Sholing vs SE Dons Predictions
FA Cup · England
Sholing
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
SE Dons
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Sholing See Off SE Dons with Confident 2-0 FA Cup Victory at St. Mary's
Sholing booked their place in the next round of the FA Cup with a composed 2-0 win over SE Dons at St. Mary's Stadium. The hosts struck in each half, first breaking the deadlock in the 35th minute before doubling their advantage midway through the second period. SE Dons, despite their best efforts, struggled to carve out clear chances and ultimately left empty-handed. The match was defined by Sholing's clinical finishing and defensive discipline. SE Dons failed to find a response, and the home side's two-goal cushion allowed them to see out the contest with relative comfort. Two yellow cards for Sholing were the only blemishes on an otherwise controlled performance.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
35' — Goal
Sholing take the lead with a composed finish, breaking the deadlock.
58' — Goal
Sholing double their advantage, putting the tie firmly in their control.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Sholing pick up two yellow cards, but maintain composure to see out the win.
Sholing
Sholing delivered a professional display, capitalizing on their chances and maintaining control for large stretches of the match. The opening goal in the 35th minute gave them the platform to dictate the tempo, and the second goal early in the second half effectively sealed the result. While they picked up two yellow cards, their defensive organization ensured SE Dons rarely threatened.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SE Dons
SE Dons struggled to impose themselves, failing to register a goal and unable to break down a well-organized Sholing defence. Their attacking efforts lacked bite, and they were unable to capitalize on any lapses from the home side. With no yellow cards, their discipline was commendable, but they ultimately fell short in both boxes.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With neither lineup nor formation data available, the match was shaped by Sholing's ability to strike at crucial moments and then control the tempo. After taking the lead, Sholing appeared content to manage the game, focusing on defensive solidity and disciplined play. SE Dons were unable to break through, suggesting Sholing's shape and organization nullified their attacking threats. The lack of cards for SE Dons indicates they tried to play their way back into the game rather than resorting to physicality, but their lack of penetration proved costly.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 58th minute, which gave Sholing a commanding lead and extinguished SE Dons' hopes of a comeback.
Man of the Match
Sholing Second Goalscorer (58')
Scored the crucial goal that secured the victory and capped a strong all-round display.
Sholing vs SE Dons: Match Preview
Sholing and SE Dons both enter this FA Cup tie in strong form, each boasting three consecutive wins in the competition. Sholing’s defensive record has been a standout, conceding just once in three FA Cup matches, while SE Dons have shown a more explosive attack, netting ten goals in their three ties including a 5-1 away win last time out. With both sides unbeaten and scoring freely, progression is at stake for two sides with momentum.
The statistical contrast is clear: Sholing’s home defence has yet to be breached in the cup, but their last five matches show an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game, suggesting they are not impenetrable. SE Dons’ away attack has produced eight goals in two cup games on the road, and their overall matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 66.7% of cases. Both sides have failed to keep clean sheets in two of their last five, and neither has failed to score in that stretch, pointing to a high-probability BTTS scenario.
Given these rates, the model expects SE Dons’ attacking output to tip the balance, with Sholing likely to score but struggle to contain the visitors for 90 minutes. The most probable outcome is a 2-1 win for SE Dons, with the match decided by their superior goal rate and ability to find the net away from home.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sholing vs SE Dons Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sholing vs SE Dons that most previews miss.
- 1SE Dons have scored eight goals in just two FA Cup away matches this season, averaging 4.0 per game on the road.
- 2Sholing’s home FA Cup matches have all ended with clean sheets for the hosts, but their last five overall show a 0.8 goals conceded per game average.
- 3Both teams have scored in all of their last five matches, with neither side failing to score once in that span.
Who do you think wins: Sholing vs SE Dons?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sholing vs SE Dons(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average over 2 goals scored per game in the cup this season, with SE Dons at 3.33 and Sholing at 1.67, and the away side’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 66.7% of cases.
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BTTS: Yes
Neither team has failed to score in the last five, and both have shown attacking output with only one clean sheet between them in their last four combined matches.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Sholing vs SE Dons Prediction
This FA Cup tie brings together two sides on three-match winning streaks, each unbeaten in this year’s competition and scoring freely. Sholing have conceded just once in three FA Cup outings, but SE Dons arrive off the back of a 5-1 away win and have averaged over three goals per game in the cup so far. Statistically, the matchup tilts towards an open contest. SE Dons’ away record is especially potent—eight goals in two FA Cup away games—while Sholing’s home defence has yet to be breached in this competition. However, Sholing’s last five show a 0.8 goals conceded per game average, suggesting some vulnerability. Both teams have failed to keep clean sheets in two of their last five, and SE Dons’ matches have gone over 2.5 goals two out of three times this season. The model expects SE Dons’ attacking rate to outweigh Sholing’s defensive record over 90 minutes, projecting a 2-1 away win. The most likely deviation comes if Sholing’s home defensive structure holds, but the underlying rates point to at least two goals for the visitors and a high probability of both teams finding the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams are on three-match winning streaks and neither has failed to score in their last five matches.
Attack
- →SE Dons average 3.33 goals scored per game in the FA Cup this season, compared to Sholing’s 1.67.
Defence
- →Sholing have kept two clean sheets in three FA Cup matches, but conceded in both recent home league games.
How Sholing and SE Dons Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sholing vs SE Dons Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Sholinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SE Donslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Both teams arrive in excellent form, each on a three-match winning streak in the FA Cup. Sholing have conceded just once in three cup ties, while SE Dons have scored ten in the same span and put five past Weymouth away in their most recent outing.
Sholing vs SE Dons — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +75% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.5 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: Sholing vs SE Dons
There is no head-to-head record between Sholing and SE Dons, so no historical trends can be drawn for this fixture.
Sholing vs SE Dons Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Sholing wins
0
Draws
0
SE Dons wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Sholing vs SE Dons
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value cannot be directly assessed. The model’s strongest probabilities are on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, both driven by high recent scoring rates and defensive concessions on both sides.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Sholing vs SE Dons
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams, increasing uncertainty around stylistic matchup.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Limited sample size for both teams’ cup records and no league standings context.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sholing 1–2 SE DonsThe model projects a 2-1 away win for SE Dons, driven by their 3.33 goals per game average in the FA Cup and Sholing’s recent defensive concessions. The key risk lies in Sholing’s home defensive record—if they maintain a clean sheet, the outcome could swing or end level.
Sholing vs SE Dons: Common Questions
Who will win Sholing vs SE Dons?
The model gives SE Dons a 40% chance of victory, with Sholing at 29% and the draw at 31%. SE Dons’ higher scoring rate in the FA Cup tips the balance slightly in their favour.
Will both teams score in Sholing vs SE Dons?
There is a 54% model probability of both teams scoring, as neither side has failed to score in their last five matches and both have shown defensive vulnerabilities.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Sholing vs SE Dons?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 57%, reflecting SE Dons’ 66.7% over 2.5 rate in the cup and Sholing’s consistent attacking output.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sholing vs SE Dons: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.