Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Kawkab Marrakech
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Ittihad Tanger
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Ittihad Tanger Punish Ten-Man Kawkab Marrakech in Clinical Away Win
Ittihad Tanger secured a decisive 2-0 away victory over Kawkab Marrakech at the Stade de Marrakech, capitalizing on both their attacking efficiency and the hosts’ disciplinary woes. The visitors struck just before half-time and doubled their advantage midway through the second period, while Kawkab’s hopes were further dashed by a red card and a flurry of bookings. The match was marked by a tense first half, with both sides showing aggression and picking up four yellow cards each. However, it was Ittihad Tanger who broke the deadlock in the 43rd minute, seizing momentum before the interval. Kawkab’s discipline unraveled after the break, culminating in a red card that left them with ten men and vulnerable to a second Tanger strike at the 63rd minute. The visitors managed the game well from there, closing out a composed and deserved win.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
43' — Goal
Ittihad Tanger break the deadlock with a crucial strike just before half-time.
Second half' — Red card
Kawkab Marrakech reduced to ten men, compounding their difficulties.
63' — Goal
Ittihad Tanger double their lead, effectively sealing the three points.
Kawkab Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech struggled to impose themselves, with discipline issues undermining their efforts throughout. Four yellow cards and a costly red left them chasing the game for much of the second half, and they failed to find a way back after conceding just before half-time and again on 63 minutes. Despite home advantage, Kawkab were unable to generate enough attacking threat or composure to trouble Ittihad Tanger, and their frustration was evident in the rash challenges that led to their bookings.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger delivered a professional away performance, taking their chances clinically and maintaining composure in a heated atmosphere. Their opening goal just before the break gave them a crucial advantage, and they capitalized further after Kawkab were reduced to ten men, sealing the win with a second goal in the 63rd minute. Their ability to keep their discipline—despite also receiving four yellow cards—helped them control the tempo and see out the match with relative comfort.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, the match's tactical narrative was nonetheless shaped by discipline and game management. Both sides started with intensity, reflected in the eight yellow cards shown, but Ittihad Tanger’s ability to stay organized and capitalize on key moments proved decisive. After Kawkab’s red card, Tanger smartly slowed the tempo, controlled possession, and exploited the extra space for their second goal. Kawkab Marrakech’s aggressive approach backfired as their numerical disadvantage left them exposed, while Tanger’s composure and clinical edge in front of goal highlighted a well-drilled, pragmatic away performance.
Turning Point
The red card to Kawkab Marrakech early in the second half, which left them vulnerable and allowed Ittihad Tanger to take full control.
Man of the Match
Ittihad Tanger goalscorer (43')
Scored the crucial opener and set the tone for Tanger’s composed victory.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
34%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have a high draw rate this season (Kawkab Marrakech: 9/24, Ittihad Tanger: 11/24), recent H2H matches are often close (including a 0-0 this season), and their defensive stats suggest a cagey contest.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low season over 2.5 rates (Kawkab Marrakech 37.5%, Ittihad Tanger 29.2%), recent form and H2H suggest a low-scoring match.
Double Chance: Kawkab Marrakech or Draw
Kawkab Marrakech are strong at home (6W, 4D, 2L), Ittihad Tanger are inconsistent away, and H2H favors the home side.
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The Case For This Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction
This is a mid-table clash between two closely matched sides with solid defensive records and limited attacking output. Kawkab Marrakech have been strong at home, while Ittihad Tanger have found some recent form but remain inconsistent on the road. Expect a tight, tactical battle with few clear chances and a high likelihood of a draw or a narrow home win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Ittihad Tanger's improved recent form (4W in last 5 all comps)
Attack
- →Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game over the season
- →Recent H2H meetings are low-scoring and often drawn
Defence
- →Both teams average below 1.1 goals conceded per game
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
Match Context
- →Kawkab Marrakech's strong home record (6W, 4D, 2L)
How Kawkab Marrakech and Ittihad Tanger Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kawkab Marrakech have mixed recent form (LWDWW), with strong home wins and a solid defensive record, but a recent away loss. Ittihad Tanger are on a good run (WLWWW), including wins over Wydad AC and Maghreb Fès, but have shown vulnerability away from home. Both sides have kept clean sheets in two of their last five matches, highlighting their defensive strengths.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
The last seven meetings have produced three draws and three wins for Kawkab Marrakech, with only one win for Ittihad Tanger. Recent matchups, including this season's 0-0, suggest a pattern of close, low-scoring games.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
3
Kawkab Marrakech wins
3
Draws
2
Ittihad Tanger wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
With no current bookmaker odds, it's not possible to identify explicit value edges. However, the model suggests the draw and under 2.5 goals are the most likely outcomes, and would likely represent value if priced above 3.0 (draw) and 1.5 (under 2.5) respectively.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner/possession data reduces model confidence in set piece and attacking threat predictions
- ⚠️Both teams' recent form is somewhat volatile, especially Ittihad Tanger's away results
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.