Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Kawkab Marrakech
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Ittihad Tanger
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Ittihad Tanger Win
Match Result
7.2/10Late Drama as Kawkab Marrakech Edge Past Ittihad Tanger 2-1
Kawkab Marrakech clinched a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Ittihad Tanger at the El Harti Stadium, thanks to a dramatic late goal that capped an entertaining contest. The hosts struck first just before the interval, but Ittihad Tanger responded after the break to level the score and set up a tense final half-hour. As both sides pressed for a winner, it was Kawkab Marrakech who found the decisive breakthrough in the 87th minute, sending the home crowd into raptures. The match was marked by a competitive edge, with both teams picking up two yellow cards apiece. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the flow of goals and the timing of key moments suggest a game of shifting momentum and tactical adjustments. Ultimately, Kawkab Marrakech's resilience and late-game composure proved the difference.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
40' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech break the deadlock just before halftime.
62' — Goal
Ittihad Tanger equalize, shifting the momentum.
87' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech score a late winner to seal the victory.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up two yellow cards each in a competitive affair.
Kawkab Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech showed strong character, opening the scoring late in the first half and responding well to Ittihad Tanger's equalizer. Their ability to regroup and push for a late winner highlighted both their attacking intent and mental fortitude. The home side managed the game's emotional swings effectively, maintaining focus and discipline even as tensions rose, as evidenced by their two yellow cards but no dismissals.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger battled bravely, coming from behind to equalize early in the second half and putting the hosts under sustained pressure. Their response after going behind showed tactical flexibility and fighting spirit. However, their inability to hold out in the closing stages ultimately cost them, as they conceded a late goal that undid their earlier efforts.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no specific formation data available, both sides showed tactical adaptability, responding to the ebb and flow of the match. Kawkab Marrakech's approach combined defensive solidity with timely forays forward, particularly evident in their late winner. Ittihad Tanger demonstrated resilience and attacking intent after the break, pressing higher up the pitch to force an equalizer. The match's competitive nature was underscored by the disciplinary record, with both teams collecting two yellow cards, indicating a hard-fought midfield battle and aggressive pressing.
Turning Point
The 87th-minute goal by Kawkab Marrakech, which decided the match after a period of sustained pressure from both sides.
Man of the Match
Kawkab Marrakech's 87th-minute Goalscorer
Scored the decisive late winner that secured all three points for the hosts.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger: Match Preview
Kawkab Marrakech return home searching for stability after a patchy start to the league campaign. Their opening two matches have produced a win and a loss, most recently edging CODM Meknès 1-0 away but falling 3-2 at home to Hassania Agadir. The hosts’ form string of WLDDD underlines their struggle to string wins together, with defensive lapses at home still unresolved. Meanwhile, Ittihad Tanger are riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in five competitive and friendly outings (DWWWW), including a 3-1 away win at Amal Tiznit and a battling 1-1 draw against Moghreb Tetouan. Their attack is purring, with 2.0 goals per game across the last five, and they have not failed to score in any of those matches.
The tactical matchup leans towards Ittihad Tanger’s sharpness in the final third against a Kawkab Marrakech back line that has kept just two clean sheets in five. The visitors’ only away league match saw them score three, while Kawkab Marrakech have already conceded three at home. Both sides are prone to lively second halves—Kawkab Marrakech have conceded three second-half goals in their last five, while Ittihad Tanger have scored six after the break in the same period. Discipline could also play a part, with the hosts averaging 0.6 cards per game recently and the visitors seeing red once in their last five.
Given Ittihad Tanger’s current trajectory and the hosts’ patchy home record, the model expects the visitors to edge a competitive contest. Kawkab Marrakech’s ability to score at home keeps them in the hunt, but Ittihad Tanger’s attacking momentum and recent H2H success tip the balance. Expect goals at both ends, but the away side’s form gives them the narrow advantage.
How Kawkab Marrakech and Ittihad Tanger Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tanger are the form side, unbeaten in five and averaging two goals per game, including a convincing 3-1 away win at Amal Tiznit. Kawkab Marrakech, by contrast, have just one win in their last five and have already lost at home this season, conceding three. The momentum and attacking sharpness are clearly with the visitors.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger that most previews miss.
- 1Ittihad Tanger have scored in every one of their last five matches, averaging 2.0 per game.
- 2Kawkab Marrakech have failed to win any of their last three home matches against Ittihad Tanger (D1 L2).
- 3Four of the last five matches involving Ittihad Tanger have seen both teams score.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger?
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The Case For This Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction
Ittihad Tanger’s surge in form puts them in pole position for this clash, with their attack firing and momentum clearly on their side. Kawkab Marrakech have struggled to turn draws into wins and remain leaky at home, while the visitors’ recent results suggest they have the edge in both confidence and execution.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Ittihad Tanger are unbeaten in five (DWWWW), scoring 2.0 per game in that run.
Match Context
- →Kawkab Marrakech have won just once in their last five (WLDDD), including a 3-2 home defeat.
- →Both teams have scored in 3 of Kawkab Marrakech's last 5 and 4 of Ittihad Tanger's last 5.
Where the Model Sees Value: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Ittihad Tanger Win
Ittihad Tanger arrive with a four-match unbeaten run (DWWWW in all competitions), averaging 2 goals per game in their last five, and have already claimed an away win this league campaign. Kawkab Marrakech, by contrast, have just one win in their last five and lost their only home match so far, conceding three. The away side’s momentum and attacking output tip the balance.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in three of Kawkab Marrakech’s last five and four of Ittihad Tanger’s last five matches, with neither defence consistently shutting out opponents. Recent H2H history also suggests goals at both ends are plausible.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen 50% of their league games go over 2.5 goals this season, and Ittihad Tanger’s last five average 2.8 total goals per game. With both teams trending towards open matches and recent H2H featuring a 3-1 and 2-2, the over is a live angle.
Read more ↓
More Botola Pro Predictions
What History Says: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
The last eight meetings are closely contested, but Ittihad Tanger have the more recent upper hand, winning 2-0 away in June 2026. Draws are common (three in eight), and both teams have scored in five of those games, suggesting another open contest is likely.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
3
Kawkab Marrakech wins
3
Draws
2
Ittihad Tanger wins
Things to Watch: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Recent data includes two friendlies for Ittihad Tanger, which may inflate their attacking stats.
- ⚠️Early season sample sizes (2 league games each) limit confidence in season-long trends.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Kawkab Marrakech 1–2 Ittihad TangerThe model forecasts a 2-1 away win for Ittihad Tanger, with their five-match unbeaten run and 2.0 goals per game average the standout signals. The biggest risk is that Kawkab Marrakech, who have shown flashes of attacking threat at home, find a higher gear and exploit the visitors’ occasional defensive lapses, especially if the match stays level into the second half.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger: Common Questions
Who will win Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger?
Ittihad Tanger are given a 45% chance of victory, compared to 23% for Kawkab Marrakech and 32% for the draw. The visitors’ unbeaten run and attacking momentum give them the edge in this matchup.
Will both teams score in Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger?
There is a 56% probability of both teams scoring, with Kawkab Marrakech involved in three BTTS matches from their last five and Ittihad Tanger in four. Both sides’ recent defensive records suggest goals at both ends are likely.
Can Ittihad Tanger’s unbeaten run continue?
Ittihad Tanger arrive unbeaten in their last five (DWWWW), including a 3-1 away league win and a recent 1-1 draw. Their strong attacking output and recent H2H success away to Kawkab Marrakech suggest their run is well placed to continue.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.