Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Predictions
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
6.8/10Late Strike Lifts Shanghai SIPG Past Sichuan Jiuniu in Chengdu
Shanghai SIPG snatched a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Sichuan Jiuniu at Longquanyi Stadium, with the decisive goal arriving in the 81st minute to silence the home crowd. The visitors controlled much of the possession, but both sides found clear-cut chances hard to come by in a tense and physical Super League encounter. Sichuan Jiuniu battled valiantly, generating 11 shots but only managing four on target, while SIPG's greater composure in the final third paid off late. Both teams matched each other for intensity, each racking up 14 fouls and a yellow card apiece, but ultimately it was SIPG's clinical edge that proved decisive.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
Key Moments
81' — Goal
Shanghai SIPG break the deadlock with a late goal, seizing the lead and ultimately the win.
various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams received yellow cards in a physical contest, with Sichuan Jiuniu picking up two and SIPG one.
Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu put in a spirited display in front of their home fans, showing plenty of energy and commitment. Despite conceding more possession (42%), they managed to carve out 11 shots, testing the SIPG goalkeeper on four occasions. Their defensive organization kept the visitors at bay for much of the match, but they struggled to create truly dangerous opportunities and lacked the cutting edge required to break the deadlock. Discipline was an issue, as they picked up two yellow cards and committed 14 fouls, which disrupted their rhythm and allowed SIPG to control the tempo. Ultimately, their inability to capitalize on their attacking moments proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shanghai SIPG delivered a professional away performance, dictating play with 58% possession and showing patience in their build-up. They were more efficient in front of goal, registering six shots on target from nine attempts, and finally broke through with a late goal in the 81st minute. Their disciplined approach limited Jiuniu's opportunities and allowed them to control the game's tempo, even though they failed to win a single corner. While they matched Jiuniu for physicality with 14 fouls and a yellow card, SIPG's superior technical quality and composure in key moments ultimately saw them over the line.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both lineups not specified, the tactical battle was defined by SIPG's dominance in possession and Jiuniu's compact defensive shape. SIPG looked to patiently build from the back, utilizing their technical midfielders to control the tempo, while Jiuniu relied on pressing and quick transitions to threaten on the counter. The hosts' direct approach yielded more shots, but SIPG's superior organization and ball retention limited the quality of those chances. Set pieces were not a major factor, with SIPG failing to win any corners and Jiuniu earning just three. Both sides were physical in midfield, as reflected in the 28 total fouls and three yellow cards, which often disrupted the flow and made for a cagey affair until SIPG's late breakthrough.
Turning Point
The 81st-minute goal for Shanghai SIPG, which broke the deadlock and forced Jiuniu to chase the game in the closing stages.
Man of the Match
N/A
Scored the match-winning goal and was instrumental in SIPG's efficient attacking display.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG: Match Preview
Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG enter this fixture level on points but with different underlying trends. Jiuniu's form is patchy (WLWLL), with defensive issues persisting throughout the campaign (42 conceded in 23). SIPG's recent run (DWWLW) is steadier, and their away record (4W, 3D, 5L) is competitive for a mid-table side. Both teams remain in the congested mid-table, but SIPG's positive goal difference and recent away wins give them a slight edge in momentum.
Statistically, this is a fixture shaped by both teams' attacking intent and defensive frailty. Jiuniu average 2.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per home game, while SIPG's away matches average 3.17 total goals. SIPG generate 13.4 shots and 5 on target per match in their last five, and their matches feature high corner counts (6 per game). The H2H record is lopsided: SIPG are unbeaten in six, with four wins and 14 goals scored. Both teams have struggled for clean sheets (Jiuniu 17%, SIPG 13%), which, combined with high BTTS and over 2.5 rates (both above 55%), points to a match with multiple goals.
The model projects a 2-1 away win, driven by SIPG's superior shot creation and Jiuniu's defensive record. Early goals are likely (57% chance of a goal before 30 minutes), and both sides should create chances, but SIPG's proven edge in this matchup and better underlying numbers tip the balance in their favour.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG that most previews miss.
- 1SIPG have scored at least twice in all three away league visits to Jiuniu, averaging 3.33 goals per game in those matches.
- 2Jiuniu's home matches average 3.36 total goals, with 64% finishing over 2.5 goals.
- 3SIPG's last five matches average 13.4 shots and 6 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
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The Case For This Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction
This fixture matches up two mid-table sides with similar points tallies but contrasting underlying numbers. Sichuan Jiuniu's home attack (2.00 goals per game at home) faces a SHANGHAI SIPG side that has produced 1.50 goals per game away, with both teams featuring in matches above the league average for total goals. SIPG have a marginally better goal difference (+5 vs -10) and a more robust away record than Jiuniu's home defensive output. The statistical profile points to a match with above-average shot and corner volume, as both sides average over 9 shots and 4 corners per game. SIPG's recent away form (two straight away wins, both 3-2) contrasts with Jiuniu's defensive vulnerability (2.2 conceded per game over the last five). H2H history is one-sided: SIPG are unbeaten in six, winning four, and have scored at least two in every away league meeting with Jiuniu. The model expects SIPG's superior attacking depth and shot creation (13.4 shots, 5 on target per game in last five) to edge a high-event contest. Jiuniu's home scoring rate and SIPG's low clean sheet percentage (13%) suggest both sides will threaten, but SIPG's edge in both historical and recent away performance tips the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →SIPG are unbeaten in all six H2H meetings, winning four.
Attack
- →SIPG average 1.61 goals scored per game this season, compared to Jiuniu's 1.39.
Defence
- →Jiuniu concede 1.83 goals per game, with just a 17% clean sheet rate.
🚩 Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Sichuan Jiuniu and 3.7 for SHANGHAI SIPG, for an expected total of 8.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 45% · Over 10.5: 22%.
How Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sichuan Jiuniulast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SHANGHAI SIPGlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sichuan Jiuniu arrive with a mixed recent record, alternating wins and losses in their last five and conceding 11 goals in that span. SHANGHAI SIPG are unbeaten in four of their last five, including back-to-back away wins with three goals scored in each. SIPG's recent consistency and away scoring output contrast with Jiuniu's defensive volatility.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Dominant in possession — 59% avg
What History Says: Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
The head-to-head record is heavily in SIPG's favour: four wins and two draws in six encounters, with a 14-4 aggregate. SIPG have scored at least twice in every away league match at Jiuniu, including a 6-0 win two seasons ago. The last two meetings ended 1-1, but overall SIPG have dictated the matchup.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Head-to-Head History
Last 7 meetings between these sides
0
Sichuan Jiuniu wins
2
Draws
5
SHANGHAI SIPG wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
No bookmaker odds are provided, so value analysis is not possible for this fixture. In the absence of market prices, the model's probabilities highlight a slight edge for SIPG in the win and over 2.5 goals markets, but this cannot be quantified for betting purposes.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and recommended bets cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups are unknown at prediction time; late injuries or rotations could alter match dynamics.
- ⚠️Both teams have volatile recent form, increasing scoreline variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPGThe model expects SHANGHAI SIPG to continue their dominance over Jiuniu, projecting a 2-1 away win. The single strongest data point is SIPG's consistent attacking output—1.8 goals per game over their last five, with a strong H2H record. The main risk is Jiuniu's improved home scoring rate, which could push the match towards a higher-scoring draw if SIPG's defence falters.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG: Common Questions
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
SHANGHAI SIPG are favoured by the model, with a 46% probability of an away win, compared to 22% for Jiuniu and 32% for the draw. SIPG's superior attacking numbers and unbeaten H2H record underpin this edge.
Will both teams score in Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, supported by both sides' low clean sheet rates (Jiuniu 17%, SIPG 13%) and above-average BTTS counts in recent matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The model assigns a 58% probability to over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' high season over 2.5 rates (Jiuniu 57%, SIPG 61%) and their recent attacking form.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.