Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Piast Gliwice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Piast Gliwice Win
Recommended Bets: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: Match Preview
Slask Wroclaw enter this fixture sitting 15th in the Ekstraklasa, having lost four of their last five league games and conceding 12 goals in that spell. Their only recent win came at home against Wieczysta Kraków, but their home record remains patchy (2W, 2D, 2L, 9:10 goal difference). Piast Gliwice, by contrast, are 6th and have taken 10 points from their last five, including a 3-1 win over Cracovia and a 2-1 victory against Widzew Łódź, underlining their attacking consistency.
The underlying numbers point to a high-scoring contest: Slask matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league games, and Piast’s last five have all seen both teams score. Piast average 11.4 shots and 3.8 on target per game across their last five, compared to Slask’s 6.6 and 2.6. However, neither side has shown defensive reliability—Slask have just one clean sheet in their last five, while Piast have none, and both average over 1.5 goals conceded per game on the season.
Given Piast’s edge in attack and their strong head-to-head record away at Slask, the model expects the visitors to create more and convert their chances. With both sides’ recent games trending towards high goal counts and defensive frailty, a 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, with the distribution also supporting a high probability for BTTS and over 2.5 goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice that most previews miss.
- 1Slask Wroclaw’s matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 9 of 12 league fixtures (75%).
- 2Piast Gliwice have scored in every one of their last five league games, but have also conceded in all five (BTTS 100%).
- 3In the last five H2H meetings at this venue, Piast have scored at least twice on four occasions.
Who do you think wins: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Piast Gliwice Win
Piast Gliwice have a significantly higher season scoring rate (1.83 goals per game) than Slask Wroclaw (1.33), and have lost only twice in five away games, while Slask have dropped points in four of six at home.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Slask matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league games, and Piast’s last five have averaged 3.8 total goals, with both teams scoring in all five.
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BTTS: Yes
Piast have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, and Slask have scored in four of their last five, while BTTS has landed in 3/5 for Slask and 5/5 for Piast.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Prediction
Statistical profiles point to a match tilted toward the away side, with Piast Gliwice’s superior scoring rate and defensive solidity away from home contrasting with Slask Wroclaw’s leaky back line and poor recent form. Both teams’ high BTTS and over 2.5 rates suggest a game with goals, but Piast’s edge in shot volume and conversion should tell.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Piast Gliwice average 1.83 goals scored per league game, compared to Slask’s 1.33.
Defence
- →Slask Wroclaw have conceded 2.4 goals per match over their last five, with just one clean sheet in that span.
- →Piast have not kept a clean sheet in their last five, but have scored in all of them.
🚩 Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Slask Wroclaw and 4 for Piast Gliwice, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Slask Wroclawlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Piast Gliwicelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Slask Wroclaw have lost four of their last five league matches, conceding 12 goals in that stretch, and remain just two points above the relegation zone. Piast Gliwice, meanwhile, have won three of their last five and are unbeaten in their last two away games, reflecting a side with more attacking confidence and momentum.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning five of the last ten meetings and losing only once. Notably, they have scored at least twice in four of their last five visits to Slask, underlining a consistent attacking threat in this matchup.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Slask Wroclaw wins
4
Draws
5
Piast Gliwice wins
Things to Watch: Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in defensive performance, raising variance in the goals markets.
- ⚠️Friendlies included in recent form may distort momentum signals.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Slask Wroclaw 1–2 Piast GliwiceA 2-1 win for Piast Gliwice is the model’s most likely outcome, driven by their superior season scoring rate (1.83 per game) and Slask’s persistent defensive issues (2.4 conceded per game over the last five). The biggest risk to this call is Piast’s own lack of clean sheets, which could allow Slask to take something if they convert their limited chances.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: Common Questions
Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice?
The model gives Piast Gliwice a 44% chance of victory, compared to 23% for Slask Wroclaw and 33% for the draw. Piast’s stronger league position and scoring record tip the balance in their favour.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice?
There’s a 61% probability of both teams scoring, with Piast’s last five league matches all seeing BTTS and Slask scoring in four of their last five.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 57%, supported by Slask’s 75% over 2.5 rate in the league and Piast’s attacking output in recent matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.