Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 0 - 1
Wisla Plock
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.5(+11% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Wisla Plock Stun Nieciecza with Ruthless Away Performance
Wisla Plock delivered a clinical display on the road, defeating Nieciecza 3-1 at the Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza stadium. The visitors seized control late in the first half, scoring twice in quick succession through Giannis Niarchos and Wiktor Nowak, before Dani Pacheco added a third shortly after the break. Despite Nieciecza's greater share of possession and a late consolation goal, the hosts were unable to match Wisla Plock's efficiency in front of goal. Nieciecza started brightly, enjoying 57% of the ball and registering 14 shots, but struggled to convert their opportunities. Wisla Plock, meanwhile, were ruthless, matching the hosts with 7 shots on target from 16 attempts and making the most of their set pieces and transitions. The result leaves Nieciecza ruing missed chances and defensive lapses, while Wisla Plock celebrate a significant away victory.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
36' — Goal
Giannis Niarchos puts Wisla Plock ahead against the run of play.
39' — Goal
Wiktor Nowak doubles the visitors' lead, capitalizing on Nieciecza's defensive lapse.
51' — Goal
Dani Pacheco scores Wisla Plock's third, all but sealing the result.
88' — Goal
Jesús Jiménez nets a late consolation for Nieciecza.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Nieciecza pick up two yellow cards amid growing frustration.
Nieciecza
Nieciecza controlled much of the possession and looked lively in attack, but their inability to capitalize on key moments proved costly. The front three, led by Jesús Jiménez, created chances but were repeatedly denied by Wisla Plock's defense and goalkeeper Rafał Leszczyński. Defensively, Nieciecza were vulnerable to quick counters and conceded twice in a three-minute spell that shifted the game's momentum irreversibly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock executed their gameplan to perfection, sitting deep and striking with pace and purpose. Their 3-5-2 formation allowed them to absorb pressure and exploit spaces left by Nieciecza's attacking wing-backs. The visitors were especially dangerous on the break, scoring twice in quick succession before halftime and adding a decisive third just after the interval. Defensively disciplined and clinical up front, Wisla Plock fully deserved their three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Nieciecza lined up in a 3-4-3, seeking to dominate the ball and push their wing-backs high. While this approach yielded territorial advantage, it left them exposed to Wisla Plock's rapid transitions. The visitors' 3-5-2 provided defensive solidity and numbers in midfield, allowing them to absorb pressure and spring forward with intent. Wisla Plock's use of width and quick passing through midfield enabled them to exploit the spaces behind Nieciecza's advancing players, particularly in the crucial period before halftime. Set pieces and structured pressing from Wisla Plock disrupted Nieciecza's rhythm, while the hosts' lack of incisiveness in the final third proved their undoing. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, with Wisla Plock maintaining their shape and composure until the final whistle.
Turning Point
The two quickfire goals by Wisla Plock in the 36th and 39th minutes, which completely shifted the momentum and forced Nieciecza to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Giannis Niarchos
Scored the vital opener and led the line with intelligence, setting the tone for Wisla Plock's victory.
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Expected goals · model says 0.50
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS: Yes
23%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.5
Both teams have low attacking output, especially Nieciecza. Wisla Plock are stronger but not prolific away, and a draw is frequent in both teams' recent records. Model probability for draw is higher than the implied odds.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Prediction
This is a clash between the league's bottom side Nieciecza and 5th-placed Wisla Plock. Nieciecza are in poor form with four losses in their last five, struggling for goals and conceding heavily. Wisla Plock are inconsistent but defensively solid, with a strong away defensive record. Both teams have low-scoring tendencies and recent H2H matches have often been tight. Expect a cautious game, with Wisla Plock more likely to edge it, but a draw is a strong possibility.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Wisla Plock away games average just 2.07 goals per game; Nieciecza home games average 3.0 but recent form is poor.
Defence
- →Nieciecza have the league's worst defensive record (51 conceded in 28), but Wisla Plock are not prolific scorers (29 in 28).
- →Wisla Plock have lost only 5 of 14 away, drawing 6, and have the 3rd best away defensive record.
- →Nieciecza have failed to score in 1 of their last 5, and have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →H2H is quite balanced, but recent meetings in Nieciecza have produced draws or home wins.
🚩 Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Nieciecza and 4.8 for Wisla Plock, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How Nieciecza and Wisla Plock Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Niecieczalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock
Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
2
Nieciecza wins
2
Draws
4
Wisla Plock wins
Things to Watch: Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock
- ⚠️Nieciecza's attack and defense are both unreliable; a collapse is possible but not likely against a low-scoring Wisla Plock.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners) missing for several recent games, increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Odds on BTTS 'no' offer little value despite high probability.
- ⚠️Wisla Plock's away form is solid but not dominant; a low-scoring draw is a real risk.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.