Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Radomiak Radom
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom: Match Preview
Korona Kielce enter this match with a mixed run of results, sitting 9th in the Ekstraklasa after 12 rounds. Their home record is steady—two wins, three draws, and just one defeat—while Radomiak Radom arrive in deep trouble, 17th in the table and winless away, with five losses and a single point from six road trips. Both teams have struggled defensively in recent weeks, but Korona's underlying numbers at home are more robust than Radomiak's dire away returns.
The statistical profile of this fixture points to a high-scoring environment. Korona average 1.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, but that climbs to 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded at home. Radomiak's away defence is the league's worst, leaking 18 goals in 6 matches (3.0 per game), and their attack has managed just 5 on the road. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in a majority of their recent games (Korona 33%, Radomiak 67%), and neither has kept a clean sheet in their last five league outings.
Given these rates, the model projects a match with multiple momentum swings, with Korona's attack likely to exploit Radomiak's defensive gaps. However, Radomiak have shown some offensive spark even in defeat, netting three at Pogon last time out. The likeliest outcome is a narrow home win in a match with goals at both ends, but defensive volatility on both sides keeps the draw and high-score scenarios in play.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom that most previews miss.
- 1Radomiak Radom have conceded at least two goals in every away league fixture this season (18 in 6 matches).
- 2Korona Kielce's last five matches average just 0.8 goals scored but 3.0 conceded, skewed by a 1-6 defeat at Lech Poznan.
- 3Only one of the last ten H2H meetings has ended in a draw, with the home side winning six times.
Who do you think wins: Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
With both sides averaging 3+ goals conceded per game over their last 5 and Radomiak's season over 2.5 rate at 66.67%, the model projects a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals.
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Match Result: Korona Kielce Win
Korona Kielce have lost only once at home this season (2W, 3D, 1L) and face a Radomiak side with 5 losses and 18 goals conceded in 6 away matches.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 7 of Radomiak's 12 league matches and 3 of Korona's last 5, with defensive frailties on both sides.
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom Prediction
This fixture brings together a Korona Kielce side with a stable if unspectacular home record and a Radomiak Radom team in freefall away from home, conceding three goals per match on their travels. The underlying rates point to a goal-heavy contest, with neither defence showing the capacity to shut down even modest attacks. The model expects Korona's home advantage and Radomiak's away frailty to tip a high-variance match in the hosts' favour, but defensive volatility could keep it competitive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Radomiak Radom have lost 5 of 6 away games, conceding 18 goals (3.0 per away match).
- →Both teams' last 5 matches average 3 goals conceded per game, and Radomiak's season over 2.5 rate is 66.67%.
Match Context
- →Korona Kielce's home record is 2W, 3D, 1L, with a neutral goal difference (7 for, 7 against).
🚩 Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.3 corners for Korona Kielce and 5.7 for Radomiak Radom, for an expected total of 12. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 84% · Over 10.5: 65%.
How Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Korona Kielcelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Korona Kielce have alternated between wins and heavy defeats in recent weeks, highlighted by a 1-6 loss at Lech Poznan but also a 1-0 home win over GKS Katowice. Radomiak Radom are on a three-game losing streak in the league and have not won away all season, conceding 18 goals in six away trips. Both teams' recent form points to defensive instability, but Korona's home steadiness gives them the edge.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce have dominated the head-to-head, winning six of the last ten encounters and three of the last four at home. Radomiak have managed some big away wins in the past (4-0 in 2024), but draws are rare in this fixture. The H2H trend supports a decisive outcome, usually favouring the home side.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Korona Kielce wins
1
Draws
3
Radomiak Radom wins
Things to Watch: Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of modelling—no value edges identified.
- ⚠️Recent form for both sides is volatile, with Korona suffering heavy defeats and Radomiak scoring 3 in their last away match despite losing.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups for both teams are unconfirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Korona Kielce 2–1 Radomiak RadomThe model forecasts a 2-1 win for Korona Kielce, with the single strongest data point being Radomiak's 3.0 goals conceded per away game. The main risk to this call is Korona's own defensive volatility—if Radomiak's attack replicates their three-goal output from the last round, a high-scoring draw or even an away upset can't be ruled out.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom: Common Questions
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
Korona Kielce are favoured with a 44% probability of victory, reflecting their solid home record and Radomiak's poor away form (five losses in six). The draw is rated at 31%, with Radomiak given a 25% chance of an upset.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
The model estimates a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals, driven by Radomiak's 2.33 goals conceded per game and a 66.67% season over 2.5 rate.
Will both teams score in Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom?
There's a 58% probability that both teams find the net, as both sides have defensive weaknesses and Radomiak have scored in four of their last five despite losing.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.