Israel vs Austria Predictions
UEFA Nations League · World
Israel
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Austria
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–2
Recommended Bets: Israel vs Austria
Israel vs Austria: Match Preview
Austria top the group with two wins and two draws, while Israel languish at the bottom, still searching for a first victory after four rounds. The hosts have failed to score in both home matches and have the poorest attack in the group, while Austria's consistent scoring has put them in pole position. The market sees Austria as strong favourites, but their two away draws in the group hint at a less straightforward task than the odds suggest.
Statistically, Austria's attack has been the standout unit in this group, averaging 1.8 goals and 5.2 shots on target per game over their last five. Israel, by contrast, have managed just 0.6 goals and 2.6 shots on target per game in the same span, and their home output is even weaker. Defensively, Austria have yet to keep a clean sheet in the Nations League, conceding in every match, while Israel's back line has been breached seven times in four group games. Set-piece threat is modest on both sides, with corners averaging under four per game.
The model expects Austria to control possession and create more clear chances, but Israel's defensive structure at home could keep the scoreline tighter than the reverse fixture. Austria's tendency to concede means Israel are not without hope of a goal, but the visitors' superior attacking numbers and group context make them deserved favourites. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, with the draw a plausible risk given Austria's away record.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Israel vs Austria
The market prices Austria as clear favourites, but the model finds no meaningful edge at current odds, with probabilities and prices closely matched across 1x2 and goals markets. The best statistical angles—such as Austria's tendency to concede and Israel's home struggles—are already well-reflected in the bookmaker lines, leaving little genuine value to exploit.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: Israel vs Austria(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–2
With Austria's attack averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five and Israel failing to score in both home Nations League matches, the 1-2 scoreline aligns with both teams' recent output and defensive vulnerabilities, though odds are not available to confirm value.
Read more ↓
Israel vs Austria Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Israel vs Austria that most previews miss.
- 1Austria have seen over 2.5 goals in 75% of their Nations League matches this campaign.
- 2Israel have not scored in either home group match, but have kept two clean sheets in their last five overall.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have produced goals for both teams, with an average of 4.0 goals per match.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 1-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Israel vs Austria?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
More UEFA Nations League Predictions
The Case For This Israel vs Austria Prediction
Austria arrive as group leaders and clear market favourites, but their away record (two draws from two) is less dominant than their overall form suggests. Israel, winless in the group and goalless at home, face a tall order to halt a side that has scored in every group match. The market's short price on Austria is justified by their attacking numbers and Israel's struggles, but the draw is not as remote as the odds imply.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Israel have failed to score in both home group matches and average just 0.5 goals per game this campaign.
Defence
- →Austria have not kept a clean sheet in any group match, with BTTS landing in 4 of their last 5.
Match Context
- →Austria have scored 9 goals in 4 Nations League matches, compared to Israel's 2.
🚩 Israel vs Austria Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Israel and 4.2 for Austria, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 22%.
How Israel and Austria Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Israel vs Austria Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Israellast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Austrialast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Israel's recent form is uninspiring, with no wins in their last five and just two goals scored in four group matches. Austria, by contrast, are unbeaten in the Nations League, averaging over two goals per game and showing far more attacking intent, though both of their away games have ended in draws.
Israel vs Austria — Last 4 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Israel vs Austria
Austria have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning three of the last five, including a 3-1 home victory earlier in this group. Both teams have found the net in four of those five meetings, with high-scoring encounters common between these sides.
Israel vs Austria Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
2
Israel wins
0
Draws
3
Austria wins
Things to Watch: Israel vs Austria
- ⚠️Austria's away record in the group is two draws, not wins, indicating some vulnerability on the road.
- ⚠️Israel's defensive setup has produced two clean sheets in their last five, suggesting they can frustrate stronger sides at times.
- ⚠️No odds available for BTTS or correct score markets, limiting value assessment.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Israel 1–2 AustriaAustria's firepower and Israel's lack of home goals point toward a 2-1 away win, with the visitors' 1.8 goals per game in recent matches the single strongest indicator. The main risk is Austria's habit of conceding on their travels, which could allow Israel to snatch a draw if their attack finally sparks at home.
Israel vs Austria: Common Questions
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
Austria are strong favourites with a 61% model probability to win, compared to Israel's 15% and a 24% chance of a draw. This is driven by Austria's group-leading attack and Israel's struggles at home.
Will both teams score in Israel vs Austria?
The model gives a 51% probability for both teams to score, reflecting Austria's record of conceding in every group match and Israel's overall low scoring rate. Four of the last five H2H meetings have seen goals at both ends.
Is there value in backing Austria at the current odds?
At odds of 1.6 (implied 62.5%), the model's probability of 61% suggests little to no value in backing Austria at this price. The market is well-aligned with the underlying data, so no clear edge is present.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Israel vs Austria: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Israel vs Austria Resources
Israel Predictions
All Israel fixtures & tips
Austria Predictions
All Austria fixtures & tips
Israel vs Austria Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Kosovo vs Israel
Israel — next match predictions
Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland
Austria — next match predictions
UEFA Nations League Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results