This fixture pits a Kosovo side with a marginally positive home record and defensive discipline against an Israel team struggling to find the net and points. The statistical profile points to a low-scoring contest, with Kosovo’s 0.
World UEFA Nations League Predictions
34 upcoming AI-powered predictions for World UEFA Nations League
Bookmakers have priced Norway as overwhelming favourites, but the data does not support such a gulf: both teams have identical records (1 win, 3 losses) and sit at the foot of their group, with neither side finding consistent form. Norway's attack is more potent, averaging 1.
Hungary arrive in Tbilisi as clear market favourites, but the data paints a more nuanced picture: while Hungary’s recent run (WWDLW) and away win at Ukraine stand out, Georgia’s defensive organisation has kept them competitive, even as their attack has failed to fire. The market’s short price on Hungary (2.
Portugal arrive in Braga riding a wave of momentum, having won all four of their UEFA Nations League matches and outscoring opponents 9-4 in the process. Their form string of 'WWWW' is underpinned by a dynamic attack—averaging 16.
Bookmakers are pricing this as a marginal home favourite (2. 5) but with little conviction, leaving Ukraine not far behind at 3.
Austria enter this fixture as group leaders with a robust home record—two wins from two, scoring six and conceding just twice in Linz—while Ireland have been more inconsistent, sitting third and having won only once in four group matches. The market makes Austria clear favourites at 1.
Romania limp into this Nations League tie on the back of four consecutive defeats, conceding 13 goals in that stretch and bottom of their group with zero points. Their last home outing saw them narrowly edged 0-1 by Sweden, but the deeper concern is the defensive frailty on display throughout this campaign.
Bookmakers have Sweden as clear favourites at home, but the underlying data paints a more nuanced picture. Sweden's perfect home record in this Nations League group (2 wins from 2, 5 goals scored) is countered by Bosnia & Herzegovina's resilience on their travels, having taken four points from two away games and conceding only twice.
Montenegro arrive in Limassol unbeaten in the group and top of the standings, having scored in every away match and carrying a season average of 1. 8 goals per game.
This is a low-scoring Nations League fixture between two sides struggling for attacking output, with Armenia's marginally higher shot volume and defensive solidity away from home giving them a statistical edge.
This fixture pits the group’s most robust defence against the most consistent attack, with Belarus conceding just twice in five matches (0. 4 per game) and Albania averaging two goals scored per outing.
Finland come into this fixture with a recent dip in form but remain overwhelming favourites against a San Marino side mired in a long losing streak. The Finns have shown their attacking ceiling with a 7-0 away win in the reverse fixture, while San Marino’s defensive frailties and lack of attacking threat continue to define their campaign.
France enter this Nations League clash with momentum on their side, having won three of their last five and showing attacking intent with 17. 8 shots and 6.
Italy's superior away scoring rate and historical control of this fixture tilt the model towards a narrow away win, with the likeliest scenario a 2-1 scoreline. Belgium's home output has been modest, and their defensive numbers are mirrored almost exactly by Italy's, but the visitors' ability to find goals from multiple sources and their recent upturn in form provide the edge.
Spain and England meet in Madrid with both sides riding waves of momentum: Spain have won all five Nations League matches, while England have bounced back from an opening defeat to win four straight, including a 7-0 away demolition of Croatia. Both teams have scored at least two goals in every match since their last encounter, and neither has failed to score in this campaign.
Both Croatia and Czech Republic enter this Nations League clash desperate to halt alarming losing streaks, but only one will find any relief. Croatia's recent form is poor on paper—four straight defeats and just one win in five—but the underlying numbers suggest they have been more competitive than their results indicate, particularly in their last two outings where they pushed England and Spain close.
Slovakia arrive in Astana with momentum firmly on their side, unbeaten in five and averaging over two goals per match, while Kazakhstan are still searching for a first win and have conceded in every outing. The visitors’ high-possession, high-shot approach has consistently overwhelmed weaker opposition, and Kazakhstan’s defensive frailty—1.
Both teams arrive with defensive frailties and a lack of cutting edge, as reflected in their near-identical goals for and against rates. Faroe Islands have become draw specialists, while Moldova's away record is slightly superior but still modest.
Statistical signals point to a low-scoring, attritional contest in Tallinn, where Estonia's defensive solidity faces a Bulgaria side struggling for attacking output and reeling from heavy defeats. The underlying rates—0.
Lithuania enter this fixture on the back of a quietly impressive run, losing just once in their last five matches (DLWDW) and posting three clean sheets in that stretch. Their 2-0 win away to Liechtenstein in September set the tone for this group, and they have since added a 3-0 friendly win over Andorra and a hard-fought draw with Azerbaijan.
Iceland enter this fixture riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in the Nations League group and coming off a thumping 5-0 away win over Bulgaria. Their recent form string (WDWWD) and 12:1 goal difference over five matches highlight a side peaking at the right time.
This fixture brings together a Germany side with a solid defensive record but modest attacking output and a Netherlands team in prolific scoring form, leading their Nations League group. The Dutch have averaged nearly three goals per match and are unbeaten, while Germany have dropped points in three of five and scored just six times.
Greece's recent form has been a tale of resilience and recovery, only marred by a catastrophic 0-7 defeat to the Netherlands last time out. Prior to that, they were unbeaten in four, including a gritty 1-0 win away to Germany and a comeback 2-2 home draw against the Dutch.
Malta's superior scoring rate and Gibraltar's lack of attacking output point to a low-scoring contest with the visitors holding the edge, but the distribution of results in this fixture means a draw remains a significant risk.
Switzerland’s statistical dominance in both attack and defence this campaign points to a controlled, low-concession home performance, while Scotland’s away record and recent shot data indicate limited threat. The likeliest scenario is Switzerland taking an early lead and maintaining control, with Scotland struggling to create high-quality chances.
FYR Macedonia come into this fixture in the midst of a brutal run, having lost all five group matches and scored just once. Slovenia, by contrast, are riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in four of their last five and boasting three clean sheets in that span.
Portugal arrive in Cardiff riding a wave of momentum, having won four straight in the Nations League and outscored opponents 9-4 during that run. Wales, by contrast, have lost four of their last five, including a limp 0-1 home defeat to Denmark and a 0-1 loss in the reverse fixture against Portugal.
The market narrowly favours Norway on the road, but the data paints a picture of two sides with similar strengths and defensive frailties. Denmark's home form is patchy, while Norway have struggled away, yet both carry enough attacking threat to trouble each other.
A low-scoring contest is the most likely scenario given both teams' attacking struggles and defensive solidity in this group. Ukraine have managed just 2 goals in 4 matches (0.
This is a statistical stalemate between two of the Nations League's most defensively disciplined sides. Hungary have conceded just twice in four group matches, while Northern Ireland have yet to allow a single goal, collecting four clean sheets and two away wins.
Austria arrive as group leaders and clear market favourites, but their away record (two draws from two) is less dominant than their overall form suggests. Israel, winless in the group and goalless at home, face a tall order to halt a side that has scored in every group match.
A statistical deadlock is anticipated, with both sides struggling for attacking consistency but maintaining defensive discipline. Ireland's home record of two draws from two, coupled with Kosovo's one away goal in the group, points to a cagey, low-event contest.
This is a contest between a Poland side with a strong home defensive record and a Sweden team that leads the group and has yet to lose. The statistical profile points to a tight match, with Sweden's slightly higher attacking output and more consistent form tipping the balance.
Momentum is firmly with Bosnia & Herzegovina, who have not tasted defeat in the Nations League group and recently swept Romania aside 4-2 away. Romania, by contrast, are spiralling: four straight group defeats, 13 goals conceded, and a blunt attack that has failed to find the net in half their last four matches.