Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Pogon Szczecin
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Pogon Szczecin Win
Recommended Bets: Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin: Match Preview
Widzew Łódź come into this clash mired in a run of five consecutive draws in all competitions, a sequence that has left them languishing in 14th place with just one win from twelve league matches. Their inability to convert tight games into victories has been particularly acute at home, where they've yet to register a win this season (0W 5D 2L). In contrast, Pogon Szczecin are riding a wave of momentum, having won their last three league games and climbing to fourth in the table with a game in hand on the leaders. The visitors’ form string of WWWDW underlines their status as one of the division’s most consistent sides right now.
The tactical matchup tilts in Pogon's favour: their attack has averaged 2.0 goals per game over the last five, with a clear knack for early breakthroughs—five first-half goals in that span. Widzew's defence, meanwhile, has been porous, conceding an average of 1.4 per match in their last five and just one clean sheet to show for it. Pogon's away record is particularly impressive, with three wins and a draw from four, conceding only once on the road. Set-piece data suggests Widzew might threaten from corners (5.8 per game last five), but Pogon's discipline (just 1.2 yellows per game) and defensive organisation have largely kept opponents at bay.
The model expects Pogon Szczecin’s momentum and clinical edge to prove decisive, especially if they strike early. Widzew’s resilience and tendency to draw means they could make it awkward, but their lack of home wins and defensive lapses against top-half sides point to another frustrating evening for the hosts. Pogon’s ability to create and finish chances should see them edge a contest with goals at both ends.
How Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Pogon Szczecinlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Widzew Łódź are stuck in a rut, having drawn four of their last five league games and still searching for a first home win. Their form string of DDLDD highlights a lack of cutting edge, despite competitive performances. Pogon Szczecin, in contrast, are surging with three straight wins and an unbeaten run stretching back five matches, scoring 10 goals in that period.
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +45.45% clean sheet rate this season
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin that most previews miss.
- 1Widzew Łódź have drawn four of their last five league matches, and eight of twelve overall this season.
- 2Pogon Szczecin have scored exactly two goals in three of their last five away games and have not lost on the road (3W 1D).
- 3Seven of the last nine head-to-head meetings have been won by Pogon, including three straight away victories.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
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The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction
Widzew Łódź are stuck in a holding pattern, drawing four of their last five and still searching for a first home win, while Pogon Szczecin are surging up the table with three straight victories and seven points from their last three away trips. The contrast in momentum is stark: Widzew's form string of DDLDD tells the story of a side struggling to turn performances into wins, whereas Pogon's WWWDW run marks them as the division's form team. History is also against the hosts, with Pogon winning seven of the last nine meetings between these sides. Statistically, Pogon's attack is humming: they've averaged 2.0 goals per game over their last five and have failed to score only once all season. Widzew, by contrast, have managed just 1.2 goals per game in their last five, and their defence has been breached at least once in every match during that stretch. The home side's inability to keep clean sheets at home (conceding 10 in 7) matches up poorly against Pogon's away record, which features three wins from four and just one goal conceded on the road all campaign. Both teams have shown a tendency for action after the break, but Pogon's ability to strike early—five first-half goals in their last five—could tilt the balance. Given the form lines and head-to-head dominance, the model expects Pogon to take control, especially if they score first. Widzew's resilience means they could get on the scoresheet, but their lack of cutting edge and defensive frailty against top-half opposition suggest Pogon will edge a match with chances at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Pogon Szczecin are on a three-match winning streak and have won 7 of their last 9 against Widzew Łódź.
Defence
- →Pogon have conceded just one goal in four away league games, while Widzew average only 1.2 goals per game in their last five.
Match Context
- →Widzew Łódź are winless at home this season (0W 5D 2L) and have drawn 8 of 12 league matches.
Where the Model Sees Value: Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Pogon Szczecin Win
Pogon Szczecin arrive on a three-match winning streak and have won seven of the last nine head-to-heads, while Widzew Łódź are winless in their last five and have not won at home all season.
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BTTS: Yes
Four of Widzew's last five league matches have seen both teams score, and Pogon have conceded in three of their last five despite their strong form.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Widzew's last five have averaged 2.6 total goals, and Pogon are averaging 2.0 scored themselves across their last five, pointing towards a contest with goals.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Widzew Łódź and 4.2 for Pogon Szczecin, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 34%.
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin have dominated recent meetings, winning seven of the last nine clashes with Widzew Łódź and claiming three consecutive away victories in Lodz. The only exception was a cup tie last year, but in league play, Pogon have consistently found a way to win, often by a one-goal margin.
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
1
Widzew Łódź wins
1
Draws
7
Pogon Szczecin wins
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are limited.
- ⚠️Widzew's high draw rate (8 in 12) introduces risk of another stalemate, especially if Pogon struggle to break them down.
- ⚠️Lineups and late injuries could shift the balance, but no major absentees are currently reported.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Widzew Łódź 1–2 Pogon SzczecinThe predicted score is 1-2 to Pogon Szczecin, driven chiefly by the visitors’ three-match winning streak and their dominance in recent head-to-heads. The biggest risk to this call is Widzew’s stubbornness—eight draws in twelve and a habit of keeping games close—so a low-scoring stalemate remains a plausible alternative if Pogon fail to convert early chances.
Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin: Common Questions
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model gives Pogon Szczecin a 57% chance of victory, reflecting their three-match winning streak and seven wins in the last nine meetings. Widzew Łódź are rated at just 16% to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Will both teams score in Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%. Widzew have seen BTTS in four of their last five, and Pogon have conceded in three of their last five, so goals at both ends are more likely than not.
Can Widzew Łódź end their winless home run?
Widzew Łódź have not won at home in seven attempts this season and face a Pogon side unbeaten away (3W 1D), so the probability of a home win is low at 16%. Their high draw rate (eight in twelve) means a stalemate is more likely than a breakthrough victory.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.