Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Sigma Olomouc
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Žilina
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina: Match Preview
Sigma Olomouc enter this friendly on the back of three wins in their last five competitive matches, with a strong home record—seven wins and three draws from ten at Andruv stadion, conceding just six goals in those games. Žilina, meanwhile, arrive in excellent recent form, unbeaten in five (WDWWW) and having netted 16 times in that stretch, though their overall season record is less impressive with just two wins from nine and a perfectly balanced goal difference.
The statistical matchup points to an open contest. Sigma Olomouc's attack averages 1.8 goals per game over their last five, while Žilina's defence has managed only one clean sheet in the same period. Žilina's attack, averaging 3.2 goals per game recently, faces a home side that concedes just 0.83 per match across the season. Both teams feature high BTTS rates (Sigma 2/5, Žilina 4/5), and first-half goals have been plentiful—13 combined in their last five matches.
The model expects a goal-rich game, with Sigma Olomouc's home solidity slightly outweighing Žilina's attacking momentum. The most likely scenario is a 2-1 home win, but the attacking rates on both sides make both teams to score and over 2.5 goals strong statistical plays. If Žilina's recent scoring form translates, the contest could swing wider than the home side's season-long defensive numbers suggest.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina that most previews miss.
- 1Žilina's last five matches have averaged 4.4 total goals, with four of those games seeing both teams score.
- 2Sigma Olomouc have conceded in four of their last five, despite a season-long average of just 0.83 goals against per game.
- 3Across both H2H friendlies since 2022, the home side has scored at least twice each time.
Who do you think wins: Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average over 1.5 goals scored in their last five, and Žilina have seen four of their last five feature at least three goals, supporting a 54% model probability for over 2.5 goals.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Žilina have scored in all of their last five matches (16 goals total), while Sigma Olomouc have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five, resulting in a 57% BTTS probability.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Prediction
Statistically, this friendly pits a robust home side with a perfect home record over the season against a Žilina team in a hot attacking spell but with defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams' recent matches trend towards goals, with neither consistently keeping clean sheets. The numbers suggest a competitive, open contest, with Sigma Olomouc's home scoring rate and Žilina's attacking momentum likely to produce multiple goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Sigma Olomouc are unbeaten at home this season (7W, 3D, 0L, 18:6 goal difference).
Defence
- →Sigma Olomouc average 1.67 goals scored and just 0.83 conceded per game across the season.
- →Žilina have scored 16 goals in their last five matches, but have only one clean sheet in that span.
🚩 Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Sigma Olomouc and 5 for Žilina, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (50%). Over 8.5: 63% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How Sigma Olomouc and Žilina Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sigma Olomouclast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Žilinalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sigma Olomouc come in with three wins from their last five, but have alternated results (LWWLW) and conceded in four of those. Žilina, by contrast, are on a five-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW) and have scored 16 goals in that span, signalling a sharp uptick in attacking output.
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina
The teams have met twice in recent friendlies, each winning once by a two-goal margin—Sigma Olomouc 2-0 in 2024 and Žilina 3-1 in 2022. Neither match ended in a draw, and both saw the home side score at least twice.
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
Sigma Olomouc wins
0
Draws
1
Žilina wins
Things to Watch: Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Žilina's recent attacking surge comes against mixed opposition; shot and possession data are missing for away side.
- ⚠️Friendly status may see rotated lineups or reduced defensive intensity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sigma Olomouc 2–1 ŽilinaThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Sigma Olomouc, driven primarily by their unbeaten home record and Žilina's high-scoring but defensively porous recent run. The greatest uncertainty lies in Žilina's attack sustaining its recent output against a home defence that has been far stingier over the season than in the last few matches.
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina: Common Questions
Who will win Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina?
Sigma Olomouc are favoured with a 44% probability of victory, compared to 24% for Žilina and 32% for the draw. This edge is built on Sigma's perfect home record and Žilina's inconsistent season-long away form.
Will both teams score in Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina?
The model gives a 57% probability to both teams scoring, as Žilina have found the net in all of their last five and Sigma have conceded in four of five recent matches.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?
There is a 54% model probability for over 2.5 goals, supported by Žilina's recent games averaging over four goals and Sigma Olomouc averaging 1.8 scored per game in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.