Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Wieczysta Kraków
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków: Match Preview
Gornik Zabrze approach this fixture in second place, unbeaten in their last six league matches and with only one defeat all season. Their home form is solid (3W, 2D, 1L), and they have conceded just seven goals in six home games. In contrast, Wieczysta Kraków sit 16th, having lost three consecutive league matches and conceding 23 goals in 12 games overall. The visitors have struggled badly on the road, with six defeats in eight away matches and an average of 2.25 goals conceded per away fixture.
The statistical matchup is defined by Gornik's efficiency at both ends and Wieczysta Kraków's defensive frailty. Gornik average 1.62 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game this season, while Wieczysta Kraków allow 1.92 per match and have managed only a single clean sheet (8.33%). Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in more than half their matches (Gornik 53.85%, Wieczysta 66.67%), and their recent games show a similar pattern, with both teams scoring in three of their last five. Set-piece data shows both teams average around five corners per match, indicating potential for attacking pressure on both sides.
The model expects Gornik Zabrze to control the match, leveraging home advantage and a more reliable defence, but Wieczysta Kraków's attack (1.33 goals per game) is capable of contributing. The most likely scenario is a home win in a match with goals at both ends, with the statistical distribution pointing to a 2-1 scoreline. However, Wieczysta's volatility and lack of H2H data add a layer of unpredictability.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków that most previews miss.
- 1Wieczysta Kraków's away matches average 3.5 total goals per game (10 scored, 18 conceded in 8).
- 2Gornik Zabrze have drawn three straight league games, but have not lost at home since August.
- 3Both teams average over five corners per game in their last five, suggesting above-average set-piece volume.
Who do you think wins: Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have a high over 2.5 goals rate (Gornik Zabrze 53.85%, Wieczysta Kraków 66.67%) and their combined season scoring/conceding rates point to an above-average goal environment.
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Match Result: Gornik Zabrze Win
Gornik Zabrze's home defensive record (1.17 conceded per home game) is superior to Wieczysta Kraków's away defensive record (2.25 conceded per away game), and the hosts are unbeaten in their last six league matches.
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BTTS: Yes
Wieczysta Kraków have failed to score in only one of their last five, and Gornik Zabrze have kept just one clean sheet in the same span; both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction
This is a meeting between a title-chasing Gornik Zabrze side (2nd, 28 points from 13) and a Wieczysta Kraków team struggling near the relegation zone (16th, 8 points from 12), with the hosts boasting a strong home record and the visitors leaking goals away. The statistical profile points to a match with above-average scoring chances, driven by Wieczysta Kraków's poor defensive metrics on the road and Gornik's consistent attacking output at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams' last five matches have produced BTTS three times, and over 2.5 goals in over half their games.
Defence
- →Wieczysta Kraków concede 2.25 goals per away game, the second-worst rate in the division.
- →Gornik Zabrze average 1.62 goals scored and only 0.85 conceded per match over the season.
🚩 Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Gornik Zabrze and 6 for Wieczysta Kraków, for an expected total of 11.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 63%.
How Gornik Zabrze and Wieczysta Kraków Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Gornik Zabrzelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wieczysta Krakówlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last five league games (three draws, two wins), conceding just four goals in that span and keeping one clean sheet. Wieczysta Kraków, by contrast, have lost three consecutive league matches and have conceded at least two goals in each of those defeats, despite a brief uptick with two wins prior.
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków
With bookmaker odds unavailable, direct value edges cannot be calculated. However, the model's probabilities suggest that over 2.5 goals and a home win are both more likely than average, given the underlying goal and defensive rates. If market odds for these outcomes are generous, they would represent the clearest value based on the data.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these teams at this level, introducing additional uncertainty.
- ⚠️Wieczysta Kraków's attack is volatile, with 16 goals scored in 12 but only one clean sheet all season.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Wieczysta KrakówGornik Zabrze are backed to edge a 2-1 win, with the single strongest factor being Wieczysta Kraków's away defensive record (2.25 goals conceded per away game). The main risk to this prediction is Wieczysta's attack finding a higher gear, given their 1.8 goals per game over the last five, or Gornik's recent run of draws extending if they struggle to convert chances.
Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków: Common Questions
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Gornik Zabrze are favoured with a 52% probability of victory, based on their strong home record and Wieczysta Kraków's defensive issues away from home. The draw is rated at 27%, with an away win at 21%.
Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model gives a 56% probability for both teams to score, supported by both sides having seen BTTS in three of their last five matches and Wieczysta Kraków scoring in four of their last five.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków?
There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals, as both teams have high over 2.5 rates this season (Gornik 53.85%, Wieczysta 66.67%) and their combined scoring/conceding averages point to an open match.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Kraków: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.