Mirandes vs Granada CF Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Mirandes
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Granada CF
@ 1.7(+19% edge)
Match Result
7.8/10Mirandes Stun Granada with Clinical Display in 3-1 Home Triumph
Mirandes delivered a statement performance at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, dispatching Granada CF 3-1 in a match that defied the possession statistics. Despite holding just 38% of the ball, Mirandes were ruthless in attack, converting three of their eight shots on target to secure a deserved victory. The hosts struck first in the 27th minute, and after Granada briefly levelled before the break, Mirandes restored their lead on the stroke of halftime and never looked back, adding a third early in the second half. Granada, who dominated possession with 62% and completed more passes, struggled to break down a resolute Mirandes defense and were repeatedly caught out on the counter. Their frustrations boiled over with four yellow cards, as Mirandes' energy and directness proved decisive. The result leaves Granada ruing missed chances, while Mirandes celebrate a clinical, hard-fought win.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/0 hit
Key Moments
27' — Goal
Mirandes open the scoring with a well-worked move, seizing the initiative.
41' — Goal
J. M. Arnaiz levels for Granada, capitalizing on a rare lapse in the Mirandes defense.
45' — Goal
Mirandes restore their lead just before halftime, delivering a psychological blow to Granada.
58' — Goal
Mirandes extend their advantage to 3-1, effectively killing off Granada's hopes.
Multiple' — Yellow Cards
Granada pick up four bookings as frustration mounts in the second half.
Mirandes
Mirandes executed a near-perfect game plan, absorbing pressure and striking with precision. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to remain compact defensively, while breaking forward with intent. Despite conceding the majority of possession, they created the more dangerous chances, registering 18 shots with 8 on target. The midfield duo of T. Helguera and R. Bauza provided a solid platform, while the attacking midfielders exploited Granada's high line to devastating effect.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Granada CF
Granada CF controlled the tempo of the match with 62% possession and a patient build-up, but lacked the cutting edge in the final third. Their 3-4-1-2 formation provided width and numbers in midfield, but they struggled to convert dominance into clear-cut chances, managing just 4 shots on target from 10 attempts. Defensive frailties were exposed by Mirandes' direct approach, and frustration grew as the match slipped away, reflected in four yellow cards.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Mirandes set up in a disciplined 4-2-3-1, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their midfielders shielded the back four effectively, while the attacking trio behind the striker exploited spaces left by Granada's advanced wing-backs. Granada's 3-4-1-2 formation gave them numerical superiority in midfield and allowed them to dominate possession, but left them exposed on the flanks and vulnerable to fast breaks. Mirandes' directness and efficiency in front of goal contrasted sharply with Granada's sterile domination of the ball. Substitutions in the second half saw Granada attempt to inject more attacking impetus, but Mirandes remained compact, rarely allowing clear sights of goal. Set pieces provided Granada with some threat, but Mirandes' organization and Juanpa's goalkeeping ensured the lead was never seriously threatened after the third goal.
Turning Point
Mirandes' goal on the stroke of halftime (45') shifted the momentum decisively, restoring their lead and deflating Granada's comeback hopes.
Man of the Match
C. Fernandez
Led the line superbly, scored a crucial goal, and was central to Mirandes' incisive attacking play.
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Mirandes vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Mirandes vs Granada CF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Mirandes vs Granada CF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Granada CF@ 1.7
Granada CF have a significantly better away record than Mirandes' home form, and the model gives a strong probability edge for Granada to avoid defeat. Recent Mirandes form is poor, and Granada's historical H2H dominance supports this bet.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 2.1
Mirandes games have a high over 2.5 rate (57.5%), and both teams have been conceding frequently. The model probability for over 2.5 is higher than the implied odds.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Mirandes vs Granada CF Prediction
Mirandes, desperate for points at the bottom of the table, host a Granada CF side with a far superior overall and away record. While both teams are in poor form, Granada's away strength and historical H2H dominance make them clear favorites to get a result. Expect a competitive match with goals likely, given Mirandes' leaky defense and both teams' recent trends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Granada CF have won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
Defence
- →Mirandes have the league's second-worst defense (67 conceded in 40 games).
- →Mirandes have just 1 win in their last 5 and only 7.5% clean sheet rate.
- →Granada's attack is inconsistent but faces a vulnerable Mirandes defense.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Granada CF have 6 away wins this season versus Mirandes' 10 home losses.
🚩 Mirandes vs Granada CF Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Mirandes and 5 for Granada CF, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Mirandes and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Mirandes vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Mirandeslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Mirandes enter this match struggling, with just one win in their last five (DLLWL) and a concerning defensive record, conceding 2.2 goals per game in that span. Granada CF are also out of form (LLWLL), but their away results across the season have been much stronger, and they managed a crucial win at Zaragoza recently.
Mirandes vs Granada CF — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
What History Says: Mirandes vs Granada CF
Granada CF have won three of the last five head-to-heads, including both previous away games at Mirandes (1-3, 0-1). Mirandes have only managed one win in this fixture over the same period, and most matches have seen at least two goals.
Mirandes vs Granada CF Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
2
Mirandes wins
1
Draws
3
Granada CF wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Mirandes vs Granada CF
The model finds the strongest value on Granada CF double chance (X2), with a significant edge over likely bookmaker odds. Over 2.5 goals also shows value, given Mirandes' high-scoring matches and defensive frailty. Direct away win is only a marginal value due to both teams' recent poor form.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Mirandes vs Granada CF
- ⚠️Granada's last 5 form is also poor (LLWLL), so away win is not a certainty.
- ⚠️Granada's last two matches saw them fail to score.
- ⚠️Some missing away side season stats (goals per game, etc.) but away record is available.
- ⚠️Final day motivation/rotation risk not quantifiable from data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Mirandes vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.