Orebro SK vs United Nordic Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
medium confidence
Orebro SK

Orebro SK

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

United Nordic

United Nordic

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 15:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Orebro SK 27%Draw 33%United Nordic 40%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Orebro SK vs United Nordic: Match Preview

Orebro SK approach this friendly with a mixed recent record, having won only once in their last five matches (LDWLD) and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in that span. United Nordic, despite also posting a patchy run (LDLWL), have shown a sharper edge in front of goal across the season, averaging 2.86 goals per game, and have failed to score in none of their last five outings. With both sides' season records showing high goals for and against, the fixture is set up for an open contest.

Statistically, United Nordic's attack is the standout unit, with 20 goals in 7 games and a last-5 average of 1.4 goals scored per match. Orebro have been less prolific recently (1.4 goals per game in last 5) and have struggled for clean sheets. Both sides' defences have looked vulnerable: United Nordic have conceded 2.6 per game across their last five, while Orebro's last five have seen BTTS three times. Set-piece threat is notable, with both averaging over 5 corners per match in recent games, and discipline could play a role given United Nordic's 2.2 yellow cards per game in their last five.

The model expects United Nordic's superior scoring rate to tilt the balance, but Orebro's home record (undefeated at home this season) and attacking output suggest they will contribute to the scoreline. With a 62% model probability for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, an open, end-to-end contest is anticipated, with United Nordic slightly favoured to edge it.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Orebro SK1.40

Expected goals · model says 1.40

United Nordic1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
Orebro SK 33% Draw 24% United Nordic 43%

Over 2.5 Goals

59%

BTTS: Yes

61%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
33%
40%
Orebro SK 27%Draw 33%United Nordic 40%
Both Teams to Score
68%
32%
Yes 68%No 32%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
59%
41%
Over 9.5 59%Under 9.5 41%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Orebro SK vs United Nordic that most previews miss.

  • 1United Nordic have seen both teams score in all of their last five matches, with an average of 4.0 total goals per game in that stretch.
  • 2Orebro SK remain unbeaten at home this season (2W, 2D), conceding just twice in four home matches.
  • 3Combined, these sides average 5.6 corners per match over their last five, pointing to a high set-piece count.

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The Case For This Orebro SK vs United Nordic Prediction

Orebro SK and United Nordic meet in a friendly with both sides showing attacking intent but defensive frailties in recent matches. United Nordic's superior season-long scoring rate (2.86 goals per game) and Orebro's recent defensive lapses suggest an open contest, with the away side holding a marginal edge. The data points to a high likelihood of both teams finding the net and a better-than-even chance of at least three goals.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Both teams have seen BTTS in 3 of Orebro's last 5 and all of United Nordic's last 5 matches.

Attack

  • →United Nordic average 2.86 goals scored per game this season, the highest rate in the fixture.

Defence

  • →Orebro SK have conceded 1.4 goals per match over their last five, with only one clean sheet in that span.

🚩 Orebro SK vs United Nordic Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.4expected total corners
Over 59%
Under 41%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.2 corners for Orebro SK and 5.2 for United Nordic, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Orebro SK and United Nordic Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Orebro SKOrebro SKlast 5 matches
A. YasinXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

K. HolmbergXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

E. RakipXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

R. Wiedesheim-PaulXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

United NordicUnited Nordiclast 5 matches
T. JohanssonXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. HarabiXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

N. Daneylsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

T. GronborgXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. ShhabXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Orebro SK's recent form is inconsistent, with just one win in their last five and a negative goal difference in that stretch. United Nordic have also struggled for results lately, but their underlying scoring numbers remain strong, having scored in every recent match and averaging nearly three goals per game across the season.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic — Last 8 Matches

Orebro SKOrebro SKLast 8 results
W4-2
L1-3
W3-0
D2-2
W3-0
W2-0
D0-0
W3-0
W@ Ostersunds FK4-2
L@ AIK Stockholm1-3
W@ IFK Varnamo3-0
Dvs Hammarby Talang2-2
W@ FK Liepaja3-0
Wvs Atvidabergs FF2-0
Dvs Sandviken0-0
Wvs FBK Karlstad3-0

Strengths

  • +62.5% clean sheet rate this season
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
United NordicUnited NordicLast 7 results
W4-1
W2-1
W1-0
W7-1
W5-0
D1-1
L0-1
Wvs Trollhättan4-1
W@ Degerfors IF2-1
W@ Stockholm Internazionale1-0
Wvs Stocksund7-1
Wvs Haninge5-0
Dvs IFK Norrkoping1-1
L@ IFK Norrkoping0-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Orebro SK vs United Nordic

In the two previous meetings this year, Orebro SK won away 2-0 before the sides played out a 1-1 draw in Orebro. Neither side has managed a home win, and both matches have featured goals for each team, suggesting a competitive matchup.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic Head-to-Head History

Last 2 meetings between these sides

0

Orebro SK wins

1

Draws

1

United Nordic wins

0%50% draws50%
14 Sept 26Orebro SK vs United Nordic1-1
19 Jul 26United Nordic vs Orebro SK2-0

Things to Watch: Orebro SK vs United Nordic

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no recommended bets or value calculations.
  • ⚠️Standings data is missing; league motivation is unclear in this friendly context.
  • ⚠️Recent form for both sides is mixed, with small sample sizes for season records.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Orebro SK 1–2 United Nordic

The model projects a 2-1 win for United Nordic, underpinned by their season-high 2.86 goals per game and Orebro's recent defensive vulnerabilities. The likeliest way this forecast could miss is if Orebro's home defensive record (just 0.5 goals conceded per home game) holds up better than their recent form suggests, or if both sides rotate heavily in the friendly context.

Orebro SK vs United Nordic: Common Questions

Who will win Orebro SK vs United Nordic?

United Nordic are given a 40% chance of winning, with Orebro SK at 27% and the draw at 33%. The away side's higher scoring rate and recent H2H edge tip the balance slightly in their favour.

Will both teams score in Orebro SK vs United Nordic?

The model rates both teams to score at 68%, driven by both sides averaging 1.4 goals scored per game in their last five and United Nordic's run of five straight BTTS matches.

How likely is over 2.5 goals in Orebro SK vs United Nordic?

There's a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' high season scoring rates (Orebro 2.25, United Nordic 2.86 per game) and defensive records in recent matches.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Orebro SK vs United Nordic: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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