Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Predictions
Premiership · Scotland
Hibernian
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Dundee Utd
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Dundee Utd Win
@ 3.25(+30% edge)
Recommended Bets: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: Match Preview
Hibernian approach this fixture desperate to reverse a dire home record, having failed to win at Easter Road all season (0W-1D-5L) and sitting 10th in the table. Their recent form is mixed, but a 4-0 win at Aberdeen last time out hints at some attacking revival. Dundee Utd, in contrast, are unbeaten in five (DDWDW), have climbed to sixth, and have a solid away record with points in four of six road games.
The matchup is defined by Hibs’ defensive vulnerability at home (1.83 goals conceded per game) and Dundee Utd’s ability to generate chances—averaging 15.8 shots and 6.4 on target over their last five. Both sides are consistent contributors to BTTS and over 2.5 goal markets, with each seeing four of their last five matches end with both teams scoring. Dundee Utd’s early goal threat is notable: six of their last eight goals have arrived before half-time, while Hibs have conceded first in five of six home matches.
Given these trends, the model expects an open encounter with a strong probability of multiple goals, particularly before the break. Dundee Utd’s more reliable attack and Hibs’ inability to keep clean sheets at home (8.33% clean sheet rate) give the visitors the edge, though Hibs’ recent uptick in attack means a home goal is likely.
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Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hibernian vs Dundee Utd that most previews miss.
- 1Hibernian have conceded at least two goals in four of six home league matches this season.
- 2Dundee Utd have scored in all but one of their away games, averaging 1.67 goals per away match.
- 3Four of the last five Hibernian vs Dundee Utd meetings at Easter Road have featured at least four goals.
Who do you think wins: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Dundee Utd Win@ 3.54
Dundee Utd have a superior away scoring rate (1.67 goals per away game) compared to Hibernian's home output (0.83 goals per home game), and Hibs have yet to win at Easter Road this season (0W-1D-5L). The model gives Dundee Utd a 40% win probability, well above the 31% implied by current odds.
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The Case For This Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Prediction
This fixture pits a Hibernian side with the league’s worst home record against a Dundee Utd team showing consistent away scoring and a strong recent run. Hibs have failed to win any of their six home matches, collecting just a single point and conceding nearly two goals per game at Easter Road. Dundee Utd, meanwhile, have taken points from four of six away trips and have only failed to score once on the road. Statistically, this is a contest shaped by weak home defence and a visiting side that creates high shot volumes: Hibs allow 1.83 goals per home match, while Dundee Utd average 15.8 shots and 6.4 on target per game over their last five. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in at least half their league games, and four of their last five matches have delivered BTTS. The first half could be decisive, with Dundee Utd netting six of their last eight goals before the break. The model expects an open game with Dundee Utd’s more balanced attack and Hibs’ defensive frailty at home tipping the scales. Most likely, Dundee Utd exploit Hibs’ inability to keep clean sheets at Easter Road, but Hibs’ recent upturn in attack (1.8 goals per last five) means both sides should contribute to the scoreline.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have scored in four of the last five matches for each side.
Attack
- →Dundee Utd average 1.67 goals per away game and 15.8 shots per match in their last five.
Defence
- →Hibernian have not won any of their six home league matches (0W-1D-5L, 5 scored, 11 conceded).
🚩 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Hibernian and 5.4 for Dundee Utd, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Hibernian and Dundee Utd Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hibernianlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Dundee Utdlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hibernian have just snapped a poor run with back-to-back wins, including a 4-0 away victory at Aberdeen, but remain winless at home this season (0W-1D-5L). Dundee Utd are unbeaten in their last five league matches and have taken points from four of their last six away games, showing consistent attacking output on their travels.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
What History Says: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd
The last ten meetings are balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws), but recent encounters at Easter Road have been goal-rich, with three of the last four producing at least four goals. The most recent clash saw Dundee Utd win 1-0 at home, but draws and high scores have been common in this fixture.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Hibernian wins
4
Draws
3
Dundee Utd wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd
The away win is the standout value, with the model’s 40% Dundee Utd win probability well above the 31% implied by 3.25 odds. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS are both fairly priced, with model probabilities closely matching bookmaker lines, so the clearest edge is on the away side.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd
- ⚠️Both teams have shown increased attacking output in recent matches, raising the variance in the likely goal count.
- ⚠️Hibernian's last match was a 4-0 away win, suggesting some potential for form improvement not fully captured in season-long rates.
- ⚠️No major injuries are reported, but lineups are not confirmed at time of prediction.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hibernian 1–2 Dundee UtdDundee Utd are favoured to edge a high-scoring contest, with a 2-1 away win the likeliest result. The single strongest data point is Hibernian’s 0W-1D-5L home record and just 8.33% clean sheet rate at Easter Road. The main risk is Hibs’ recent attacking surge—if their 4-0 win at Aberdeen signals a genuine shift, the match could tilt towards a draw or a higher-scoring stalemate.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: Common Questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
The model gives Dundee Utd a 40% chance of winning, compared to 31% for Hibernian and 29% for the draw. Dundee Utd’s superior away scoring rate and Hibs’ winless home record are the key factors.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
Yes is favoured, with a 64% probability. Both teams have scored in four of the last five matches for each side, and Hibernian have failed to keep a home clean sheet all season.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 62%, supported by Hibernian’s 66.7% season over 2.5 rate and both sides’ recent high-scoring games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.