SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Predictions

Prediction by The Value Scout — The betting market sees no clear favourite here (best case 42% implied) — routed to The Value Scout to hunt for the edge in an open fixture.
BundesligaBundesliga · Austria
high confidence
SCR Altach

SCR Altach

AI Predicted Score

2 - 2

Austria Vienna

Austria Vienna

🗓️ Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 19:30 CEST (venue time) · 17:30 UTC (your time)📍 Cashpoint-Arena, Altach

Win Probability (1X2)

SCR Altach 36%Draw 33%Austria Vienna 31%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

@ 1.95(+15% edge)

Recommended Bets: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

BTTS: Yes
@ 1.728/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 1.957/10

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna: Match Preview

Altach and Austria Vienna meet in Vorarlberg with just one point separating them near the foot of the Bundesliga table. Both sides have endured turbulent league campaigns—Altach sit 11th with two wins from eight, while Austria Vienna are only marginally better off in 10th. However, recent results hint at a shift: Altach arrive on the back of consecutive wins, including a 3-0 dismantling of Wolfsberger, while Austria Vienna's form is more mixed, suffering a 2-0 home defeat to Sturm Graz last time out but netting six in a recent friendly.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by attacking intent but defensive fragility. Both teams are averaging 3.2 goals scored per game over their last five in all competitions, but Altach's season-long defensive record at home (5 conceded in 4) and Austria Vienna's away record (9 conceded in 4) highlight vulnerabilities. BTTS has landed in three of Austria Vienna's last five and in four of the last six head-to-heads. Set-piece threat is limited, with both sides averaging under 3.5 corners per game recently, but disciplinary risk is moderate with yellow cards averaging 0.6–0.8 per match.

The model projects a high-scoring, closely fought contest, with a 2-2 draw the likeliest outcome. The edge lies in the goals markets, as both teams' recent attacking surges outpace their defensive improvements. With the market pricing this as a near pick'em, the draw and BTTS both offer value, and the historical H2H pattern of tight, entertaining games supports a goals-focused approach.

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

The model finds the best value in the BTTS and over 2.5 goals markets, with both teams' recent attacking numbers outstripping their season averages and the market's expectations. The draw is also slightly undervalued at current odds, given the frequency of stalemates in both recent form and head-to-heads. With the 1x2 market tightly set, the real edge lies in backing goals rather than a winner.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
SCR Altach Win2.4036.0%-5.7%
Drawvalue3.3033.0%+2.7%
Austria Vienna Win2.7031.0%-6.0%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value1.9559.0%+7.7%
Under 2.51.8541.0%-13.1%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue1.7565.0%+7.9%
No2.0035.0%-15.0%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.30EV +0.089
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 1.95EV +0.150
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 1.75EV +0.138

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
33%
31%
SCR Altach 36%Draw 33%Austria Vienna 31%
Both Teams to Score
65%
35%
Yes 65%No 35%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
59%
41%
Over 2.5 59%Under 2.5 41%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
52%
48%
Over 9.5 52%Under 9.5 48%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna that most previews miss.

  • 1Four of the last six Altach–Austria Vienna meetings have seen both teams score, with three ending as draws.
  • 2Altach's last five matches have averaged 4.0 total goals, inflated by big wins but still pointing to open contests.
  • 3Austria Vienna have conceded at least two goals in three of their last four away league fixtures.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

SCR Altach1.50

Expected goals · model says 1.50

Austria Vienna1.40

Expected goals · model says 1.40

Win Probability
SCR Altach 40% Draw 25% Austria Vienna 35%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

BTTS: Yes

59%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Who do you think wins: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Prediction

Bookmakers are struggling to split these two, but the data points to goals and a finely balanced contest. Both Altach and Austria Vienna are coming off erratic league campaigns, but their recent attacking output has surged, and neither defence has convinced. The model finds value in goals and a stalemate, with historical head-to-heads and current form both supporting a high-scoring draw.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Both teams are averaging 3.2 goals scored per game over their last five matches.

Defence

  • →Altach have kept three clean sheets in their last five, but their season clean sheet rate is just 12.5%.
  • →Austria Vienna have conceded 15 goals in eight league games and have only one away win.

🚩 SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.8expected total corners
Over 52%
Under 48%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for SCR Altach and 5 for Austria Vienna, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How SCR Altach and Austria Vienna Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

SCR AltachSCR Altachlast 5 matches
O. DiawaraXI
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

B. BockleXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Y. MassomboXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. JagerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

R. Elongo-YomboXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Hrsticsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Austria ViennaAustria Viennalast 5 matches
J. EggesteinXI
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

J. Hettwersub/out
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

M. FischerXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. NnodimXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

F. Wustingersub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Lee Kang-Heesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Altach have rebounded from a dire start with back-to-back wins, including a commanding 3-0 home victory over Wolfsberger. Austria Vienna's recent form is patchy—just one league win in their last five—but they have shown attacking promise, scoring six in a recent friendly and twice away at Grazer AK. Both teams have struggled for consistency, but their recent goal returns are notable.

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna — Last 8 Matches

SCR AltachSCR AltachLast 8 results
W3-0
L0-2
L1-2
L0-3
L1-2
L0-1
W3-1
L0-1
Wvs Wolfsberger AC3-0
L@ Austria Lustenau0-2
Lvs Grazer AK1-2
L@ Lask Linz0-3
Lvs TSV Hartberg1-2
L@ Sturm Graz0-1
Wvs WSG Wattens3-1
L@ Rapid Vienna0-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Austria ViennaAustria ViennaLast 8 results
L0-2
D2-2
W2-1
L0-1
L1-4
W2-0
L0-2
L0-3
Lvs Sturm Graz0-2
D@ Grazer AK2-2
Wvs Austria Lustenau2-1
Lvs WSG Wattens0-1
L@ Red Bull Salzburg1-4
W@ TSV Hartberg2-0
Lvs Lask Linz0-2
L@ Wolfsberger AC0-3

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)

What History Says: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

The last ten meetings are almost perfectly balanced, with four Austria Vienna wins, three for Altach, and three draws. Recent clashes have been tight and high-scoring: four of the last six have ended level or with a single-goal margin, and BTTS has landed in four of those. Only one of the last ten finished goalless, underlining the likelihood of goals.

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

3

SCR Altach wins

3

Draws

4

Austria Vienna wins

30%30% draws40%
21 Feb 26SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna2-1
31 Aug 25Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach1-0
8 Dec 24Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach3-0
1 Sept 24SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna1-1
26 Apr 24Austria Vienna vs SCR Altach2-2
16 Mar 24SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna1-1

Things to Watch: SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna

  • ⚠️Recent attacking surges are inflated by cup and friendly matches against weaker opposition.
  • ⚠️Both teams' defensive numbers are volatile, with Altach's last three home league games featuring both a clean sheet and a two-goal defeat.
  • ⚠️Market odds are tightly set, so small probability shifts can swing value calculations.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

SCR Altach 2–2 Austria Vienna

A 2-2 draw is the model's call, driven by both sides' recent goal output (3.2 per game each over the last five) and a head-to-head history of high-scoring stalemates. The biggest risk is that recent attacking numbers are padded by cup and friendly mismatches, so if either side reverts to their league defensive mean, the game could tighten up.

SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna: Common Questions

Who will win SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna?

The model rates Altach at 36%, Austria Vienna at 31%, and the draw at 33%, reflecting how evenly matched these teams are. Recent form and head-to-head history both point towards a high probability of a draw.

Will both teams score in Altach vs Austria Vienna?

There's a 65% model probability for both teams to score, with both averaging over 3 goals per game in their last five and BTTS landing in four of the last six H2H meetings.

Is there value in the odds for over 2.5 goals?

Yes—the model gives a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals, compared to the bookmaker's implied 51%, making this a value play given both teams' recent attacking surges and leaky defences.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 16 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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