Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Pogon Szczecin
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Udinese
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
6/10Pogon Szczecin and Udinese Share the Spoils in Szczecin Stalemate
Pogon Szczecin and Udinese played out a 1-1 draw at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera in a friendly that saw both sides enjoy spells of control but ultimately fail to find a decisive winner. Udinese struck first in the 31st minute, only for Pogon Szczecin to respond swiftly with an equalizer just five minutes later, setting the stage for a balanced contest. Despite both teams' efforts, neither could break the deadlock in the second half. The match was played in good spirit, with no yellow or red cards shown, and both managers will take positives from their sides' attacking intent and resilience. However, a lack of cutting edge in the final third meant the scoreline remained unchanged after the break.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
Key Moments
31' — Goal
Udinese take the lead with a well-taken finish.
36' — Goal
Pogon Szczecin equalize just five minutes later, restoring parity.
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin showed character after conceding first, responding quickly to level the match in the 36th minute. They matched Udinese for intensity and looked to take the initiative in front of their home fans. While their attacking play was spirited, they were unable to carve out a winner, lacking the clinical touch in the final third. Defensively, Pogon Szczecin held firm after the equalizer, ensuring Udinese did not regain the lead. Their discipline was notable, with no bookings, and they maintained their shape well throughout the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Udinese
Udinese started brightly and were rewarded with the opening goal in the 31st minute, capitalizing on their early momentum. However, their lead was short-lived as Pogon Szczecin responded almost immediately. Udinese continued to probe for opportunities but, much like their hosts, could not find a second goal despite their efforts. Their defensive organization helped them withstand Pogon's pressure, and their discipline was evident with no cards received. Udinese will be satisfied with their resilience but may rue not making more of their early advantage.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both sides appeared to set up with a balanced approach, emphasizing disciplined defending and measured attacking play. The lack of cards and the quick exchange of goals suggest a match played at a good tempo but without reckless challenges or excessive risk-taking. Neither team was able to impose sustained dominance after the early flurry of goals. Both defenses adjusted well after conceding, closing down space and limiting clear chances. The absence of further goals or major incidents in the second half points to tactical caution and solid organization on both sides.
Turning Point
Pogon Szczecin's equalizer in the 36th minute, which immediately nullified Udinese's lead and set the tone for a balanced remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
Pogon Szczecin Goalscorer
Scored the vital equalizer and was instrumental in Pogon's attacking efforts.
Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese: Match Preview
Pogon Szczecin approach this friendly with momentum from a five-match run featuring two wins and a draw in their last three, including a pair of clean sheets and a 2-0 home victory over Wieczysta Kraków. Udinese, in contrast, arrive on the back of three straight defeats in Serie A, conceding eight goals in that span, though their attack has shown flashes with six goals scored in their last three outings. Both sides are likely to use this match to fine-tune their systems, with Pogon seeking to maintain defensive solidity and Udinese aiming to arrest their slide.
Statistically, the contest is poised between Pogon's efficiency at home—averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home game—and Udinese's struggles on the road, where they have yet to score in league play and have conceded three in two matches. Udinese's recent matches have been open, averaging 4.0 total goals per game in their last five, while Pogon's matches have been tighter, with just 2.0 goals per game over the same span. Set-piece opportunities may be limited, as both sides average under 3.5 corners per game recently, but Udinese's higher shot volumes (14 per game) could test Pogon's back line.
The model projects a cautious first half before the game opens up after the break, in line with both teams' goal-timing patterns. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, underpinned by Pogon's home defensive record and Udinese's away scoring drought. With no major injuries or suspensions and both sides fielding close to full-strength squads, the underlying rates point to a balanced, low-scoring encounter.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese that most previews miss.
- 1Pogon Szczecin have scored five of their last six goals in the second half, indicating a late-game scoring tendency.
- 2Udinese's away league matches this season have produced just three total goals, with Udinese yet to score on the road.
- 3Across their last five matches, Udinese's games have seen both teams score in four out of five, contrasting with Pogon's three out of five.
Who do you think wins: Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese?
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The Case For This Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Prediction
The statistical profile points to a balanced contest, with both Pogon Szczecin and Udinese showing similar season-long scoring and concession rates. Pogon average 1.38 goals for and against per game, while Udinese's figures are 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded, with neither side dominant in their home or away splits. Recent form slightly favours Pogon, unbeaten in three and with two clean sheets in their last five, but Udinese's attack has produced 1.8 goals per game over their last five, albeit with defensive frailties exposed (2.2 conceded per game). The matchup is shaped by Pogon's defensive discipline at home—just four goals conceded in three home league matches this season—against an Udinese side yet to score away in their league campaign (zero goals in two away games). Shot volumes suggest Udinese are more proactive (14 total shots, 5.8 on target per last five), but Pogon have been efficient, converting 1.2 goals per game from 11.8 shots. Both teams show a tendency for matches to open up after the break: Pogon have scored five of their last six goals in the second half, while Udinese's first-half goal output (six in five) is notable. With neither side carrying significant injuries or suspensions, and no head-to-head data to indicate a historical edge, the model expects a low-scoring, closely contested game. The probability distribution leans slightly towards a draw, with the 1-1 scoreline the single most likely outcome, reflecting the convergence of both sides' season-long rates and recent form.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Pogon Szczecin have conceded just four goals in three home league matches this season.
- →Both teams average over one goal scored and conceded per game across all competitions this season.
Match Context
- →Udinese have failed to score in both of their away league games so far.
🚩 Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Pogon Szczecin and 6 for Udinese, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How Pogon Szczecin and Udinese Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Pogon Szczecinlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Udineselast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Pogon Szczecin enter on a positive run, unbeaten in their last three and with two wins in their last five, conceding just four goals in that span. Udinese, meanwhile, have lost three straight in Serie A, conceding eight goals, but have managed to score in all but one of their last five, showing both attacking potential and defensive vulnerability.
Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese
There is no head-to-head data available between Pogon Szczecin and Udinese, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be referenced for this fixture.
Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Pogon Szczecin wins
1
Draws
0
Udinese wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese
With bookmaker odds unavailable, no value edges can be identified for this match. The model's probabilities are derived strictly from the teams' season-long rates and recent form, so any value would depend on future market pricing.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data available for calibration.
- ⚠️Friendlies can feature experimental lineups and variable motivation, increasing outcome volatility.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Pogon Szczecin 1–1 UdineseThe model's final call is a 1-1 draw, driven by the convergence in both teams' season-long scoring and concession rates and the lack of a clear edge in recent form. Pogon's strong home defensive record and Udinese's away goal drought are the strongest data points, but the main risk lies in the variability of friendly fixtures, where lineups and intensity can shift unexpectedly.
Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese: Common Questions
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese?
The model rates this match as highly balanced, with probabilities of 36% for a Pogon Szczecin win, 37% for a draw, and 27% for an Udinese victory. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting both teams' similar season scoring rates and recent form.
Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese?
There is a 56% probability that both teams will score, based on Udinese's recent run of four BTTS matches in their last five and Pogon's three in five. However, Pogon's home defensive record and Udinese's away scoring struggles temper this expectation.
Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese?
The model gives a 49% probability for over 2.5 goals and 51% for under, indicating a slight lean towards a lower-scoring match. This is in line with Pogon's recent defensive solidity and Udinese's lack of away goals in league play.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Pogon Szczecin vs Udinese: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.