Rangers vs Hibernian Predictions
Premiership · Scotland
Rangers
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Hibernian
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 2.1(+8% edge)
Match Result
8.2/10Late Boyle Strike Stuns Rangers as Hibernian Snatch Dramatic Ibrox Win
Hibernian produced a dramatic late show to claim a 2-1 victory over Rangers at Ibrox, with Martin Boyle firing home in the 89th minute to seal all three points for the visitors. Despite Rangers dominating possession and peppering the Hibs goal with 21 shots, it was the away side's clinical finishing that proved decisive. Hibernian took an early lead through Josh Campbell in the 5th minute, but Rangers responded before the break with a well-taken goal from Chermiti in the 41st minute. The second half saw Rangers continue to control the ball, but they struggled to break down a resolute Hibernian defence. As the hosts pushed for a winner, Hibernian struck on the counter, with Boyle's late goal stunning the home crowd and handing Hibs a memorable win. The result is a testament to Hibernian's tactical discipline and opportunism, while Rangers are left to rue missed chances and a lack of cutting edge in the final third.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
5' — Goal
J. Campbell finishes a swift Hibernian attack to give the visitors an early lead.
41' — Goal
Chermiti levels for Rangers after sustained pressure, finishing off a flowing move.
89' — Goal
M. Boyle scores on the counter, sealing a dramatic late win for Hibernian.
First Half' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up a yellow card apiece as the contest heats up.
Second Half' — Yellow Cards
Another yellow card for each team as tempers flare in a tense finish.
Rangers
Rangers dominated the ball with 72% possession and created a flurry of chances, registering 21 shots and 9 corners. Their midfield trio of Barron, Diomande, and Moore dictated play for long spells, but the side struggled to convert their territorial advantage into goals. Chermiti's equalizer before half-time gave hope, but a lack of clinical finishing and vulnerability to the counter ultimately cost them. Defensively, Rangers were caught out early and late, conceding in the 5th and 89th minutes. Despite their attacking intent and control, the inability to break down a compact Hibernian back line in the second half proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hibernian
Hibernian delivered a disciplined and resilient performance, soaking up pressure for large periods and striking with ruthless efficiency. Despite seeing just 28% of the ball and managing only 8 shots, they made their opportunities count, scoring early through Campbell and sealing the win with Boyle's dramatic late goal. The back three of O'Hora, Hanley, and Iredale stood firm under sustained pressure, while the midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Rangers' rhythm. Hibs' ability to remain compact and spring forward on the break was key to their success at Ibrox.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Rangers set up in a 4-2-3-1, seeking to dominate the midfield and push their full-backs high to overload the flanks. Their double pivot of Barron and Diomande allowed the attacking trio of Antman, Aasgaard, and Moore to operate between the lines, but Hibernian's compact 3-4-1-2 shape limited space in central areas. Hibs' back three remained narrow and disciplined, with wing-backs Passlack and Obita dropping deep to form a back five when out of possession. Rangers' high line left them exposed to counters, a weakness Hibernian exploited for both goals. As the match wore on, Rangers committed more men forward, but Hibs' tactical discipline and willingness to absorb pressure paid dividends, particularly in the dying minutes when they broke forward to snatch the winner.
Turning Point
M. Boyle's 89th-minute goal, which punished Rangers' desperation for a winner and sealed the points for Hibernian.
Man of the Match
M. Boyle
His tireless running and clinical late finish made the decisive difference in a tightly contested match.
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Expected goals · model says 1.95
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Rangers vs Hibernian?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Rangers vs Hibernian(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 2.1
Both teams have shown attacking intent recently (Rangers 2.8, Hibernian 1.6 avg goals in last 5), and both have defensive vulnerabilities (Rangers 2.6, Hibs 1.4 conceded). All of Rangers' last 5 and 3 of Hibs' last 5 have seen BTTS.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.8
Rangers are on a 3-game losing streak and Hibs have shown resilience away. The draw probability is slightly higher than market implied, offering a modest edge.
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More Premiership Predictions
The Case For This Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction
Rangers return to Ibrox looking to halt a three-game losing streak against a Hibernian side buoyed by a recent away win. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, with Rangers' attack still producing but their defence leaking goals. Hibs' away form is mixed, but they have enough attacking threat to trouble a Rangers side under pressure. Expect an open contest with both teams likely to score, but Rangers' superior home record and H2H dominance give them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →All of Rangers' last 5 matches saw BTTS
Defence
- →Rangers' last 5: LLLWW, conceding 2.6 goals per game
- →Hibernian's last 5: WLLLW, only one clean sheet
- →Hibs away: 6W 6D 6L, 24 scored, 24 conceded
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Rangers strong at home: 11W 5D 2L
- →Head-to-head: Rangers 6W, Hibs 1W, 3D in last 10
🚩 Rangers vs Hibernian Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Rangers and 4.6 for Hibernian, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Rangers and Hibernian Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Rangers vs Hibernian Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Rangerslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Hibernianlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Rangers are on a concerning run with three straight losses, conceding 8 goals in that period, though their attack remains potent with 14 goals in their last 5. Hibernian have also been inconsistent (WLLLW), but their recent away victory at Falkirk suggests some renewed confidence, even as their defence remains leaky.
Rangers vs Hibernian — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Rangers vs Hibernian
The head-to-head record is strongly in Rangers' favour, especially at Ibrox, where they've won 4 of the last 5. Most recent meetings have been close, with three of the last five decided by a single goal or ending in a draw, and BTTS landing in several.
Rangers vs Hibernian Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Rangers wins
3
Draws
2
Hibernian wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Rangers vs Hibernian
The model sees the BTTS market as offering the best value, with both teams likely to score and odds above even money. The draw is also slightly undervalued by the market, reflecting Rangers' recent struggles and Hibs' ability to keep games tight. Home win odds are likely too short given Rangers' current form, so value lies with goals and the draw.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Rangers vs Hibernian
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided for most markets; value calculations use sample odds.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is volatile, especially Rangers' defence.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could impact predictions.
- ⚠️No injuries reported, but squad rotation possible late in season.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Rangers vs Hibernian: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.