Ried vs SKU Amstetten Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
medium confidence
Ried

Ried

AI Predicted Score

2 - 2

SKU Amstetten

SKU Amstetten

🗓️ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 13:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Ried 32%Draw 34%SKU Amstetten 34%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Ried vs SKU Amstetten: Match Preview

Ried approach this friendly with momentum, having scored 12 goals in their last five matches and registering just one defeat in that span. Their home performances have been particularly strong, with 16 goals scored in their last seven home games across all competitions. Amstetten, meanwhile, are in the midst of a productive run themselves, winning back-to-back league matches with four goals scored in each, and have shown a consistent attacking threat on the road with 13 goals in six away fixtures this season.

Statistically, this fixture is shaped by both teams' attacking output and defensive fragility. Ried are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five, while Amstetten's last five see them at 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Both sides have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, and over 2.5 goals in 80% (Ried) and 75% (Amstetten) of their season matches. Ried's shot volume (12.4 per game) contrasts with Amstetten's tighter away defence (0.83 conceded per away game), but neither side has managed more than one clean sheet in their last five outings.

The model expects a high-scoring, competitive contest with neither team able to consistently shut the other down. With both teams' attack rates outpacing their defensive records and a head-to-head history of goals, the most probable outcomes are clustered around a 2-2 draw or narrow win either way. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are strongly supported by the data.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Ried1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

SKU Amstetten1.70

Expected goals · model says 1.70

Win Probability
Ried 38% Draw 23% SKU Amstetten 40%

Over 2.5 Goals

65%

BTTS: Yes

66%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Ried vs SKU Amstetten Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
32%
34%
34%
Ried 32%Draw 34%SKU Amstetten 34%
Both Teams to Score
68%
32%
Yes 68%No 32%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
69%
31%
Over 2.5 69%Under 2.5 31%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
48%
52%
Over 9.5 48%Under 9.5 52%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Ried vs SKU Amstetten that most previews miss.

  • 1Ried's matches have finished over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 outings, with an average of 3.8 goals per game in that span.
  • 2Amstetten have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches, including all but one away game this season.
  • 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have produced at least three goals, with the last friendly ending 2-3.

Who do you think wins: Ried vs SKU Amstetten?

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The Case For This Ried vs SKU Amstetten Prediction

Both Ried and SKU Amstetten arrive with high-scoring profiles and recent attacking momentum, each averaging over two goals per game in their respective league campaigns. Ried's home record is robust, with 16 goals scored in their last seven at home, while Amstetten have been prolific on their travels, netting 13 in six away fixtures. The statistical shape points to an open contest, with both sides showing a strong tendency towards matches clearing the 2.5 goal line (Ried 80%, Amstetten 75% over 2.5 this season). The matchup is defined by Ried's shot volume (12.4 per game in their last five) and Amstetten's superior defensive record away from home (just 5 conceded in six away league games), but both teams' recent form suggests defensive vulnerabilities: Ried have conceded in four of their last five, Amstetten in all of their last five. Both sides are also frequent participants in BTTS matches (4/5 for each in recent games), and the head-to-head history is littered with high-scoring encounters, including a 2-3 Amstetten win in their last friendly meeting. Given the attacking rates and defensive openness, the model projects a high probability of goals at both ends and a closely contested outcome. The likeliest scorelines cluster around 2-2 and 2-1 either way, with a draw marginally favoured due to the balance of attacking output and defensive lapses. The data gives neither side a clear edge, but the probability distribution tilts heavily towards over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Ried average 1.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 80% of matches finishing over 2.5 goals.
  • →SKU Amstetten have scored 2.33 and conceded 1.25 per game, with a 75% over 2.5 rate and 4/6 away wins.
  • →Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Ried have failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of 5.

🚩 Ried vs SKU Amstetten Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.5expected total corners
Over 48%
Under 52%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Ried and 5 for SKU Amstetten, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Ried and SKU Amstetten Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Ried vs SKU Amstetten Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

RiedRiedlast 5 matches
E. E. AisowierenXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

S. SchwabXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

P. PomerXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

I. Kiesesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. BajicXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. RasnerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

SKU AmstettenSKU Amstettenlast 5 matches
F. KochlXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

P. OffenthalerXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. PehamXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

J. SteigerXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. HaiderXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. WimmerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Ried have found attacking rhythm, netting 13 goals in their last five matches and collecting three wins in that span, with their only defeat coming away from home. Amstetten are on a strong run as well, winning their last two with four goals in each and losing just once in their last five. Both sides are trending towards high-scoring games and have been regularly finding the net.

Ried vs SKU Amstetten — Last 10 Matches

RiedRiedLast 10 results
L0-4
W3-0
D1-1
L2-4
D2-2
W2-1
W4-1
W2-0
L1-2
L2-4
L@ Mlada Boleslav0-4
Wvs Rot-Weiß Essen3-0
Dvs Başakşehir1-1
Lvs SSV Jahn Regensburg2-4
Dvs Austria Salzburg2-2
Wvs WSPG Wels2-1
Wvs Austria Salzburg4-1
Wvs České Budějovice2-0
L@ Gornik Zabrze1-2
L@ FC Ingolstadt 042-4

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
SKU AmstettenSKU AmstettenLast 10 results
W2-0
D2-2
W1-0
W3-0
L1-2
W6-3
W3-1
D1-1
W4-0
W2-1
W@ Krems / Rehberg2-0
Dvs Artis2-2
Wvs SV Horn1-0
W@ Táborsko3-0
Lvs FK Crvena Zvezda1-2
Wvs SK Vorwarts Steyr6-3
Wvs Admira Wacker3-1
D@ Orijent 19191-1
W@ České Budějovice4-0
W@ Lask Linz2-1

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Ried vs SKU Amstetten

Ried have historically controlled this fixture, winning eight of the last ten meetings, but Amstetten broke that run with a 3-2 away win in their most recent friendly. The head-to-head is notable for its goal output, with seven of the last ten producing three or more goals and BTTS landing in five of the last six.

Ried vs SKU Amstetten Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

8

Ried wins

1

Draws

1

SKU Amstetten wins

80%10% draws10%
19 Jul 25Ried vs SKU Amstetten2-3
4 Apr 25Ried vs SKU Amstetten1-1
22 Sept 24SKU Amstetten vs Ried2-3
26 Apr 24Ried vs SKU Amstetten3-0
6 Oct 23SKU Amstetten vs Ried2-3
28 Jan 22Ried vs SKU Amstetten5-2

Things to Watch: Ried vs SKU Amstetten

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges or recommended bets can be calculated.
  • ⚠️Lack of detailed match stats for Amstetten's recent games limits set-piece and discipline analysis.
  • ⚠️Standings data is missing, so league motivation and context cannot be fully assessed.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Ried 2–2 SKU Amstetten

The model projects a 2-2 draw, underpinned by both sides' season-long scoring rates (Ried 1.9, Amstetten 2.33 per game) and high over 2.5 goal percentages. The single strongest data point is the 80% over 2.5 rate for Ried and 75% for Amstetten, making a high-scoring outcome the most likely scenario. The main risk is that either side's attack underperforms on the day, or defensive adjustments in a friendly context suppress the usual goal output.

Ried vs SKU Amstetten: Common Questions

Who will win Ried vs SKU Amstetten?

The model rates this fixture as highly balanced, with Ried at 32%, draw at 34%, and Amstetten at 34% to win. Both teams' strong attacking records and defensive vulnerabilities make a draw or narrow win for either side the most probable outcomes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ried vs SKU Amstetten?

There is a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals, supported by Ried's 80% and Amstetten's 75% over 2.5 rates this season. Both teams average over two goals scored per game, and their recent matches have been high-scoring.

Will both teams score in Ried vs SKU Amstetten?

The probability for both teams to score is 68%, with both sides having seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches. Neither team has kept more than one clean sheet in their last five, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ried vs SKU Amstetten: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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