Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Harrow Borough
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Chertsey Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Chertsey Town Win
Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town: Match Preview
Chertsey Town enter this friendly in strong form, unbeaten in their last five with four wins and a draw, and an impressive 13 goals scored. Harrow Borough, by contrast, have drawn three of their last five, with a more modest 1.4 goals per game and two clean sheets in that stretch. With no league standings to reference and both sides coming off off-season fixtures, the focus is on recent output and momentum.
Statistically, the matchup tilts towards Chertsey Town's attacking edge. Their last five matches have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 1 conceded per game, while Harrow Borough's games have been tighter, averaging 2.0 total goals. BTTS has landed in 4 of Chertsey's last 5 and 3 of Harrow's, and Chertsey have hit over 2.5 goals in 60% of their recent outings, indicating a more open game when they play. Harrow's defensive record is solid, but their attack has struggled to match the same output, with one clean sheet and one failed to score in their last five.
Given these trends, the model expects Chertsey Town to edge the contest, likely by a single-goal margin. Their superior scoring rate and recent form, combined with Harrow Borough's tendency to keep games close but not convert draws to wins, suggest a 2-1 away victory as the most probable outcome. Goal volume should be above average, but not a rout, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town that most previews miss.
- 1Chertsey Town's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 (60%), with an average of 3.6 total goals per game.
- 2Harrow Borough have drawn 60% of their last five matches, indicating a tendency to keep games close.
- 3Both teams have scored in 7 of their combined last 10 matches, pointing towards a strong BTTS trend.
Who do you think wins: Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Chertsey Town Win
Chertsey Town have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 1 conceded per match across their last five, winning four of five, while Harrow Borough have drawn three of their last five and have a lower attacking output at 1.4 goals per game.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Chertsey Town's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last five, with 13 goals scored and 5 conceded, while Harrow Borough have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 4 of Chertsey Town's last 5 and 3 of Harrow Borough's last 5, suggesting both sides are more effective going forward than at the back.
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The Case For This Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town Prediction
Chertsey Town arrive with a clear upper hand in recent scoring rates and momentum, while Harrow Borough's defensive solidity has kept games close but not decisive. The data points to a match shaped by Chertsey's attacking output against a Harrow side that tends to keep things tight but lacks firepower to match. Expect Chertsey's edge in goal production to be the difference.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Chertsey Town have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches (2.6 per game), conceding just 1 goal per game.
- →Harrow Borough have drawn 3 of their last 5, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match.
Match Context
- →BTTS has landed in 4 of Chertsey Town's last 5 and 3 of Harrow Borough's last 5.
How Harrow Borough and Chertsey Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Harrow Boroughlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Chertsey Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chertsey Town are on a strong run, unbeaten in five with four wins and 13 goals scored, including a recent 4-2 victory. Harrow Borough have been harder to beat but less decisive, drawing three of their last five and averaging just 1.4 goals per game. The momentum is clearly with Chertsey heading into this fixture.
Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town
The only recent head-to-head between these sides was a 3-2 win for Harrow Borough away at Chertsey Town in a 2022 friendly, indicating an open contest but offering little predictive value given the time elapsed and friendly context.
Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Harrow Borough wins
0
Draws
1
Chertsey Town wins
Things to Watch: Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town
- ⚠️No season-long data for Harrow Borough; all home stats are based on their last five matches only.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent matches are mostly friendlies or lower-league fixtures, so competitive intensity may not match league play.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited to model probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Harrow Borough 1–2 Chertsey TownThe model projects a 2-1 win for Chertsey Town, with their 2.6 goals per game average in recent matches the clearest signal. The main risk is Harrow Borough's defensive discipline turning this into another low-scoring draw, as seen in three of their last five.
Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town: Common Questions
Who will win Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town are favoured by the model, with a 49% probability of an away win compared to 23% for Harrow Borough and 28% for a draw. Chertsey's recent form and attacking output give them the edge.
Will both teams score in Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town?
The model gives a 62% probability for both teams to score, based on BTTS landing in 4 of Chertsey Town's last 5 and 3 of Harrow Borough's last 5 matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town?
There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals according to the model, with Chertsey Town's matches averaging 3.6 total goals and going over 2.5 in 60% of their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Harrow Borough vs Chertsey Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.