Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Predictions

Petrolul Ploiesti PredictionsCS Afumati PredictionsFriendlies ClubsH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
Petrolul Ploiesti

Petrolul Ploiesti

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

CS Afumati

CS Afumati

🗓️ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 12:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Petrolul Ploiesti 27%Draw 25%CS Afumati 48%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS: Yes
6/10

Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati: Match Preview

Petrolul Ploiesti come into this friendly with a mixed recent record, posting a 2-2-1 run in their last five matches and struggling to turn home advantage into wins (0W 2D at home this season). Their attack has been steady, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five, but defensive frailties persist, with only two clean sheets in that span and a season-long clean sheet rate of just 11%. Afumati, meanwhile, are riding a strong run in Liga II, unbeaten in their last five (3W 2D) and boasting a perfect away record in the league so far (2W, 9 GF, 1 GA).

The statistical matchup points to a high-scoring encounter. Afumati's season average of 4.67 goals scored per game is exceptional, and they've hit over 2.5 goals in every match this season. Petrolul's matches also trend high, with a 66.7% over 2.5 goals rate and 1.78 goals scored per game. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede—Afumati have kept just one clean sheet in their last five, and Petrolul only two—while both have also scored in nearly every recent outing. First-half goals are common, with 7 combined across their last five games each.

Given these rates, the model expects an open game with multiple goals, both teams on the scoresheet, but Afumati's superior attacking numbers and away form making them favourites. The likeliest outcome is a 2-1 win for the visitors, with the main risk being overestimation of Afumati's level due to their small sample size and step up in opposition.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Petrolul Ploiesti1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

CS Afumati2.00

Expected goals · model says 2.00

Win Probability
Petrolul Ploiesti 29% Draw 22% CS Afumati 49%

Over 2.5 Goals

68%

BTTS: Yes

67%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
25%
48%
Petrolul Ploiesti 27%Draw 25%CS Afumati 48%
Both Teams to Score
61%
39%
Yes 61%No 39%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
68%
32%
Over 2.5 68%Under 2.5 32%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
36%
64%
Over 9.5 36%Under 9.5 64%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati that most previews miss.

  • 1Afumati's matches have cleared 2.5 goals in 100% of their season games, averaging 6 goals per match.
  • 2Petrolul have failed to win any home match this season, drawing both and conceding three goals in total.
  • 3Afumati have scored at least twice in each of their last five matches, with 6 of their last 9 goals coming after half-time.

Who do you think wins: Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Prediction

Statistically, this friendly is set up for goals. CS Afumati's attack has been prolific, averaging 4.67 goals per game this season and hitting at least two in every match of their last five, while Petrolul Ploiesti have only managed two draws from two home league games and have conceded in 89% of their matches. The most likely shape is an open contest with both sides finding the net, but Afumati's superior scoring rates and away record tip the balance in their favour.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Afumati average 4.67 goals scored per game this season and have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate.

Defence

  • →Petrolul have failed to win at home this season (0W 2D 0L, 3 GF, 3 GA) and have kept just one clean sheet in their last nine matches.

Match Context

  • →Both teams have scored in 4 of Afumati's last 5 and 2 of Petrolul's last 5, with Afumati never failing to score in that span.

🚩 Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Corners Prediction

low confidence
8.6expected total corners
Over 36%
Under 64%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Petrolul Ploiesti and 5 for CS Afumati, for an expected total of 8.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 49% · Over 10.5: 25%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Petrolul Ploiesti and CS Afumati Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiestilast 5 matches
D. N'Lundulusub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

B. MalulaXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. MartinsXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

P. PappXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. TutuXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. J. Bran FloresXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

CS AfumatiCS Afumatilast 5 matches
A. EnacheXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

V. Ghinetsub/out
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

M. SanogoXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. RaicuXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Petrolul Ploiesti's recent form is mixed, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five, but they have yet to win at home this season. CS Afumati are unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws, and have scored at least twice in every game during that run. Momentum and scoring rates both favour the visitors.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati — Last 9 Matches

Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul PloiestiLast 9 results
D2-2
D1-1
L0-2
W4-1
L1-4
W5-0
L0-3
W2-1
D1-1
Dvs Chindia Targoviste2-2
Dvs ASA Targu Mures1-1
L@ Arka Gdynia0-2
W@ Chojniczanka Chojnice4-1
L@ Olimpia Grudziądz1-4
W@ Lechia Gdansk5-0
L@ GKS Katowice0-3
W@ Fatih Karagümrük2-1
D@ Gaziantep FK1-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
CS AfumatiCS AfumatiLast 3 results
W5-4
W7-0
W2-1
Wvs CSA Steaua Bucureşti5-4
W@ Viitorul Dăești7-0
W@ Chindia Targoviste2-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Things to Watch: Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati

  • ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data is available, reducing certainty in relative team strength.
  • ⚠️Afumati's season record is based on a small sample (3 matches), which may inflate their attacking numbers.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available to confirm value edges or calibrate probabilities.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Petrolul Ploiesti 1–2 CS Afumati

The model makes Afumati narrow favourites, projecting a 2-1 away win based on their 4.67 goals per game and perfect away record. The strongest data point is Afumati's attacking output, but the biggest risk is that their numbers are inflated by weaker opposition and a small sample. If Petrolul's higher-level experience asserts itself, the scoreline could swing or settle for a draw.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati: Common Questions

Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati?

The model gives CS Afumati a 48% chance of victory, with Petrolul Ploiesti at 27% and the draw at 25%. Afumati's prolific attack and strong away form tip the probabilities in their favour.

Will both teams score in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati?

There is a 61% probability of both teams scoring, as both sides have found the net in at least 4 of their last 5 matches and neither has a strong recent clean sheet record.

How many goals are expected in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati?

The model projects a high-scoring game, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 88% chance of over 1.5. Both teams average at least 1.8 goals scored per game over their last five.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Resources

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CS Afumati Predictions

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Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Afumati Stats

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Petrolul Ploiesti vs Chindia Targoviste

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Model Accuracy

Track record & verified results