Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Arka Gdynia
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Piast Gliwice or Draw
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Piast Gliwice or Draw
Piast Gliwice are at home, have a much stronger home record than Arka Gdynia's away record (Arka 1W 2D 11L away), and H2H history heavily favors Piast at home. Both teams are in poor form but Piast's attack is more consistent and Arka's defense is leaky away.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates (Piast 53.6%, Arka 62.1%). Recent matches show both teams conceding and scoring regularly, and Arka's away defense is especially vulnerable (32 conceded in 14 away).
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BTTS: Yes
Piast have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, and Arka's defense is poor away but they have scored in 2 of their last 3. Both teams' recent defensive records suggest both can get on the scoresheet.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Prediction
This is a crucial relegation battle between two struggling sides, with Piast Gliwice (15th) hosting Arka Gdynia (16th). Piast have been inconsistent but show more attacking intent at home, while Arka's away form is dire (just 1 win). Both teams concede frequently and have a high percentage of matches going over 2.5 goals. Expect a tense, open encounter with Piast favored to edge it, but defensive frailties on both sides could see goals for both teams.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Arka Gdynia have conceded 32 goals in 14 away matches (2.29 per game).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Piast Gliwice's home record (5W 3D 6L) is much better than Arka Gdynia's away record (1W 2D 11L).
- →Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal percentages (Piast 53.6%, Arka 62.1%).
- →H2H: Piast have never lost at home to Arka in the last 10 meetings.
- →Both teams are just above the relegation zone and highly motivated.
🚩 Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.8 corners for Piast Gliwice and 5.4 for Arka Gdynia, for an expected total of 12.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (78%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 68%.
How Piast Gliwice and Arka Gdynia Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Piast Gliwicelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Arka Gdynialast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Piast Gliwice wins
4
Draws
1
Arka Gdynia wins
Things to Watch: Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed, possible late changes could impact prediction.
- ⚠️Both teams' form is erratic, increasing match volatility.
- ⚠️Statistical models only; no inside team news.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 20 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.