Granada CF vs Tenerife Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Granada CF
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Tenerife
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Granada CF vs Tenerife: Match Preview
Granada come into this fixture with wind in their sails, having strung together five consecutive victories in all competitions and climbing to fifth in the table. Their recent wins over Valladolid and Cadiz have been built on a solid defensive base and the clinical finishing of J. Pascual and J. M. Arnaiz. Tenerife, meanwhile, have slipped to mid-table after a run of four straight draws and a single defeat, unable to turn competitive performances into three points and now sitting 12th.
The tactical matchup tilts towards Granada, whose attack has averaged 2.2 goals and 10.2 shots per game over the last five, while Tenerife have conceded 1.4 per game in the same period and have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five. Granada's home record (3W, 1D, 1L, 9:5 goal difference) is a clear strength, and their recent habit of scoring late (8 of their last 11 goals after half-time) could test a Tenerife side that has shown some second-half vulnerability. Set pieces may also play a role, with Tenerife conceding nearly five corners per match in their last five.
Expect Granada to dictate the tempo, especially in the second half, as their confidence and attacking variety should eventually break down a Tenerife side that has shown resilience but lacks the cutting edge away from home. While Tenerife's streak of scoring in every recent match keeps them in the contest, Granada's momentum and home edge make them favourites to edge a competitive encounter.
How Granada CF and Tenerife Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Granada CF vs Tenerife Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Granada CFlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tenerifelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada are the form side in the division, having won five straight and kept three clean sheets in that span, including back-to-back home wins over Valladolid and Cadiz. Tenerife, on the other hand, are winless in five, drawing four and losing once, but have managed to score in every match during that stretch, showing resilience but lacking a decisive edge.
Granada CF vs Tenerife — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Granada CF vs Tenerife Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Granada CF vs Tenerife that most previews miss.
- 1Granada have won five straight in all competitions, outscoring opponents 11-3 in that run.
- 2Tenerife have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches, with four of those ending 1-1.
- 3Granada's last five home matches against Tenerife in league play have produced three wins and a 4-0 scoreline last season.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Granada CF vs Tenerife?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Granada CF vs Tenerife Prediction
Granada are riding the hottest streak in the division, having reeled off five consecutive wins with a blend of attacking variety and defensive discipline. Tenerife, by contrast, are stuck in a rut of draws, unable to convert competitive performances into wins and leaking at least one goal in every game across their last five. The contrast in momentum is stark, and the data points to a clash of a surging home side against a visitor searching for a spark.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Granada's five-match winning streak, with 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded in that period.
- →Tenerife have drawn four of their last five, conceding at least once in each and failing to keep a clean sheet.
- →Granada's home form (3W, 1D, 1L) is notably stronger than Tenerife's away record (1W, 3D, 2L, 12 conceded).
Where the Model Sees Value: Granada CF vs Tenerife(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Granada CF Win
Granada arrive on a five-match winning streak, averaging 2.2 goals and conceding just 0.6 per game in that run, while Tenerife have failed to win any of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in that period.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Tenerife have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches, and Granada's attacking momentum suggests they will contribute, but Tenerife's run of scoring in each of their last five makes BTTS a live angle.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 0.5: Over 0.5
Both sides have scored three first-half goals in their last five matches, and Granada have tended to start quickly at home during their current streak.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
🚩 Granada CF vs Tenerife Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Granada CF and 5.3 for Tenerife, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 38%.
What History Says: Granada CF vs Tenerife
Granada have had the upper hand in recent head-to-heads, particularly at home where they thrashed Tenerife 4-0 last season and have won three of the last four in Granada. The overall record in the last ten meetings reads five wins for Granada, two for Tenerife, and three draws, with home advantage often proving decisive.
Granada CF vs Tenerife Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Granada CF wins
3
Draws
2
Tenerife wins
Things to Watch: Granada CF vs Tenerife
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds were available at time of analysis, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Granada's recent run includes a cup win against lower-tier opposition, which may slightly inflate their momentum signal.
- ⚠️Tenerife's streak of draws suggests they are tough to beat, and their consistent scoring keeps them competitive.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Granada CF 2–1 TenerifeGranada's relentless form—five straight wins with three clean sheets—makes them deserved favourites, and the model expects them to extend their streak with a 2-1 victory. The single strongest data point is their recent defensive improvement, conceding just 0.6 goals per game over the last five. The likeliest way this prediction falters is if Tenerife's knack for scoring in every match and grinding out draws continues, potentially frustrating the home side and forcing a share of the points.
Granada CF vs Tenerife: Common Questions
Who will win Granada CF vs Tenerife?
Granada are rated 54% likely to win, based on their five-match winning streak and strong home form, while Tenerife's chance is just 16% as they have failed to win any of their last five.
Will both teams score in Granada CF vs Tenerife?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, reflecting Tenerife's run of five consecutive BTTS matches and Granada's attacking momentum.
Can Granada's winning run continue against Tenerife?
Granada's recent momentum is impressive, with 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded in their last five, and the model sees them as strong favourites to extend their run, but Tenerife's habit of drawing and scoring in every game means it may not be straightforward.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Granada CF vs Tenerife: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.