Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Gornik Zabrze
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Jagiellonia or Draw
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams are evenly matched in standings and form, with a high draw rate and recent H2H history supporting a 1-1 outcome.
Double Chance: Jagiellonia or Draw
Jagiellonia's home record is notably stronger than Gornik's away record, and the draw is highly probable.
BTTS: Yes
4 of Jagiellonia's last 5 and 2 of Gornik's last 5 have seen both teams score, with both averaging over a goal per game.
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction
This is a pivotal clash between two top-four sides level on points and closely matched in most metrics. Jagiellonia have been inconsistent at home recently but have the league's third-best home attack, while Gornik Zabrze are in slightly better form but struggle away from home. Both teams have a high draw rate and a history of close, competitive matches. Expect a tight contest with goals at both ends, but neither side likely to dominate.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form: Gornik are unbeaten in 5 (3W, 2D), Jagiellonia only 1 win in last 5.
- →Head-to-head is balanced: 4 wins each, 2 draws in last 10, with several close games.
Attack
- →Jagiellonia have a strong home attack (29 goals in 14 home games).
Defence
- →4 of Jagiellonia's last 5 games saw BTTS; Gornik have 3 clean sheets in 5.
Match Context
- →Both teams are tied on points and are 3rd/4th in the table.
- →Gornik Zabrze's away record is modest (3W, 6D, 5L, 13 GF, 20 GA).
🚩 Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Jagiellonia and 5 for Gornik Zabrze, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Jagiellonia and Gornik Zabrze Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Jagiellonialast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Gornik Zabrzelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Jagiellonia wins
2
Draws
4
Gornik Zabrze wins
Things to Watch: Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value or EV can be calculated.
- ⚠️Away team stats for shots, possession, cards, and corners in last 5 are missing.
- ⚠️Lineups are unknown; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams' motivation may be high due to close league positions, but pressure can affect outcomes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.