Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town Predictions
National League - North · England
Worksop Town
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
King's Lynn Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: King's Lynn Town Win
Recommended Bets: Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town: Match Preview
Worksop Town enter this fixture 13th in the National League North, having taken just 16 points from 12 matches and conceding 19 goals—the fifth-worst defensive record in the division. Their recent form is mixed (DWLLW), with a 2-2 draw at Buxton last time out and only three wins from six home games. King's Lynn Town, meanwhile, sit fourth with 20 points and a positive goal difference, having won three of their last five and showing improved defensive discipline with three clean sheets in that span.
The underlying numbers highlight a matchup between a porous home defence and a visiting side with one of the league’s more potent attacks. Worksop’s home games average 2.5 goals, but their clean sheet rate is just 16.7%. King's Lynn have been efficient on the road, scoring 12 and conceding only 7 in six away matches. Notably, Worksop have conceded 2.4 goals per game over their last five, while King’s Lynn have conceded just 0.6, indicating a likely imbalance in shot quality and defensive resilience.
Statistically, this shapes up as an away-leaning contest in a moderate-to-high goal environment. King's Lynn’s away scoring rate (2.0 per game) and Worksop’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest the visitors are more likely to edge it, but Worksop’s ability to score at home (1.17 per game) means both teams are likely to contribute. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 win for King's Lynn Town, with the away side’s superior defensive and attacking rates the decisive factors.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town that most previews miss.
- 1Worksop Town have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten league matches, conceding 19 in 12 overall.
- 2King's Lynn Town have scored at least once in 11 of their 12 league games and average 2.0 goals per away match.
- 3Four of the last five Worksop matches have seen both teams score, despite their poor defensive record.
Who do you think wins: Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: King's Lynn Town Win
King's Lynn Town have a superior away record (3W 1D 2L, 12 scored, 7 conceded) and are fourth in the table, while Worksop Town have lost half their home games and concede 1.33 goals per match at Sandy Lane.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Worksop Town’s matches go over 2.5 goals 66.7% of the time, and both sides average at least 1.8 goals scored per game across their last five, suggesting a moderately high-scoring environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Worksop have seen both teams score in four of their last five, and King's Lynn have failed to score only once all season, though the away side’s defence is trending stronger.
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More National League - North Predictions
The Case For This Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town Prediction
King's Lynn Town arrive with a clear statistical edge, boasting a +6 goal difference and a strong away record, while Worksop Town have struggled for defensive solidity at home. The underlying rates point to a contest where the visitors’ attack is likely to find more success, especially after Worksop’s recent run of conceding 2.4 goals per game over their last five. The most probable scenario is a narrow away win in a match with a moderate goal count.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →King's Lynn Town average 2.0 goals scored per away game and concede just 1.17.
- →Worksop Town have kept only one clean sheet in six home matches this season.
- →Worksop’s matches see over 2.5 goals in two-thirds of fixtures, driven by a leaky defence.
How Worksop Town and King's Lynn Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Worksop Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
King's Lynn Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Worksop Town’s recent form has been inconsistent, with just two wins in their last five and a worrying trend of conceding 12 goals in that span. King's Lynn Town, by contrast, have won three of their last five and kept three clean sheets, indicating a tightening defence and growing momentum as they push for the play-off places.
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town
The head-to-head record is finely balanced, with three draws in the last five meetings and neither side scoring more than twice in any of those fixtures. The last two matches at Sandy Lane have both ended level, suggesting a tendency for closely-fought encounters.
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Worksop Town wins
3
Draws
1
King's Lynn Town wins
Things to Watch: Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available—no value edge can be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent shot, possession, and set piece data are missing, increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️Both teams’ last 5 match stats are based on small samples and may overstate recent trends.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Worksop Town 1–2 King's Lynn TownThe model favours King's Lynn Town to win 2-1, anchored by their strong away scoring rate (2.0 per game) and Worksop’s low clean sheet percentage (16.7%). The likeliest way this prediction misses is if Worksop’s attack capitalises on home advantage and King's Lynn’s recent defensive run proves unsustainable, leading to a higher-scoring draw.
Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town: Common Questions
Who will win Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town?
King's Lynn Town are given a 46% probability of winning, compared to 24% for Worksop Town and 30% for the draw. The visitors’ superior away form and goal difference make them favourites.
Will both teams score in Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with Worksop seeing BTTS in four of their last five and King's Lynn scoring in 11 of 12 league matches.
How many goals are expected in Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town?
The model estimates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Worksop’s high over 2.5 rate (66.7%) and both sides’ recent attacking output.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Worksop Town vs King's Lynn Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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