Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
high confidence
Macclesfield

Macclesfield

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Scarborough Athletic

Scarborough Athletic

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Macclesfield 30%Draw 43%Scarborough Athletic 27%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Recommended Bets: Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
7/10
Correct Score: 1–1
6/10

Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic: Match Preview

Macclesfield enter this FA Cup clash with a mixed run of results, alternating wins and losses in their last five outings (WDDLW) and showing a slight edge in attack with seven goals scored. Scarborough Athletic’s recent form is similarly patchy (WDDLL), but they have been more defensively robust, keeping three clean sheets and conceding just four times in their last five. Both sides have progressed from their most recent FA Cup ties, but neither can claim clear momentum.

Statistically, the matchup is even. Macclesfield average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over their last five, while Scarborough Athletic have struggled for output, netting just 0.6 per game but matching the 0.8 conceded. The last time they met, just weeks ago, the result was a goalless draw. Both teams have failed to score in at least one of their last five, and Scarborough have seen only one BTTS result in that span. Clean sheets are common, and the first half has produced few goals for either side.

Given the low attacking output and the history of draws between these teams, the model expects a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals is favoured, with the most probable scoreline a 1-1 draw. The lack of a clear attacking threat on either side, combined with both teams’ tendency to keep things tight, suggests another stalemate is on the cards unless one side capitalises on a rare defensive lapse.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Macclesfield1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

Scarborough Athletic1.00

Expected goals · model says 1.00

Win Probability
Macclesfield 36% Draw 30% Scarborough Athletic 34%

Over 2.5 Goals

34%

BTTS: Yes

41%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
30%
43%
27%
Macclesfield 30%Draw 43%Scarborough Athletic 27%
Both Teams to Score
48%
52%
Yes 48%No 52%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
39%
61%
Over 2.5 39%Under 2.5 61%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic that most previews miss.

  • 1Each of the last three meetings between these sides has ended level, with two of them finishing 1-1 or 0-0.
  • 2Scarborough Athletic have failed to score in three of their last five matches, and only one of those saw both teams score.
  • 3Macclesfield's last five matches average just 2.2 total goals per game, with only two matches going over 2.5 goals.

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The Case For This Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction

A statistical deadlock is the defining feature of this FA Cup tie, with both Macclesfield and Scarborough Athletic arriving on the back of mixed but closely-matched recent form. The last three head-to-heads have all ended level, and neither side has shown a consistent attacking edge in the weeks leading up to this fixture. With both teams averaging less than 1.5 goals scored per game over their last five, and clean sheets common, the numbers point to another attritional encounter.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Scarborough Athletic have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.
  • →Macclesfield average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over their last five.

Match Context

  • →All three previous H2H meetings have ended in draws.

How Macclesfield and Scarborough Athletic Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

MacclesfieldMacclesfieldlast 5 matches
A. George
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

F. Shrimpton
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Elliott
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athleticlast 5 matches
M. Fadera
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Macclesfield’s recent form reads WDDLW, with seven goals scored and four conceded in their last five, including two clean sheets. Scarborough Athletic have been less potent in attack, scoring only three in their last five (WDDLL), but have matched Macclesfield’s defensive record with three clean sheets of their own. Both sides arrive with inconsistent results and little to separate them statistically.

Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic — Last 1 Matches

MacclesfieldMacclesfieldLast 1 results
W2-1
W@ Redcar Athletic2-1

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Scarborough AthleticScarborough AthleticLast 1 results
W2-0
W@ Dunston UTS2-0

Strengths

  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +100% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game

What History Says: Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic

Every one of the last three meetings between these teams has ended in a draw, with scorelines of 0-0, 1-1, and 2-2. Neither side has managed to pull away in this fixture, and the trend is for tightly contested, low-scoring matches.

Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic Head-to-Head History

Last 3 meetings between these sides

0

Macclesfield wins

3

Draws

0

Scarborough Athletic wins

0%100% draws0%
8 Sept 26Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic0-0
28 Feb 26Scarborough Athletic vs Macclesfield2-2
29 Nov 25Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic1-1

Things to Watch: Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis is limited.
  • ⚠️Lack of detailed shot and set-piece data restricts tactical modelling.
  • ⚠️Recent cup and league opposition quality may vary, affecting form comparability.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Macclesfield 1–1 Scarborough Athletic

The model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by the fact that all three recent head-to-heads have ended level and neither side is averaging more than 1.4 goals per game over their last five. The biggest risk to this call is a defensive error or set-piece breakthrough that tips the balance in a match otherwise shaped by caution and parity.

Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic: Common Questions

Who will win Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic?

The probabilities are tightly balanced, with a draw most likely at 43%, Macclesfield win at 30%, and Scarborough Athletic win at 27%. Recent head-to-heads have all ended level, so another draw is the statistical baseline.

Will both teams score in Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic?

The model gives a 48% chance of both teams scoring and 52% for at least one clean sheet. Scarborough Athletic have failed to score in three of their last five, so BTTS is only a marginal possibility.

Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?

Yes, under 2.5 goals is rated at 61% probability. Both teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game over their last five, and four of the last five matches for either side have finished under this mark.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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