Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Legia Warszawa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.22
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Expected goals · model says 0.50
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS: Yes
29%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Legia Warszawa Win@ 1.28
Legia Warszawa have superior form, a better defensive record, and a strong H2H trend. While odds are short, their probability of winning is high given Nieciecza's poor home form and defensive issues.
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BTTS: No@ 1.22
Both teams have struggled to score recently, and Legia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5. Nieciecza have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 and face a much stronger defense.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.25
Both teams average just over 1 goal per game and recent matches for both sides have been low scoring, with Legia especially keeping games tight.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Prediction
Legia Warszawa travel to bottom side Nieciecza in a clash where the away side's defensive solidity and recent momentum give them the edge. Nieciecza's leaky defense and lack of attacking threat, especially at home, contrast sharply with Legia's recent run of clean sheets and disciplined performances. Expect a controlled, low-scoring contest with Legia likely to edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →H2H: Legia have won 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Attack
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal per game; under 2.5 goals is common for both.
Defence
- →Nieciecza have lost 4 of their last 5 and conceded 11 goals in that span.
- →Legia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and are on a 2-game winning streak.
- →Nieciecza's home record is poor: 3W 4D 9L, 18 scored, 29 conceded.
- →Legia's away record is modest but their overall defensive record is strong recently.
🚩 Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Nieciecza and 3.6 for Legia Warszawa, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Nieciecza and Legia Warszawa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Niecieczalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Legia Warszawalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Nieciecza come into this match on a poor run, losing four of their last five games and conceding heavily, including a 1-5 away defeat. Legia, by contrast, are unbeaten in four of their last five, with two consecutive wins and three clean sheets, indicating growing defensive stability and confidence.
Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa
Legia have the upper hand in the recent H2H record, with three wins and a draw in the last five meetings. Fixtures between these sides tend to be tight, with the last two both finishing 1-0 to the away team, suggesting a pattern of low-scoring, closely contested games.
Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Nieciecza wins
1
Draws
3
Legia Warszawa wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa
Bookmaker odds are very short on Legia and the unders markets, meaning limited value for punters. The model sees the strongest alignment with the draw price, but no significant edge. The best statistical angle is BTTS 'no', but even here the value is marginal due to the low odds.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa
- ⚠️Nieciecza's attack is inconsistent but has occasional outbursts; risk of unexpected goal.
- ⚠️Legia's away form is not dominant (3 wins in 16), so draw risk is present.
- ⚠️Some underlying stats (shots, possession) are inconsistent due to missing data for several matches.
- ⚠️All bets have negative expected value due to short odds; value is limited.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.