Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Kalsdorf
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Grazer AK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Grazer AK Win
Recommended Bets: Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK
Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK: Match Preview
Kalsdorf come into this friendly off a mixed run in the Regionalliga South, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five. Their attack has produced 1.6 goals per game in that stretch, but a lack of clean sheets and a season average of 2.17 goals conceded per match highlight defensive vulnerabilities. Grazer AK, meanwhile, have been competing at a higher level in the Bundesliga and arrive unbeaten in their last three, including a 2-1 away win at SCR Altach and a 2-2 home draw with Austria Vienna.
Tactically, the matchup is defined by Kalsdorf’s high-scoring, high-conceding profile (83% over 2.5 goals) against a Grazer AK side that generates 12.6 shots per game and concedes just 0.8 goals per match over their last five. Grazer AK’s away record is limited but solid, and their shot efficiency, combined with Kalsdorf’s inability to keep clean sheets, points to a match where the visitors are likely to create more and higher-quality chances. H2H history also favours Grazer AK, who have not lost to Kalsdorf in the last five meetings.
The model expects Grazer AK’s attacking depth and defensive structure to edge the contest, but Kalsdorf’s scoring rate at home means the hosts are unlikely to be shut out. An away win with both teams on the scoresheet is the likeliest scenario, with the statistical distribution supporting a 2-1 or 2-0 result for Grazer AK.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK that most previews miss.
- 1Kalsdorf’s matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 83% of their games this season, far above average.
- 2Grazer AK have failed to win only once in their last five H2H meetings with Kalsdorf, recording three wins and two draws.
- 3Grazer AK’s last five matches average 12.6 shots and 4 shots on target per game, compared to zero recorded for Kalsdorf’s last five.
Who do you think wins: Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Grazer AK Win
Grazer AK have a significantly stronger away scoring and defensive rate (1.55 goals scored/conceded per game) compared to Kalsdorf’s home record, and have won three of the last five H2Hs with no losses.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Kalsdorf’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 83% of their season games, while Grazer AK’s defensive record is not watertight, supporting a higher goal environment.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK Prediction
Statistically, this friendly sets up as a higher-than-average scoring contest, with Kalsdorf’s defensive frailty (2.17 goals conceded per game) likely to be tested by a Grazer AK side that averages 1.55 goals per match and has shown attacking consistency. Kalsdorf’s recent home form is solid but not dominant, and their over 2.5 goal rate is extremely high at 83%, suggesting a match with chances at both ends. Grazer AK’s recent results include two wins and a draw from their last three, with a shot output of 12.6 per game and 4 on target, underlining a clear attacking edge over Kalsdorf. The away side’s last five have seen them concede just 0.8 goals per game, while Kalsdorf have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. H2H history is also in Grazer AK’s favour, with three wins and two draws from the last five meetings, including a 3-2 away win in their last league encounter at Kalsdorf. The model expects Grazer AK’s greater shot volume and more robust defensive numbers to tilt the balance, but Kalsdorf’s attack (1.6 goals per game in the last five) is capable of breaking through. The most likely scenario is an away win in a match with at least two goals, with Grazer AK’s efficiency in both boxes the decisive factor.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Grazer AK average 12.6 shots and 4 shots on target per game in their last five.
Match Context
- →Kalsdorf’s season matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 83% of cases.
- →Grazer AK have not lost in the last five H2H meetings (3 wins, 2 draws).
🚩 Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Kalsdorf and 4.2 for Grazer AK, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 32%.
How Kalsdorf and Grazer AK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kalsdorflast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Grazer AKlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kalsdorf have taken 8 points from their last five matches (WLWDD), scoring 8 and conceding 5, but have not kept a clean sheet in that span. Grazer AK’s recent form is steadier, with two wins and two draws in their last five, and a defensive record of just 0.8 goals conceded per game, reflecting a more balanced side.
Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
What History Says: Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK
Grazer AK have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five fixtures against Kalsdorf. The last time they met at Kalsdorf, Grazer AK won 3-2, and Kalsdorf have not beaten them in over a decade of recorded matches.
Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
0
Kalsdorf wins
2
Draws
3
Grazer AK wins
Things to Watch: Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available — value and expected value cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Friendly match status introduces uncertainty around lineups and motivation.
- ⚠️No current league standings or detailed home/away splits for this fixture.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Kalsdorf 1–2 Grazer AKThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Grazer AK, primarily driven by their superior shot production (12.6 per match) and Kalsdorf’s high concession rate (2.17 per game). The main risk is that, as a friendly, both sides may rotate heavily or ease off defensively, which could either open the game up for more goals or reduce intensity and lead to a flatter contest.
Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK: Common Questions
Who will win Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK?
Grazer AK are favoured with a 50% probability of victory, compared to 22% for Kalsdorf and 28% for the draw. This is based on their stronger scoring rate, shot volume, and dominance in recent head-to-heads.
Will both teams score in Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK?
Both teams to score is rated at 52%, with Kalsdorf averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last five and Grazer AK conceding 0.8 per match in the same span. Kalsdorf’s lack of clean sheets and attacking output suggest both sides are likely to find the net.
How many goals are expected in Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK?
There is a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals, driven by Kalsdorf’s 83% over 2.5 rate this season and both teams’ recent scoring trends. The model projects a 2-1 win for Grazer AK as the most likely scoreline.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kalsdorf vs Grazer AK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.