Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Predictions
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
Full Time
6 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 2
Yunnan Yukun
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 1.7(+22% edge)
Match Result
8.7/10Hangzhou Greentown Hit Yunnan Yukun for Six in Ruthless Rout
Hangzhou Greentown produced a scintillating attacking display at the Huizhou Olympic Stadium, dismantling Yunnan Yukun 6-0 in a one-sided Super League encounter. The hosts raced out of the blocks, netting twice within the opening four minutes and never looked back, overwhelming their visitors with relentless pressure and clinical finishing. By halftime, Hangzhou had already put five past a shell-shocked Yunnan defense, with the sixth arriving immediately after the restart. Statistically dominant, Hangzhou Greentown controlled 53% of possession, fired 16 shots (10 on target), and won seven corners, while restricting Yunnan Yukun to just five shots on target from 13 attempts. The visitors, who struggled to cope with Hangzhou's fluid 4-3-3 formation, were further hampered by disciplinary issues, picking up two yellow cards as frustration mounted. This emphatic victory cements Hangzhou's credentials as one of the league's most formidable attacking outfits.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
6 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
2' — Goal
Hangzhou Greentown open the scoring, setting the tone for a dominant display.
4' — Goal
Hangzhou double their lead inside four minutes, leaving Yunnan Yukun stunned.
29' — Goal
Hangzhou add a third, putting the result beyond doubt before the half-hour mark.
39' — Goal
Fourth goal for Hangzhou as the hosts continue to pile on the misery.
45' — Goal
Hangzhou make it five just before halftime, capping a ruthless first half.
46' — Goal
The sixth goal arrives immediately after the restart, extinguishing any hope for Yunnan.
various' — Yellow Cards
Yunnan Yukun pick up two bookings as frustration boils over; Hangzhou receive one yellow.
Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown were utterly dominant from the first whistle, setting the tone with two lightning-quick goals in the opening four minutes. Their front three were in devastating form, constantly stretching the Yunnan defense and linking up superbly with the midfield. The hosts' pressing game forced turnovers high up the pitch, and their transitions were swift and incisive, leading to a flurry of first-half goals. Defensively, Hangzhou remained organized and disciplined, conceding just five shots on target and keeping a clean sheet. The midfield trio orchestrated play efficiently, while the backline, marshaled by Lucas Possignolo, snuffed out the rare Yunnan attacks. The team's ability to maintain intensity after halftime, immediately adding a sixth goal, underlined their professionalism and hunger.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun endured a torrid afternoon, conceding twice before they could settle and never recovering from Hangzhou's early blitz. Their 4-3-3 formation was repeatedly breached, with the midfield unable to shield the backline or retain possession under pressure. Despite a handful of attempts on goal, Yunnan rarely threatened to score and struggled to create clear chances. Defensively, the team was overrun, and lapses in concentration were ruthlessly punished. Their discipline waned as the match wore on, picking up two yellow cards in a desperate attempt to stem the flow. Yunnan will need to regroup quickly after this chastening defeat.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-3-3 formation, but Hangzhou Greentown executed their system with far greater cohesion and intensity. The hosts pressed high and forced turnovers, exploiting the flanks and finding space between the lines. Their front three rotated positions fluidly, dragging Yunnan's defenders out of shape and creating overloads in wide areas. Hangzhou's midfielders supported attacks with late runs and provided defensive cover, ensuring balance throughout. Yunnan Yukun, by contrast, struggled to maintain their shape under pressure. Their midfield was often bypassed, and the back four were exposed repeatedly. Attempts to play out from the back were stifled by Hangzhou's pressing, and Yunnan's own attacking forays were isolated and easily contained. Set pieces offered little respite, with Hangzhou also dominating in this department, winning seven corners to Yunnan's three.
Turning Point
The opening four minutes, in which Hangzhou Greentown scored twice, shattered Yunnan Yukun's confidence and set the stage for the rout.
Man of the Match
A. Mitriță
Led the attacking line superbly, likely involved in multiple goals and central to Hangzhou's offensive dominance.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun: Match Preview
Hangzhou Greentown approach this match sitting 11th, but their recent form has been inconsistent, with back-to-back defeats and no clean sheets in their last five. Yunnan Yukun, third in the table, arrive with momentum after consecutive wins and the league's highest over 2.5 goal rate, but their away record (3W 2D 6L) is only average, suggesting vulnerability on the road.
The statistical matchup is defined by attacking output and defensive frailty on both sides. Hangzhou Greentown average 1.5 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game, while Yunnan Yukun are even more extreme at 2.0 scored and 1.83 conceded. Both teams' last five matches have seen an average of over 3.5 total goals, with BTTS landing in 9 of those 10 combined games. Set-piece activity is high, with Yunnan Yukun averaging 6 corners and both teams over 12 fouls per game, indicating a match likely to feature plenty of attacking phases and bookings.
Given these rates, the model expects a wide-open contest with multiple goals and both teams likely to find the net. The most probable outcome is a high-scoring draw, with the 2-2 scoreline emerging as the single likeliest result. Defensive lapses on both sides, especially late in games, point to a match that could swing either way in the final stages.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
67%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun that most previews miss.
- 1Yunnan Yukun's matches have produced 3.83 goals per game this season, the highest in the division.
- 2Hangzhou Greentown have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches, conceding at least twice in four of those.
- 3Second halves are high-event: Yunnan Yukun have scored 9 of their last 12 goals after the interval.
Who do you think wins: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 1.7
Both teams have scored in 9 of their last 10 combined matches, and both average over 1.5 goals scored per game this season, with Hangzhou Greentown at 1.5 and Yunnan Yukun at 2.0.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.8
82.6% of Yunnan Yukun's matches and 63.6% of Hangzhou Greentown's have gone over 2.5 goals this season, while both sides average nearly 2 goals conceded per game.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw@ 3.6
The model rates the draw at 29% in a fixture where both teams are high-scoring but defensively vulnerable, and two of their three previous meetings have been decided by one goal or ended level.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as one of the highest goal environments of the round, with both sides combining for 85 goals scored and 81 conceded across 45 matches. Hangzhou Greentown's home attack and Yunnan Yukun's away scoring rate suggest a match with multiple lead changes and a high likelihood of both teams scoring.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have scored in all of Hangzhou Greentown's last five matches and four of Yunnan Yukun's last five.
Defence
- →Hangzhou Greentown have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches and have a season clean sheet rate of just 13.6%.
Match Context
- →Yunnan Yukun have seen over 2.5 goals in 82.6% of their league matches this season.
🚩 Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Hangzhou Greentown and 4.7 for Yunnan Yukun, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 65% · Over 10.5: 40%.
How Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hangzhou Greentownlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yunnan Yukunlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hangzhou Greentown have struggled defensively, losing their last two matches and conceding at least two goals in four of their last five. Yunnan Yukun, by contrast, are on a two-match winning streak and have scored at least three goals in three of their last five, though they have also conceded in four of those games. Both teams have been consistently involved in high-scoring encounters, with no recent clean sheets.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 84% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown are unbeaten in three previous meetings with Yunnan Yukun, winning twice and drawing once. Every head-to-head has featured goals from both teams, and two of the three have finished with exactly three goals. The most recent clash saw Hangzhou Greentown win 2-1 away.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
3
Hangzhou Greentown wins
1
Draws
0
Yunnan Yukun wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun
The strongest value edges are on both teams to score (model 72% vs implied 59%) and over 2.5 goals (68% vs 56%), both supported by season-long goal rates and recent form. The draw also shows a small value edge, reflecting the statistical likelihood of a high-scoring stalemate given both teams' profiles.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun
- ⚠️Small sample size in head-to-head (3 matches) limits reliability of direct matchup trends.
- ⚠️Both teams' defensive numbers are poor, but variance in finishing could still produce a lower scoreline.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hangzhou Greentown 2–2 Yunnan YukunThe model projects a 2-2 draw, driven by both teams' high goals scored and conceded rates (Hangzhou Greentown 1.5/1.77, Yunnan Yukun 2.0/1.83 per game) and a combined 73% over 2.5 rate. The biggest risk to this call is a finishing slump from either side, but the underlying shot and xG volumes support a goal-heavy contest.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun: Common Questions
Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
The model gives Yunnan Yukun a slight edge (38% win probability) over Hangzhou Greentown (33%), with the draw also highly likely at 29%. Both teams are high-scoring but defensively inconsistent, making a draw or narrow win for either side most probable.
Will both teams score in Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Yes is rated at 72% probability, as both sides have scored in all of Hangzhou Greentown's last five and four of Yunnan Yukun's last five, with neither team keeping more than one clean sheet in that span.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
The model estimates a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by Yunnan Yukun's 82.6% over 2.5 rate and Hangzhou Greentown's 63.6%, making this one of the round's most goal-prone fixtures.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Resources
Hangzhou Greentown Predictions
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Yunnan Yukun Predictions
All Yunnan Yukun fixtures & tips
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results