Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Radomiak Radom
Full Time
7 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8.5/10Radomiak Radom Run Riot in 7-2 Friendly Rout Over Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Radomiak Radom delivered a commanding performance, dismantling Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 7-2 in a high-scoring friendly encounter. The home side's attacking prowess was on full display as they found the net seven times, overwhelming their visitors and entertaining the crowd with a relentless offensive display. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki managed to score twice, but their defensive frailties were ruthlessly exposed by Radomiak's incisive play. With no cards issued and a free-flowing tempo, the match showcased open, attacking football, though the gulf in class was evident throughout.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
7 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Radomiak Radom open the scoring and set the tone for a dominant display.
N/A' — Goal
Radomiak Radom extend their lead, piling pressure on the visitors.
N/A' — Goal
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki pull one back, but Radomiak respond emphatically.
N/A' — Goal
Radomiak Radom continue their scoring spree, putting the result beyond doubt.
N/A' — Goal
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki add a second consolation goal.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom dominated proceedings from start to finish, racking up an impressive seven goals without ever looking troubled. Their attacking unit was clinical and creative, carving open the opposition at will. The absence of bookings highlighted their disciplined approach, and their relentless forward play ensured the result was never in doubt.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki struggled to cope with Radomiak Radom's attacking onslaught, conceding seven times in a difficult outing. While they managed to score twice themselves, their defensive organization and ability to withstand pressure were lacking. The team showed some attacking intent but were ultimately outclassed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, the match was nonetheless characterized by Radomiak Radom's aggressive attacking approach and fluid movement in the final third. Their ability to break down the opposition repeatedly suggests a focus on direct play and exploiting defensive gaps. The lack of cards points to a clean, open game, likely with both teams prioritizing offensive output over defensive solidity. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, meanwhile, struggled to organize defensively and were often left exposed by Radomiak's relentless pressure.
Turning Point
Radomiak Radom's early goals set the tone and shattered Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's resistance, allowing the hosts to dictate the match.
Man of the Match
Radomiak Radom Attackers
Collectively unstoppable, their movement and finishing led to a remarkable seven-goal haul.
Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Match Preview
Radomiak Radom approach this friendly on the back of a mixed run, losing their last two competitive fixtures but boasting a strong home scoring record—21 goals in nine home matches this season. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, meanwhile, have found some attacking rhythm with seven goals in their last five but remain defensively vulnerable, conceding at least once in four of those games. With both sides coming from different divisions and Radomiak's higher average goal output, the hosts hold a statistical edge.
The contest is shaped by Radomiak's high event rate: their matches average 3.77 goals this season, and 84.6% have gone over 2.5 goals. Pogoń's away defence has struggled, conceding 10 in six away league games, while Radomiak's recent matches show a slight drop in attacking efficiency (0.8 goals per game last five) but sustained shot and corner volume. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede in the second half, and neither has kept more than two clean sheets in their last five outings.
Given the underlying rates, the model expects an open contest with Radomiak's home attack likely to break through, but Pogoń's recent scoring form and Radomiak's modest defensive numbers mean a clean sheet is unlikely. The likeliest outcome is a 2-1 home win, with over 2.5 goals the best-supported angle by the data.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki that most previews miss.
- 1Radomiak Radom's matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 11 of 13 games this season (84.6%).
- 2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have failed to score in only one of their last five matches, despite a season-long average of just one goal per game.
- 3Radomiak average 7.2 corners per game over their last five outings, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
Who do you think wins: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Radomiak Radom's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 84.6% of their season games (11 of 13), and both teams average over 1.6 goals conceded per game in their last five.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Radomiak Radom Win
Radomiak Radom average 2.08 goals per game this season and have scored 21 home goals in nine matches, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have just one away win all season and a 1.75 goals conceded per game rate.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction
Statistically, this friendly sets up as a moderate-to-high scoring contest, with Radomiak Radom's attack rate and defensive frailty both pulling the expected goal total upwards. The home side's 2.08 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game, paired with an 84.6% over 2.5 goals rate, define the match's shape. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's away defensive record (10 conceded in six away league games) and their 1.6 goals scored per game in their last five further support an open contest. Radomiak's home attack (21 goals in nine home matches) faces a Pogoń side that have kept just one away clean sheet all season. The visitors, however, have failed to score only once in their last five, and both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five. Radomiak's shot volume (14 per match, 4.4 on target last five) and corner rate (7.2 per game) suggest sustained attacking phases, but their last five also show defensive volatility with 1.6 goals conceded per game. The model expects Radomiak's superior attacking output at home to edge a match with multiple goals, but Pogoń's recent scoring form and Radomiak's low clean sheet rate (15.4%) mean both teams are likely to find the net. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 home win, but the defensive numbers on both sides keep the draw and BTTS firmly in play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Both teams have kept only two clean sheets each in their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Radomiak Radom's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 84.6% of games this season.
- →Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki average just 1 point per game and have only one away win all season.
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.8 corners for Radomiak Radom and 5 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, for an expected total of 11.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 64%.
How Radomiak Radom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Pogoń Grod. Mazowieckilast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radom's recent form is patchy, with two defeats and a draw in their last three, but their home scoring rate remains strong over the season. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have shown improvement in attack, scoring seven in their last five, but defensive lapses persist, and their away record remains poor.
Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
The two previous friendlies between these sides ended in draws (0-0 and 1-1), with neither team able to assert dominance. However, both teams' defensive numbers have worsened since, suggesting a higher-scoring contest this time.
Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
1
Radomiak Radom wins
2
Draws
0
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
No bookmaker odds are available, so value edges cannot be calculated. The model's strongest conviction is on over 2.5 goals, given the high over rate in Radomiak's matches and both teams' defensive profiles.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️As a friendly, motivation and rotation risk are elevated, and lineups are unknown.
- ⚠️Standings data is missing; league context is inferred from season records only.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Radomiak Radom 2–1 Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiThe model calls a 2-1 win for Radomiak Radom, anchored by their 2.08 goals per game season average and the visitors' poor away defensive record. The main risk is the friendly setting, which could see weakened lineups or reduced intensity, but the underlying rates point firmly towards goals and a home edge.
Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Common Questions
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Radomiak Radom are favoured with a 48% win probability, compared to 24% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and 28% for the draw. The home side's superior scoring rate and Pogoń's weak away record drive this edge.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
There's a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals, strongly backed by Radomiak's 84.6% over 2.5 rate this season and both teams' recent defensive records.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at 56%, as Radomiak have kept just two clean sheets in their last five and Pogoń have scored in four of their last five matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results