfield disrupted Granada's rhythm, but also led to a high foul count and disciplinary issues. Substitutions in the second half saw Granada push more men forward, but Andorra's defensive organization and Pau López's heroics ensured the visitors held on.
Turning Point
Andorra's third goal in the 50th minute, coming just after Granada had halved the deficit, deflated the hosts and proved decisive.
Man of the Match
Pau López
His string of crucial saves under intense pressure was instrumental in securing Andorra's victory.
Granada CF vs FC Andorra: Match Preview
Granada CF approach this fixture buoyed by a strong opening to the campaign, sitting 10th after five matches with just one defeat and a home record that remains unblemished. Their current run (DLWWD) includes a convincing 2-0 win over Mallorca and a 3-1 away victory at Cordoba, showing resilience after their lone setback at Eibar. In contrast, FC Andorra are in freefall, having lost four consecutive matches since their opening-day win, and find themselves languishing in 19th with the division’s joint-worst defensive record among teams outside the bottom three.
Tactically, Granada’s strength has been their ability to keep matches tight, especially at home, where they’ve conceded only once in two games. Their attack isn’t prolific, but they’re clinical late on—four of their last five goals have come after the break. Andorra, despite averaging a staggering 21.2 shots and 68.8% possession per match over the last five, have been punished repeatedly on the counter and have conceded two or more in three of their last four. Both sides struggle to strike early: just one first-half goal for Granada in five, while Andorra have conceded seven after the interval in the same period. Set pieces and discipline could also play a role, with both teams averaging over 13 fouls and at least 1.8 yellow cards per game.
Given the contrasting momentum, the model expects Granada’s defensive composure and second-half sharpness to tell. Andorra’s high shot count could keep them in the contest, but their defensive lapses and inability to translate possession into points weigh heavily. A narrow home win, likely settled in the second half, is the most probable outcome.
How Granada CF and FC Andorra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Granada CF vs FC Andorra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Granada CFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Andorralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CF have built steady momentum, bouncing back from an early loss to go unbeaten in three and showing improved defensive discipline at home. FC Andorra, meanwhile, are stuck in a rut—four straight defeats, including back-to-back losses conceding three and four goals, reflect a side low on confidence and struggling to convert possession into results.
Granada CF vs FC Andorra — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 21 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 69% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Granada CF vs FC Andorra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Granada CF vs FC Andorra that most previews miss.
- 1FC Andorra have conceded seven of their last ten goals after half-time, highlighting a persistent second-half drop-off.
- 2Granada CF have kept two clean sheets in their last five, both at home or against higher-ranked opposition.
- 3Despite averaging 21.2 shots per game, Andorra have failed to score in two of their last five matches.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Granada CF vs FC Andorra?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Granada CF vs FC Andorra Prediction
Granada CF enter this fixture with momentum on their side, having lost just once in their opening five matches and showing a knack for responding to setbacks. FC Andorra, by contrast, are in the midst of a four-match losing streak, with defensive frailty undermining their otherwise possession-heavy style. The clash pitches a side on the rise against one searching for answers, with recent form suggesting the home team are better placed to capitalise. Statistically, Granada’s attack has found more rhythm at home, averaging 1.5 goals per game at Los Cármenes and conceding only once in two home outings. FC Andorra’s away record is a concern: two losses, five goals conceded, and a worrying trend of conceding late. Andorra’s shot volume is high (21.2 per game over the last five), but their finishing and defensive transitions have let them down, as seen in their 4-2 defeat at Celta de Vigo II and 3-1 home loss to Real Sociedad II. Both teams tend to score more after the break, with Granada netting four of their last five goals in the second half, while Andorra have shipped seven second-half goals in the same span. The model expects Granada’s recent solidity and Andorra’s ongoing defensive issues to shape the contest. While Andorra’s high possession and shot counts hint at potential, their inability to convert and their vulnerability to swift counter-attacks make them underdogs here. Granada’s form, especially at home, and their ability to keep games tight early before asserting themselves after half-time, point towards a narrow but deserved win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Granada CF are unbeaten at home this season (W1 D1), conceding just once in two matches.
- →FC Andorra have lost four straight, conceding nine goals in those defeats and failing to keep a clean sheet all season.
- →Granada have scored four of their last five goals in the second half, while Andorra have conceded seven second-half goals in their last five.
Where the Model Sees Value: Granada CF vs FC Andorra(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Granada CF have suffered just one defeat in their last five (DLWWD), while FC Andorra arrive on a four-game losing streak and have conceded two or more in three of those. The home side’s recent defensive solidity (two clean sheets in five) contrasts with Andorra’s 0% clean sheet rate, making the home win the form-driven call.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides’ last five matches average over 2.2 combined goals, and FC Andorra’s games have gone over 2.5 in 60% of their fixtures, with their defence conceding two per game on average. Granada’s attack is not prolific, but Andorra’s high shot concession and late-game collapses suggest goals are likely.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
🚩 Granada CF vs FC Andorra Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Granada CF and 4.6 for FC Andorra, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
What History Says: Granada CF vs FC Andorra
The head-to-head record is finely balanced, with each side claiming one win and two draws in their last four meetings. Recent encounters have tended to be cagey, with three of the last four finishing under 2.5 goals and only once has either side scored more than once in a match.
Granada CF vs FC Andorra Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
Granada CF wins
2
Draws
1
FC Andorra wins
Things to Watch: Granada CF vs FC Andorra
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis and expected value calculations are limited.
- ⚠️Small sample size early in the season increases volatility in form-based predictions.
- ⚠️Andorra’s high shot numbers (21.2 per game) could translate into goals if finishing improves.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Granada CF 2–1 FC AndorraThe model projects a 2-1 win for Granada CF, driven by their recent home solidity and Andorra’s ongoing defensive collapse—four straight defeats with nine goals conceded. The biggest risk is Andorra’s underlying shot volume: if their finishing regresses positively, they could punish Granada’s occasional lapses, but the form trajectory makes the home side clear favourites.
Granada CF vs FC Andorra: Common Questions
Who will win Granada CF vs FC Andorra?
The model gives Granada CF a 48% chance of victory, with the draw at 32% and FC Andorra at just 20%. Granada’s unbeaten home record and Andorra’s four-game losing streak tilt the balance towards the hosts.
Will both teams score in Granada CF vs FC Andorra?
There’s a 54% probability of both teams scoring, as Andorra’s matches have seen goals at both ends in three of their last five, and Granada have only kept two clean sheets in that span.
Can FC Andorra end their losing streak?
While Andorra’s shot numbers are high, their defensive record (ten conceded in five, no clean sheets) and current form (LLLLW) make a turnaround unlikely—only a 20% win probability and 32% chance of a draw according to the model.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Granada CF vs FC Andorra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.