Leamington vs Ilkeston Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Leamington
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Ilkeston Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Leamington vs Ilkeston Town: Match Preview
Leamington enter this FA Cup tie off the back of a patchy start, with two defeats and a draw in their last three league matches, scoring just once in that span. Ilkeston Town’s recent form is similarly mixed, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, also struggling for attacking output. With no league points or standings recorded yet, both sides are seeking a spark to ignite their season and a cup run could provide it.
Statistically, neither team is firing in attack: Leamington average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game across their last five, while Ilkeston Town lag behind at 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Both have failed to keep a clean sheet in this period, but with three BTTS results apiece, their defensive frailties are matched by blunt finishing. The majority of their goals arrive after the break, with Leamington netting four of their last six in the second half, and Ilkeston splitting their four recent goals evenly between halves.
The model expects a low-event contest, with both teams’ recent scoring rates and lack of clean sheets pointing to a narrow, cagey draw. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 scoreline, as neither side has shown the attacking quality to dominate, and both are prone to conceding. Without head-to-head or league context, the cup setting may further encourage caution, reinforcing the under 2.5 goals angle.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Leamington vs Ilkeston Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Leamington vs Ilkeston Town that most previews miss.
- 1Across their last five matches, Leamington and Ilkeston Town have combined for just 10 goals scored and 19 conceded.
- 2Both teams have failed to score in two of their last five matches, signalling issues in attack.
- 3Second-half goals account for 67% of Leamington’s and 50% of Ilkeston’s recent scoring output.
Who do you think wins: Leamington vs Ilkeston Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Leamington vs Ilkeston Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average below 1.5 goals scored per game across their last five, with three of Leamington’s and three of Ilkeston’s matches seeing both teams score. The most probable outcome is a low-scoring draw.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recent data shows Leamington conceding 2.0 and scoring 1.2 per game, Ilkeston conceding 1.8 and scoring 0.8. Four of the last five for both sides finished under 2.5 goals.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Leamington vs Ilkeston Town Prediction
With neither side showing a meaningful edge in attack or defence, the underlying rates point to a tightly contested cup tie with limited goalmouth action. Both teams have struggled for fluency in front of goal, and neither is keeping clean sheets, but the overall tempo and shot volume profile suggest a low-scoring affair.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams have produced BTTS in three of their last five, but neither side has managed a run of high-scoring games.
Defence
- →Leamington have failed to score in two of their last five competitive matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
- →Ilkeston Town average just 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five, with no clean sheets in that span.
How Leamington and Ilkeston Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Leamington vs Ilkeston Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Leamingtonlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Ilkeston Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Leamington have collected just one point from their last three league fixtures, scoring only once in that span and losing twice. Ilkeston Town’s recent trajectory is similarly unconvincing, with three defeats, one draw, and a single win in their last five, averaging less than a goal per game. Both sides are searching for rhythm and consistency heading into this cup tie.
Leamington vs Ilkeston Town — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 3.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Leamington vs Ilkeston Town
There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be drawn upon to inform the prediction.
Leamington vs Ilkeston Town Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Leamington wins
0
Draws
0
Ilkeston Town wins
Things to Watch: Leamington vs Ilkeston Town
- ⚠️No season-long league data or standings are available for either team, increasing uncertainty around true team strength.
- ⚠️Absence of head-to-head data removes a key cross-check for matchup-specific trends.
- ⚠️No odds available, so value and expected value cannot be calculated; all recommendations are model-based only.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Leamington 1–1 Ilkeston TownThe model projects a 1-1 draw, underpinned by both teams’ sub-1.5 goals per game scoring rates and a lack of clean sheets in recent matches. The strongest data point is the combined total of just four clean sheets across their last ten games. The main risk is that cup dynamics or early-season volatility produce a more open contest than recent averages suggest.
Leamington vs Ilkeston Town: Common Questions
Who will win Leamington vs Ilkeston Town?
The model gives Leamington a 36% chance to win, Ilkeston Town a 29% chance, and the draw a 35% probability. Both teams’ low scoring rates and defensive records point to a very even matchup.
Will both teams score in Leamington vs Ilkeston Town?
There is a 51% probability that both teams will score, based on three BTTS results in the last five games for each side and their tendency to concede regularly.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in Leamington vs Ilkeston Town?
The model estimates a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging under 2 goals scored per game and most recent matches finishing below this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Leamington vs Ilkeston Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.