IK brage vs Degerfors IF Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
IK brage
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Degerfors IF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: IK brage vs Degerfors IF
IK brage vs Degerfors IF: Match Preview
IK Brage approach this friendly on a five-game winless run, having drawn twice and lost three times in recent Superettan action. Their attack has been inconsistent, with only one match in the last five yielding more than a single goal, and their defence has conceded two or more in three of those outings. Degerfors IF, meanwhile, are coming off a similarly patchy spell, losing four of their last five and failing to score in all but one, despite a season average of 1.88 goals per game.
Statistically, the match-up is defined by both sides’ season-long scoring rates (Brage 1.8, Degerfors 1.88) and defensive frailties (Brage 2.0 conceded per game last five, Degerfors 1.4). Degerfors’ matches have been high-scoring over the season (over 2.5 goals in 87.5%), but both teams have struggled for first-half goals recently, suggesting a slow start is likely. Set-piece threat is moderate—Degerfors average 5.2 corners per game in their last five, Brage 3.4—but neither side has shown a consistent edge here.
The model expects a closely-fought encounter, with both teams’ recent attacking struggles offset by leaky defences. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the underlying rates and a head-to-head pattern that favours stalemates. The main risk to this scenario is Degerfors’ potential to rebound to their season scoring average, which could tip the balance towards a higher-scoring affair.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
IK brage vs Degerfors IF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind IK brage vs Degerfors IF that most previews miss.
- 1Degerfors IF have failed to score in four of their last five but averaged 1.88 goals per game over the season.
- 2IK Brage's last five matches have seen both teams score in four instances, despite only one clean sheet between them.
- 3Degerfors IF’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 87.5% of their season games, compared to 60% for IK Brage.
Who do you think wins: IK brage vs Degerfors IF?
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Where the Model Sees Value: IK brage vs Degerfors IF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average between 1.8 and 1.88 goals scored per game across their respective seasons, but recent form shows a drop-off in attack and a tendency for tight matches; the 1-1 has occurred in two of their last nine H2H and aligns with the model's highest probability.
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BTTS: Yes
IK Brage have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, while Degerfors IF’s season over 2.5 rate is 87.5%, suggesting a goal for each is more likely than not, despite Degerfors' recent scoring drought.
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The Case For This IK brage vs Degerfors IF Prediction
The statistical profile points to a balanced contest, shaped by both teams’ season-long scoring rates and recent downturns in attacking output. Degerfors IF’s matches have produced 2.5+ goals in 87.5% of cases this season, but a run of four blanks in their last five hints at declining efficiency. IK Brage, meanwhile, have failed to win in their last five but have managed to score in four of those, averaging 1.0 goals per game recently versus a season rate of 1.8. Tactically, Degerfors IF’s away record (2W, 1D, 2L, 9GF, 9GA) is notable for its volatility, with both teams averaging over 1.6 goals conceded per game across the season. Brage’s home defence has been robust in the league (2 home games, 0 conceded), but that comes from a small sample and contrasts with their recent trend of conceding two per game. Both sides’ shot volumes are modest (Brage 8, Degerfors 11.8 per game last 5), and first-half goals have been rare (Brage 2, Degerfors 0 in last 5). Given the underlying rates and a head-to-head history featuring four draws in the last nine meetings, the model expects a low-scoring, competitive match, with a 1-1 draw the likeliest outcome. The most plausible deviation comes if Degerfors’ attack reverts to its season mean, raising the ceiling for total goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →IK Brage have failed to win in their last five matches, scoring just five times.
- →Degerfors IF have failed to score in four of their last five, despite a season average of 1.88 goals per game.
Match Context
- →Degerfors IF's season over 2.5 goals rate is 87.5%, highest among the two.
🚩 IK brage vs Degerfors IF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for IK brage and 4.7 for Degerfors IF, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How IK brage and Degerfors IF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
IK brage vs Degerfors IF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
IK bragelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Degerfors IFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
IK Brage are winless in their last five, with a form string of LDDLL and only one clean sheet in that span. Degerfors IF have lost four of their last five, scoring just once, but their season scoring rate remains high. Both teams are trending down from their season averages, pointing to a dip in momentum.
IK brage vs Degerfors IF — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 87.5% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: IK brage vs Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF have the edge in recent head-to-heads, with four wins to Brage’s one in the last nine meetings. However, four draws—including two 1-1s—underscore the fixture’s tendency to finish level. High-scoring games have been rare, with only one match in the last nine featuring more than three goals.
IK brage vs Degerfors IF Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
1
IK brage wins
4
Draws
4
Degerfors IF wins
Things to Watch: IK brage vs Degerfors IF
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams diverges from their season-long scoring rates, increasing forecast uncertainty.
- ⚠️No current league standings or venue data, limiting context on motivation and pitch effects.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
IK brage 1–1 Degerfors IFA 1-1 draw is the model’s most likely outcome, driven by both teams’ season-long scoring rates and a head-to-head history of stalemates. The single strongest data point is Degerfors IF’s over 2.5 goals rate (87.5%), but their recent scoring drought tempers expectations. If Degerfors rediscover their attacking efficiency, the match could open up beyond the projected scoreline.
IK brage vs Degerfors IF: Common Questions
Who will win IK brage vs Degerfors IF?
The model gives IK Brage a 33% chance to win, Degerfors IF a 30% chance, and a draw the highest probability at 37%. Both teams have struggled for wins recently, so a stalemate is slightly more likely based on the data.
Will both teams score in IK brage vs Degerfors IF?
There is a 60% probability that both teams will score, supported by Brage’s four BTTS matches in their last five and Degerfors’ high season scoring average, despite their recent drought.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in IK brage vs Degerfors IF?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% probability by the model, with Degerfors IF's season matches going over this line in 87.5% of cases, though both teams’ recent form suggests a slightly lower-scoring trend.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for IK brage vs Degerfors IF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.