Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Wisla Plock
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.7(+12% edge)
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS: Yes
32%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.7
Model probability for draw (0.39) is notably higher than bookmaker implied probability (0.27), with both teams showing solid defensive numbers and a high draw rate in H2H and recent form.
Read more ↓
Double Chance: Draw or Wisla Plock@ 1.5
Wisla Plock are in better form, higher league position, and Pogon Szczecin have struggled at home against top-half sides. X2 covers both draw and away win.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.18
Both teams have low season over 2.5% (Pogon 53%, Wisla 30%) and recent matches have been low scoring; model expects a tight game.
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Prediction
This Ekstraklasa fixture features mid-table Pogon Szczecin hosting fifth-placed Wisla Plock. Pogon have been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five and a negative goal difference. Wisla Plock are in better recent form and have been defensively solid, especially away from home. Both teams have struggled for goals recently, and H2H history suggests close, low-scoring games. Expect a tactical contest likely to end in a draw or narrow away result, with few clear chances.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Wisla Plock are 5th and in better form (LWWLW) compared to Pogon's DLWLL.
- →Pogon have a decent home record (8W/2D/5L) but have lost 2 of last 3 at home.
Attack
- →Recent H2H meetings are low scoring and often close, with several draws.
Defence
- →Wisla Plock's away record is solid (4W/6D/5L), and they concede less than a goal per game on average.
- →Both teams average under 1.5 goals conceded per game; Wisla Plock have a low over 2.5 rate (30%).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
🚩 Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Pogon Szczecin and 5.2 for Wisla Plock, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 41%.
How Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Plock Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Pogon Szczecinlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Pogon Szczecin wins
3
Draws
4
Wisla Plock wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
- ⚠️Some missing match stat data for recent Wisla Plock away games.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed at time of analysis; late changes could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some volatility in results, especially Pogon Szczecin.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.