IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
IF Elfsborg

IF Elfsborg

AI Predicted Score

2 - 2

BK Hacken

BK Hacken

🗓️ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 10:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

IF Elfsborg 36%Draw 33%BK Hacken 31%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Recommended Bets: IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS: Yes
7/10

IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken: Match Preview

Both IF Elfsborg and BK Hacken come into this friendly with near-identical season records—Elfsborg have won 4 of 9, Hacken 4 of 8, and both are negative on goal difference. Elfsborg are on a two-match winning streak, while Hacken's last outing was a 5-0 away demolition of Kalmar, highlighting their attacking potential. The head-to-head series is even, with neither side holding a psychological edge, but both will want to maintain momentum ahead of their respective league campaigns.

The underlying numbers point to a high-scoring affair. Elfsborg average 1.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game, while Hacken are even more volatile at 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded. Over their last five, both sides are generating over 11 shots per match, and neither has failed to score in more than one of those games. The H2H record is even more striking: 8 of the last 10 have seen both teams score, and the average is 4.0 goals per meeting. Both teams show a tendency to score more after half-time (Elfsborg: 5 second-half goals in last 5, Hacken: 7).

Given these rates, the model expects a match with multiple goals and little to separate the sides. Both teams' defences are prone to lapses (Elfsborg clean sheet rate 22%, Hacken 37.5%), and their attacks are in rhythm. The most probable outcome is a score draw, with the 2-2 correct score reflecting both the teams' attacking output and the history between them.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

IF Elfsborg1.70

Expected goals · model says 1.70

BK Hacken1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
IF Elfsborg 41% Draw 23% BK Hacken 36%

Over 2.5 Goals

64%

BTTS: Yes

65%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
33%
31%
IF Elfsborg 36%Draw 33%BK Hacken 31%
Both Teams to Score
68%
32%
Yes 68%No 32%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
66%
34%
Over 2.5 66%Under 2.5 34%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
54%
46%
Over 9.5 54%Under 9.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken that most previews miss.

  • 1Hacken's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 this season (75%), the highest rate between the two.
  • 2Elfsborg have failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 competitive and friendly matches combined.
  • 3The last 3 H2H at Elfsborg's home have averaged 4.0 goals, with both teams scoring in every one.

Who do you think wins: IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Prediction

Statistically, this friendly between IF Elfsborg and BK Hacken projects as a high-scoring, evenly matched contest. Both teams arrive with similar records and goal metrics, and their recent head-to-head history is rich in goals and drama.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Hacken average 1.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game in the league.
  • →The last 10 H2H meetings have produced 40 goals (4.0 per game) with only 2 clean sheets.

Match Context

  • →Elfsborg's season over 2.5 goal rate is 55.6%, Hacken's is 75%.

🚩 IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Corners Prediction

low confidence
10expected total corners
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for IF Elfsborg and 4.8 for BK Hacken, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How IF Elfsborg and BK Hacken Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborglast 5 matches
M. KamaraXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. OstmanXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. WikstromXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. OlssonXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Sigurpalssonsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

BK HackenBK Hackenlast 5 matches
G. LindgrenXI
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

J. LindbergXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. SvanbackXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. Wawasub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Elfsborg are trending upwards with two consecutive wins and have not failed to score in any of their last five. Hacken, meanwhile, rebounded from a home loss to Vasteras with a 5-0 away thrashing of Kalmar, showing their attack is in strong form. Both teams are averaging over 1.2 goals per game across the season and have each kept two clean sheets in their last five.

IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken — Last 9 Matches

IF ElfsborgIF ElfsborgLast 9 results
D0-0
W3-1
W3-2
W2-1
L0-2
L0-2
W1-0
L1-2
L1-3
D@ Fredrikstad0-0
Wvs Osters IF3-1
Wvs AIK Stockholm3-2
Wvs IF Brommapojkarna2-1
L@ Gais0-2
Lvs Fredrikstad0-2
Wvs Daejeon Citizen1-0
Lvs Aarhus1-2
Lvs B 931-3

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
BK HackenBK HackenLast 8 results
L1-4
D2-2
W4-0
L0-3
W2-1
W2-0
L1-5
W2-0
Lvs Hammarby FF1-4
Dvs Mjallby AIF2-2
Wvs Halmstad4-0
L@ Sarpsborg 08 FF0-3
Wvs IFK Goteborg2-1
Wvs Orgryte IS2-0
Lvs Polessya1-5
Wvs FC Nordsjaelland2-0

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season

What History Says: IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken

The last 10 meetings are split evenly at 4 wins apiece, with 2 draws, but the dominant theme is goals: 8 of those 10 saw both teams score and the average is 4.0 per game. Only one of the last five meetings finished under 3 goals, and neither side has managed more than one clean sheet in that span.

IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

IF Elfsborg wins

2

Draws

4

BK Hacken wins

40%20% draws40%
25 May 26IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken1-1
3 Aug 25BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg1-2
6 Jul 25IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken0-2
6 Dec 24IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken5-1
19 Oct 24IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken1-3
14 Jul 24BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg3-5

Things to Watch: IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations cannot be performed.
  • ⚠️Standings and detailed home/away splits for this specific competition are missing.
  • ⚠️Friendlies can see experimental lineups and lower intensity, which may affect goal and card rates.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

IF Elfsborg 2–2 BK Hacken

A 2-2 draw is the likeliest outcome, underpinned by both teams' high goals-per-game averages and a head-to-head history that consistently delivers goals. The strongest data point is the combined over 2.5 goal rate (Elfsborg 55.6%, Hacken 75%), but the main risk is that friendly match dynamics—such as rotation or reduced intensity—could dampen the scoring output.

IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken: Common Questions

Who will win IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken?

The model gives Elfsborg a 36% chance, the draw 33%, and Hacken 31%, reflecting how evenly matched these sides are. Both teams have similar season records and the H2H is balanced at 4 wins each from the last 10.

Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken?

Yes is rated at 68%, with both teams scoring in 8 of their last 10 meetings and each averaging over a goal per game this season.

How likely is over 2.5 goals in IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 66%, supported by Hacken's 75% over 2.5 rate and Elfsborg's 55.6%. Their last 10 H2H average 4.0 goals per match.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for IF Elfsborg vs BK Hacken: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 25 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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