Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Tunisia
high confidence
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

AI Predicted Score

1 - 0

CS Hammam-Lif

CS Hammam-Lif

🗓️ Saturday, 5 Sept 2026 at 16:30 CET (venue time) · 15:30 UTC (your time)📍 Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier, Sakiet Sidi Youssef

Win Probability (1X2)

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 44%Draw 36%CS Hammam-Lif 20%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif: Match Preview

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer arrive in Ligue 1 off a strong run, having won four of their last five matches and opened the new campaign with a 2-0 home victory. Their recent form string of 'WWWDW' is underpinned by a potent attack (2.8 goals per game) and a defence that has yielded just three goals in five outings. CS Hammam-Lif, meanwhile, are yet to play a Ligue 1 fixture this season but closed their Ligue 2 campaign with two wins and two draws, conceding only once in their final four matches. With the home side sitting top after round one and the visitors entering from mid-table, the early table positions reflect these differing trajectories.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by defensive discipline on both sides. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have kept three clean sheets in their last five, while CS Hammam-Lif have managed four, and both teams have failed to score once in that span. The home side's attack has been more productive—scoring at least twice in four of their last five—while Hammam-Lif's output has been limited to 1.2 goals per game. The goal timing data suggests a slight first-half bias for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (eight first-half goals in five games), but overall, the combined over 2.5 goals rate is just 26%.

The model expects a cagey, low-scoring affair, with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer’s sharper attack and home advantage giving them the edge. Given both teams’ clean sheet records and the visitors’ lack of recent competitive action, a 1-0 home win is the likeliest outcome, with under 2.5 goals and 'no' on both teams to score the most supported markets.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer1.05

Expected goals · model says 1.05

CS Hammam-Lif0.65

Expected goals · model says 0.65

Win Probability
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 45% Draw 33% CS Hammam-Lif 22%

Over 2.5 Goals

24%

BTTS: Yes

31%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
44%
36%
20%
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 44%Draw 36%CS Hammam-Lif 20%
Both Teams to Score
23%
77%
Yes 23%No 77%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
26%
74%
Over 2.5 26%Under 2.5 74%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif that most previews miss.

  • 1Across their last five matches, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have scored 14 and conceded just 3, a +11 goal differential.
  • 2CS Hammam-Lif have kept four clean sheets in their last five but scored more than once only once in that span.
  • 3Just 26% of these teams’ last ten combined matches have gone over 2.5 goals, highlighting a low-goal environment.

Who do you think wins: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif Prediction

This fixture projects as a low-scoring contest between two defensively organised sides, with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer carrying a sharper attacking edge based on recent output. The home side's current form and defensive record tilt the balance narrowly in their favour, while CS Hammam-Lif's lack of recent competitive action and modest attacking numbers suggest an uphill task away from home.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Neither side has a recent history of high-scoring matches, with under 2.5 goals landing in 74% of their last five combined.

Defence

  • →Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have averaged 2.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded over their last five matches.
  • →CS Hammam-Lif have kept four clean sheets in their last five but managed just 1.2 goals per game.

How Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and CS Hammam-Lif Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Progrès Sakiet EddaïerProgrès Sakiet Eddaïerlast 5 matches
Z. Aloui
5 goals in 5
100%

In exceptional form

H. Ben Ameur
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Omri
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Bouraoui
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Wassim
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Douzi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

CS Hammam-LifCS Hammam-Liflast 5 matches
M. Ben Tiba
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

B. Nouisser
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

I. Dridi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Y. Mosrati
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have built momentum with four wins and a draw in their last five, highlighted by a 2-0 opening day victory and a run of three consecutive clean sheets. CS Hammam-Lif closed last season with two wins and two draws but have yet to play a top-flight match this term, creating some uncertainty around their current sharpness.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif — Last 3 Matches

W1-0
D0-0
W2-0
Wvs CS Hammam-Lif1-0
D@ AS Marsa0-0
Wvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane2-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
  • +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
CS Hammam-LifCS Hammam-LifLast 2 results
L0-1
L0-1
L@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer0-1
Lvs CA Bizertin0-1

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game

What History Says: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif

There is no recent head-to-head data available between these sides, so no direct matchup trends or recurring scorelines can be referenced. This absence adds a degree of unpredictability to the fixture.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

1

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer wins

0

Draws

0

CS Hammam-Lif wins

100%0% draws0%
5 Sept 26Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif1-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif

With no bookmaker odds available, direct value edges cannot be calculated. However, model probabilities suggest the strongest positions are under 2.5 goals (74%) and 'no' on both teams to score (77%), both supported by the teams’ recent defensive records and low-scoring matches.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Win1.7344.0%-13.8%
Drawvalue3.0036.0%+2.7%
CS Hammam-Lif Win5.0020.0%0.0%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.52.7526.0%-10.4%
Under 2.5value1.4074.0%+2.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes—23.0%—
No—77.0%—

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.00EV +0.080
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 1.40EV +0.036

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif

  • ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams at this level.
  • ⚠️CS Hammam-Lif have not played a competitive match this season, so their current level is partially unknown.
  • ⚠️Absence of shots, possession, corners, and odds data limits the precision of set-piece and value analysis.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1–0 CS Hammam-Lif

The model projects a 1-0 win for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, driven by their superior recent scoring rate (2.8 per game) and a consistent defensive record. The biggest risk to this call is the unknowns around CS Hammam-Lif’s current level after the off-season and the lack of direct head-to-head data.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif: Common Questions

Who will win Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif?

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are favoured with a 44% probability of victory, compared to 36% for the draw and 20% for a CS Hammam-Lif win. The home side's recent form and goal output underpin this edge.

Will both teams score in Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif?

The probability of both teams scoring is just 23%, with 'no' landing in 77% of simulations. Both sides have kept a combined seven clean sheets in their last ten matches.

How likely is under 2.5 goals in this match?

Under 2.5 goals is rated at 74% probability, reflecting both teams' defensive records and the low-scoring trend in their recent fixtures.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Hammam-Lif: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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