Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Widzew Łódź
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
@ 3.15(+35% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 3.15
Both teams have low season over 2.5 rates (Legia 37.9%, Widzew 48.3%), recent form shows low scoring, and H2H is often tight. Model probability for under 2.5 is much higher than the odds imply.
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BTTS: No@ 1.86
Both teams have solid recent defensive records (Legia 2 clean sheets in last 5, Widzew 3), and both have failed to score in some recent games. Model probability for BTTS 'no' is higher than market.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
Legia draw 13/29 this season, Widzew 6/29, and H2H includes several draws. Model sees draw value at these odds.
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The Case For This Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Prediction
Legia Warszawa host Widzew Łódź in a mid-table clash where both sides have struggled for consistent wins. Legia are strong at home but have drawn many matches, while Widzew's away form is poor, with 10 losses in 15. Recent form for both is low-scoring and defensively solid. H2H history favors Legia but often features close games. Expect a tight, tactical battle with few goals, where a draw or narrow Legia win is most likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: Legia unbeaten in last 4 at home vs Widzew, most games tight.
Defence
- →Widzew have lost 10 of 15 away, scoring only 17 and conceding 23.
- →Both teams average 1.17 goals per game this season; Legia concede 1.1, Widzew 1.28.
- →Recent form: Legia 1.6 scored/0.6 conceded per game (last 5); Widzew 0.6/0.6.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Legia's home record is solid (6W 6D 3L), but they draw frequently.
- →Legia have not failed to score in last 5; Widzew failed in 2 of last 5.
- →Season over 2.5 rate is low for both (Legia 37.9%, Widzew 48.3%).
🚩 Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Legia Warszawa and 4.2 for Widzew Łódź, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 31%.
How Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Legia Warszawalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Legia Warszawa wins
2
Draws
2
Widzew Łódź wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
Odds from Unibet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession) missing for Legia last 5.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late team news could affect probabilities.
- ⚠️Both teams are mid-table and motivation may vary late in season.
- ⚠️Model confidence is moderate due to low attacking output and high draw rate.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 25 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.