Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Predictions

Harborough Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1

Worksop Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: Harborough Town vs Worksop Town
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town: Match Preview
Harborough Town and Worksop Town arrive level on points after 11 matches, both sitting in the lower mid-table with 15 points each. Harborough have been especially effective at home, collecting four wins from six and conceding just six times on their own turf. Worksop's away record is less convincing, with three defeats in five and a negative goal difference on the road, but their recent 2-1 win over Morecambe suggests some resilience.
Statistically, this fixture sets up as a low-scoring, attritional contest. Harborough's last five matches average just 1.6 total goals, and they've kept three clean sheets in that run. Worksop, meanwhile, have been involved in higher-scoring games overall (season over 2.5 goals rate: 63.6%), but their away matches average 2.8 goals and the attack has been inconsistent. Both sides struggle to generate consistent shot volume, and neither has a standout set-piece record or disciplinary trend to tilt the balance.
The model expects a tight encounter, with both sides more likely to cancel each other out than produce a shootout. Harborough's defensive organisation at home and Worksop's recent defensive frailty point to a slight edge for the hosts, but the most probable outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline reflecting the underlying rates and the lack of a clear attacking threat from either team.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
49%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Harborough Town vs Worksop Town that most previews miss.
- 1Harborough Town's home matches average just 2.33 goals per game, compared to Worksop Town's away average of 2.8.
- 2Worksop Town have kept only two clean sheets in 11 league games (18.2%), and none in their last five.
- 3Harborough Town have scored in only three of their last five matches, highlighting their conservative attacking approach.
Who do you think wins: Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Harborough Town vs Worksop Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both sides average almost identical points per game and goal difference, with Harborough Town at 1.36 points and -1 GD, Worksop Town at 1.36 and -5; the model's 34% draw probability reflects two mid-table teams with similar home/away splits and limited attacking output.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Harborough Town matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 7 of 11 (63.6%), and their last 5 average just 1.6 total goals per game, while Worksop Town's away games average 2.8 but trend lower recently; model probability for under is 53%.
Read more ↓
More National League - North Predictions
The Case For This Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Prediction
Two mid-table sides with nearly identical records meet, each showing more solidity than attacking flair. Harborough Town's strong home record (4W-1D-1L, 8:6 goal difference) contrasts with Worksop Town's patchy away form (2W-0D-3L, 5:9), but neither side has established a clear edge in recent performances. The statistical profile points to a low-scoring, competitive contest, with neither attack likely to dominate.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams have scored exactly 11 (Harborough) and 12 (Worksop) goals in 11 league matches, indicating limited attacking output.
Defence
- →Harborough Town have conceded just 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, including three clean sheets.
- →Worksop Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding 2.4 per game in that stretch.
How Harborough Town and Worksop Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Harborough Town come in on a two-match winning streak, having kept three clean sheets in their last five and conceding just 0.6 goals per game over that span. Worksop Town have been more volatile, winning two of their last five but conceding 12 goals in that stretch, with no clean sheets. Both teams are level on points, but Harborough's defensive trend gives them slightly more momentum.
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Harborough Town vs Worksop Town
Harborough Town have won both previous meetings, including a 3-2 home victory in the FA Cup last season. The sample is limited, but both matches saw the home side win by a single-goal margin, suggesting a competitive dynamic.
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Harborough Town wins
0
Draws
0
Worksop Town wins
Things to Watch: Harborough Town vs Worksop Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of shots, possession, and set-piece data limits precision on tactical matchups.
- ⚠️Small head-to-head sample (2 matches) offers minimal predictive value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Harborough Town 1–1 Worksop TownThe model forecasts a 1-1 draw, driven primarily by both teams' near-identical scoring rates (1.0–1.09 goals per game) and Harborough's strong home defensive record. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Worksop's recent defensive lapses continue and Harborough capitalise with a second goal, but neither attack inspires confidence in a high-scoring outcome.
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town: Common Questions
Who will win Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
The model gives Harborough Town a 39% chance of victory, Worksop Town 27%, and a draw 34%. Both teams have similar points and goal differences, so a close contest is expected.
Will both teams score in Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
There is a 52% probability that both teams will score, with Worksop Town involved in BTTS games in 4 of their last 5 and Harborough Town keeping three clean sheets in the same span.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The probability for under 2.5 goals is 53%, reflecting Harborough Town's low-scoring home games (average 2.33 goals) and their recent run of clean sheets.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Harborough Town vs Worksop Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Resources
Harborough Town Predictions
All Harborough Town fixtures & tips
Worksop Town Predictions
All Worksop Town fixtures & tips
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Buxton vs Harborough Town
Harborough Town — next match predictions
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town
Worksop Town — next match predictions
National League - North Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results