Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town Predictions
FA Cup · England
Shildon AFC
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Warrington Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town: Match Preview
Both Shildon AFC and Warrington Town enter this FA Cup tie with recent form that points to open, high-scoring contests. Shildon have taken two wins, two draws and a defeat in their last five, highlighted by a 5-2 home victory but tempered by a 0-3 loss in their most recent outing. Warrington Town's last five include three wins, a draw and a heavy defeat, with their 5-0 away win at Whitby Town standing out as a marker of attacking potential.
The statistical matchup is shaped by both teams' high goals scored and conceded rates: Shildon average 2.6 scored and 2.2 conceded per game in their last five, while Warrington average 2.2 for and 1.2 against. Four of Shildon's last five have seen both teams score, and both sides have failed to keep a clean sheet in over half their recent matches. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but the pattern of results points to defensive vulnerability and frequent momentum swings.
The model expects Warrington's slightly stronger recent away results and cleaner defensive record to tilt the balance, but the overall environment favours goals. With a 64% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams likely to find the net, a 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, but volatility is high given the lack of broader season data.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
63%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town that most previews miss.
- 1Shildon have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding at least once every time.
- 2Warrington Town have scored in four of their last five, with three matches featuring three or more total goals.
- 3BTTS has landed in 80% of Shildon's last five matches, compared to 40% for Warrington.
Who do you think wins: Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have averaged over 2 goals scored per game in their last five (Shildon 2.6, Warrington 2.2), with high concession rates as well, translating to a 64% model probability for over 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: Yes
Shildon have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, and Warrington in 2 of 5, with both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities; model probability is 62%.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town Prediction
This FA Cup tie features two sides with recent attacking output but defensive frailties, as both Shildon AFC and Warrington Town have averaged over two goals scored per game in their last five matches while conceding heavily. The statistical shape of the fixture points to a goal-rich contest, with neither side showing a reliable clean sheet profile. Warrington Town's away form, including a 5-0 win at Whitby Town, suggests a slight edge in quality against a Shildon side whose last home outing ended in a 0-3 defeat.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Shildon AFC average 2.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Warrington Town have scored 10 and conceded 6 in their last five, including two clean sheets.
Match Context
- →No head-to-head or league standings data available, increasing outcome variance.
How Shildon AFC and Warrington Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Shildon AFClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Warrington Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Shildon AFC's recent form is mixed, with two wins, two draws and a heavy defeat, but their defensive record is a concern—conceding three in their last match and averaging 2.2 against per game. Warrington Town arrive with three wins in their last five, including a 5-0 away win, and have conceded just once in three of those fixtures, signalling slightly better defensive resilience.
Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town
There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no trends or patterns from previous meetings can be drawn to inform the likely outcome.
Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Shildon AFC wins
1
Draws
0
Warrington Town wins
Things to Watch: Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️No season-long or league table data for either side.
- ⚠️No head-to-head history to inform matchup tendencies.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Shildon AFC 1–2 Warrington TownThe model projects a 2-1 win for Warrington Town, driven by their superior recent away form and Shildon's ongoing defensive issues (2.2 goals conceded per game). The main risk is the lack of league and head-to-head data, which increases the uncertainty around baseline quality and tactical tendencies.
Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town: Common Questions
Who will win Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town?
The model gives Warrington Town a 45% chance of winning, with Shildon at 28% and a draw at 27%. This edge is based on Warrington's recent away form and Shildon's defensive record.
Will both teams score in Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town?
Both teams to score is rated at a 62% probability, with Shildon seeing BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches and Warrington in 2 of 5, reflecting both sides' attacking output and defensive frailty.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 64% probability by the model, supported by both teams averaging over 2 goals scored per game and conceding heavily in recent matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Shildon AFC vs Warrington Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.