Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
medium confidence
Piast Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Wisla Krakow

Wisla Krakow

🗓️ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 12:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Piast Gliwice 23%Draw 33%Wisla Krakow 44%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow: Match Preview

Piast Gliwice come into this friendly after a strong run in competitive fixtures, winning four of their last five and conceding just two goals in that stretch. Their recent uptick in form has coincided with a more settled defensive unit and a consistent 4-4-2 setup, but their season-long averages (0.67 goals scored, 1.33 conceded per game) still point to underlying weaknesses. Wisla Krakow, meanwhile, have also hit a positive patch, unbeaten in their last four league games and scoring multiple goals in three of those. Their attack has been prolific, averaging 1.58 goals per game across the season and 16.4 shots per match over the last five, though their away form data is limited.

The tactical matchup tilts towards Wisla's attacking strength against a Piast side that has recently improved defensively but still concedes above one per match on the season. Piast's last five have featured low shot and corner counts (10.2 shots, 2.8 corners per match), while Wisla have generated more set-piece opportunities (5 corners per game). Both sides have failed to score in any of their last five, and BTTS has landed in four of their last five H2H meetings, suggesting both will create chances. Piast's defensive resilience will be tested by Wisla's volume approach.

Model projections point to a moderate goal environment, with over 2.5 goals slightly more likely than not (53%). The most probable outcome is a narrow Wisla Krakow win, driven by their superior season scoring rate and shot production. However, Piast's recent defensive form and strong home H2H record keep the draw and low-scoring outcomes in play. Expect Wisla to edge the shot count and the scoreboard, but with both sides likely to get on the scoresheet.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Piast Gliwice1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Wisla Krakow1.55

Expected goals · model says 1.55

Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 28% Draw 25% Wisla Krakow 47%

Over 2.5 Goals

51%

BTTS: Yes

54%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
23%
33%
44%
Piast Gliwice 23%Draw 33%Wisla Krakow 44%
Both Teams to Score
56%
44%
Yes 56%No 44%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
53%
47%
Over 2.5 53%Under 2.5 47%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
51%
49%
Over 9.5 51%Under 9.5 49%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow that most previews miss.

  • 1Wisla Krakow have averaged 16.4 shots per game over their last five matches, nearly 60% more than Piast Gliwice's 10.2.
  • 2Despite Piast's recent run of four clean sheets in five, their season clean sheet rate is just 33%.
  • 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have seen both teams score, with an average of 3.1 goals per match.

Who do you think wins: Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?

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The Case For This Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Prediction

Both Piast Gliwice and Wisla Krakow arrive on the back of positive recent form, but the underlying season scoring rates and away side's attacking output point to a slight edge for Wisla. Piast have tightened up defensively in their last five (0.4 goals conceded per game), yet their season average remains a concern at 1.33 conceded per match. Wisla, meanwhile, average 1.58 goals per game this season and have produced 16.4 shots per game over their last five, suggesting their forward line is likely to test Piast's back four. The statistical shape of the fixture is that of a moderate goal environment, with the away side more likely to edge it.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Wisla Krakow average 1.58 goals scored per game this season, compared to Piast's 0.67.

Defence

  • →Piast Gliwice have kept four clean sheets in their last five but only have a 33% clean sheet rate on the season.

Match Context

  • →Head-to-head meetings have averaged 3.1 goals per match over the last 10 encounters.

🚩 Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.7expected total corners
Over 51%
Under 49%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Piast Gliwice and 5.7 for Wisla Krakow, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Piast Gliwice and Wisla Krakow Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwicelast 5 matches
H. VallejoXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

JuandeXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

S. NtamackXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. LabojkoXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. SancaXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Felixsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wisla KrakowWisla Krakowlast 5 matches
A. RodadoXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

A. UrygaXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Kuziemkasub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Guillemenotsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Sanchezsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Piast Gliwice have surged recently, winning four of their last five and conceding just two goals in that stretch. Wisla Krakow also bring momentum, unbeaten in four and scoring at least twice in three of those, with their attack generating high shot volumes. Both sides look sharper than their early-season numbers, but Wisla's offensive consistency stands out.

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow — Last 10 Matches

Piast GliwicePiast GliwiceLast 9 results
L0-2
D2-2
W1-0
W1-0
L0-2
W1-0
L0-3
D1-1
L0-2
Lvs Odra Opole0-2
Dvs Miedz Legnica2-2
Wvs Baník Ostrava1-0
W@ GKS Katowice1-0
L@ Raków Częstochowa0-2
W@ Odense1-0
L@ Viborg0-3
D@ Brondby1-1
L@ Sigma Olomouc0-2

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Wisla KrakowWisla KrakowLast 10 results
D2-2
L0-1
D0-0
W2-0
W4-0
L3-4
D1-1
W5-0
L1-4
D0-0
Dvs Artis2-2
Lvs Podbeskidzie0-1
Dvs Wrexham0-0
Wvs Karviná2-0
Wvs Puszcza Niepołomice4-0
Lvs Nieciecza3-4
Dvs Podbeskidzie1-1
Wvs Stal Mielec5-0
Lvs Mlada Boleslav1-4
Dvs Kolos Kovalivka0-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game

What History Says: Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow

Piast have dominated the recent H2H, winning six of the last ten, including a 4-3 thriller in August 2026. Goals are a recurring theme, with seven of the last ten meetings featuring both teams scoring and an average of over three goals per game. The fixture rarely ends goalless and often produces an open contest.

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

6

Piast Gliwice wins

2

Draws

2

Wisla Krakow wins

60%20% draws20%
1 Aug 26Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow4-3
3 Apr 24Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice2-1
3 Apr 22Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice2-2
1 Oct 21Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow1-0
16 May 21Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow2-3
31 Jan 21Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice3-4

Things to Watch: Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value or edge calculations can be made.
  • ⚠️Standings and detailed home/away splits for Wisla Krakow are unavailable.
  • ⚠️Both teams have shown recent form improvement, but small sample sizes may exaggerate trends.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Piast Gliwice 1–2 Wisla Krakow

The model projects a 2-1 win for Wisla Krakow, with their 1.58 goals per game season average standing out as the decisive factor. The likeliest way this forecast misses is if Piast's recent defensive improvement proves more sustainable than their season numbers suggest, or if the friendly context dampens attacking intensity.

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow: Common Questions

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?

Wisla Krakow are given a 44% chance of victory, compared to 23% for Piast Gliwice and 33% for the draw. This edge is driven by Wisla's higher season scoring rate and recent attacking output.

Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?

Both teams to score is rated at 56%, based on both sides scoring in seven of the last ten H2H meetings and neither failing to score in their last five matches.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?

Over 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 53%, reflecting Wisla's 1.58 goals per game season average and the H2H trend of high-scoring encounters (average 3.1 goals per match).

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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